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Football Freakonomics: Saints 2011 Passer Rating Differential

this is a discussion within the Saints Community Forum; Tonight NFL Total Access had a segment on peaking at the right time. It was titled the Art & Science of Peaking. Stephen Dubner, co-author of Freakonomics, was featured in the segment. You can view the video here: NFL Videos: ...

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Old 01-05-2012, 02:13 AM   #1
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Football Freakonomics: Saints 2011 Passer Rating Differential

Tonight NFL Total Access had a segment on peaking at the right time. It was titled the Art & Science of Peaking. Stephen Dubner, co-author of Freakonomics, was featured in the segment.

You can view the video here:

They made the point that 60% of all NFL Champions since 1940 have been #1 or #2 in passer rating differential (PRD).

The equation for PRD is simple: PRD = Team Passer Rating - Opponent Team's Passer Rating

They mention the 2010 Packers and how dominant they were last year in the PRD statistic. They also mention Mike Ayers, GB Director of Research and Development, who apparently reminded the team about physical AND emotional recovery.

This is a work in progress, but....

For the 2011 regular season comparing NO to DET

NO PRD = 24.1
DET PRD = 15.1
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Old 01-05-2012, 09:58 AM   #2
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Dubner is a genius
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Old 01-05-2012, 10:38 AM   #3
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I wouldn't call him a genius. He's basically saying, a little more than half the time, the team with a good QB and a good defense wins the championship. Well, duh!
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Old 01-05-2012, 10:42 AM   #4
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Nobody had to tell Payton this. Pedal to the metal baby!
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Old 01-05-2012, 11:53 AM   #5
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Originally Posted by Tobias-Reiper View Post
I wouldn't call him a genius. He's basically saying, a little more than half the time, the team with a good QB and a good defense wins the championship. Well, duh!
You gotta read the book (books, actually). He and Levitt draw some unbelievable conclusions.

I do agree that a great QB and good D are pretty important components of a SB team, though. Who would have thought?
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Old 01-05-2012, 02:02 PM   #6
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Originally Posted by ScottF View Post
You gotta read the book (books, actually). He and Levitt draw some unbelievable conclusions.

I do agree that a great QB and good D are pretty important components of a SB team, though. Who would have thought?
Wow.....really? News to me.
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Old 01-05-2012, 03:05 PM   #7
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I was watching the documentary last night actually and it had me interested.

They made the connection that 50 percent of the reason that crime dropped from the 80's to the 90's when it was expected to go up was because of the Roe vs Wade. MAKES PERFECT SENSE... Abort the criminals before they are born, LMAO.

PRD makes more sense to me than a gay Power Poll ranking BS.
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Old 01-05-2012, 03:07 PM   #8
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They kept track of passer ratings in 1940? Wow.

Lol
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Old 01-05-2012, 03:16 PM   #9
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Originally Posted by FireVenturi View Post
They kept track of passer ratings in 1940? Wow.

Lol
No but it isn't hard to figure out they add up the stats and do some funny math and you can get it...
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Old 01-05-2012, 08:39 PM   #10
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You can 50% of all stats say 90% of anything you want!!

Remember no team has ever been to the Super Bowl that had an alien as a mascot!!

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