Football Outsiders Predictions for 2011
 

FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS: Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis | 2011 DVOA Projections


There are a lot of surprises, especially projecting the Saints' D to be 30th overall considering they were top 5 last year and top 20 the past 3. Maybe this is wishful homerism, but my eyes saw improvement in the front seven.

Also interesting that they believe that we will win the South, presumably through a tiebreak with ATL, going 9-7 (or 10-6, depending on the statistical method.)

Best site for analysis anywhere.

Stats have a purpose BUT too much reliance scews reality. Stats ignore human elements like heart, desire, contract year, heated rivalry, etc.

And this site comes as close to reality as any I've ever read.

But can be completely off-base, at the same time.