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Beware the Home Dog

this is a discussion within the Saints Community Forum; Not that it's old, but I am obligated as the designated pessimist to point out that our record against home dogs, especially in the playoffs, is not great. Our tendency is to play with insufficient urgency, precision or concentration. Games ...

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Old 01-11-2012, 07:53 AM   #1
xan
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Beware the Home Dog

Not that it's old, but I am obligated as the designated pessimist to point out that our record against home dogs, especially in the playoffs, is not great.

Our tendency is to play with insufficient urgency, precision or concentration. Games against inferior opponents rightly cited in other threads are far too close, with outcomes in doubt until the end (except for the StL game).

While past performance is not necessarily a predictor of future performance, it is no small matter to alter ingrained patterns of behavior. Radical shifts are rare.

This is going to be a knock-down, drag out, Pyrrhic victory, if we can get it.

I hope the players enter the game resigned to that and are prepared and willing to endure.
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Old 01-11-2012, 08:00 AM   #2
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Under Payton/Brees, our record as a road favorite in the playoffs is 0-1, with injuries up and down the line-up. Not a lot to convince me we're especially bad as a road favorite.

I do agree SF is a great team, but this isn't like the Seattle game where we were significantly better across the board and hamperered by excessive injuries.
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Old 01-11-2012, 08:46 AM   #3
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Don't forget:

We are higher in the POWER RANKINGS this year!!!!!! LOL

I just think we have way too much momentum and after last week I am thrilled that we did not get the bye.

Alaska
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Old 01-11-2012, 09:01 PM   #4
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Well hopefully - we learned from history!!
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Old 01-11-2012, 09:36 PM   #5
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Originally Posted by xan View Post
Our tendency is to play with insufficient urgency, precision or concentration. Games against inferior opponents rightly cited in other threads are far too close, with outcomes in doubt until the end (except for the StL game).
That's what makes me feel good about this game - the 49ers are FAR from an interior team.
If we were playing the 0-8 Rams or some other mid-level to crappy team I would be worried.


And bank on hearing from the media that the Saints are 0-4 on the road in the playoffs. Consider this when you hear that stat:

2010 - We had no running game left and did not take a 7-9 Seattle team that we had already beaten seriously.

2006 - We lost in the cold weather after numerous turnovers. 1) San Fran will not be experiencing snow and 2) I would like to think that the team and coaches have matured since that season

2000 - Running game injuries, Joe Horn out, and no answer for Randy Moss.

1990 - BARELY made the playoffs to start with (thanks Dallas) and then had no offense with Walsh/Fourcade at QB.

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Old 01-11-2012, 11:11 PM   #6
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Old 01-12-2012, 03:58 AM   #7
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What makes you think SF is an inferior team? I doubt anyone in the Saints entire Saints organization holds that opinion.

While a "tendency" to lose to "inferior" teams, could be a supportable conclusion about the Saints, I think the phenomenon is simply and aptly explained by the any given Sunday rule. We certainly are not a bad team this year.

About the Rams game, we had several parts of our offense and defense that were not working. Noteably, our o-line melted like butter. And, the Rams played well that day.

I don't know about a "Pyrrhic" victory though. Pyrrhic victories assume destruction of the victor. And, while someone could get hurt, injuries are a risk in any game.

But, if you are worried that the Saints aren't taking the 49ers seriously enough -- I'd recommend not losing sleep over it.
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