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So after look back at how I made the sb prediction last year, 2017 predictions

this is a discussion within the NFL Community Forum; The division trend may not hold any water as there really are not any. But what does is the blowout/performance theory, margins of victory(throughout a game more than how it ended, 2012 Atlanta's not a example), and quality of opponents. ...

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Old 01-19-2017, 07:30 PM   #1
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So after look back at how I made the sb prediction last year, 2017 predictions

The division trend may not hold any water as there really are not any. But what does is the blowout/performance theory, margins of victory(throughout a game more than how it ended, 2012 Atlanta's not a example), and quality of opponents.

Based on the last few years(go back to 2012)
Carolina had a better divisional win margin than Arizona, Seattle had better margin than Carolina, Seattle sort of had the better win than SF, SF had better win than Atlanta.....all of these won the title games.

Among those, Seattle(Carolina's opponent) was better than GB(Arizona's). Carolina was not better than Dallas but Dallas was a close win for GB and Seattle was much better defensively. NO was better than Carolina(despite Carolina winning division but they had no experience either) and GB was better than Seattle.

Among those that did not go to sb having the better margin win.
NE had better win than Denver, and KC(NE's opponent) was probably better than Pittsburgh but the experience goes to Pittsburgh. I'm thinking a west coast advantage has a lot to do with this(does not affect midwest teams as much).

Indy had better win than NE and Denver was better than Baltimore but Manning was injured down the stretch and Baltimore was two years removed from sb year(offensively, they delivered). Also, Indy's shown to not be as sb worthy as indicated then. NE has better win than Denver but Denver was also blowing out SD until late. But Indy was scoring more points. So really this one's a bit too close. SD was hot and better than Indy and Denver played better defense. Again, WCA.

In 2012, NE had bigger win than Baltimore but Denver was better than Houston by a bit and Baltimore was on the road. Houston was a southwestern team also. Denver was a west coast team but Baltimore was a different team and had just played them.

So with that said, better win rates were Atlanta and NE. But Dallas was better than Seattle and even with experience Seattle didn't have what it takes to win there if they played.. and KC was better than Houston. So I think Pittsburgh stands a strong chance against NE while it really is gonna be too close with GB. GB controlled the game but won close late after allowing a tie. Atlanta blew out Seattle. GB lost a close game to Atlanta in week 8 and a game GB actually controlled until the fourth quarter. Either GB tightens up or Atlanta starts out better which could make this a close game or a Atlanta blowout.

But Pittsburgh has the best overall win so far based on quality opponents and home/road splits. I will go Pittsburgh over Atlanta.

But if Atlanta chooses those white unis I'm gonna change this prediction.
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Old 01-19-2017, 07:43 PM   #2
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Re: So after look back at how I made the sb prediction last year, 2017 predictions

You need to get a girlfriend.
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