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WhoDat!656 01-13-2012 04:43 AM

3 things you should know
 
1. This is football's version of the Irresistible Force meeting the Immovable Object.

The Saints ranked second in the league in scoring, averaging 34.2 points a game; the 49ers ranked second in fewest points allowed, surrendering an average of 14.3 a game.

The Saints had just 19 giveaways, tying for fourth-fewest; the 49ers tied for first in takeaways, with 38.

The Saints ranked sixth in rushing, averaging 132.9 yards a game; the 49ers were No. 1 against the run, surrendering just 77.2 yards a game. They also did not allow a rushing touchdown in their first 13 games.

Stated another way: Something has to give.

The Saints, winners of nine in a row, have scored at least 42 points in each of their last four games, including a 45-28 win over the Lions last weekend. Drew Brees has been particularly lethal since mid-December, throwing for 17 scores with only three interceptions in his last four games. If San Francisco focuses too heavily on him, however, it could create running lanes for the Saints' backs, who gained 167 yards and had three scores against the Lions.

San Francisco, led by end Justin Smith and linebackers Patrick Willis and Navorro Bowman, has been excellent against the run, and if that carries into Saturday's game, the Niners will need to get to Brees when he's in obvious passing situations. The Saints allowed just 24 sacks, tying for second-fewest in the league. That protection allowed Brees to complete 71.2 percent of his passes for a league-record 5,476 yards and 46 touchdowns.

The 49ers were 16th against the pass, allowing 230.9 yards a game, but they tied for second with 23 interceptions. Brees threw 14 picks during the season and saw the Lions drop at least two easy interceptions last week. So there could be opportunities for takeaways.


Read more: Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints look to prove they can win outdoors vs. 49ers - Jim Trotter - SI.com

SloMotion 01-13-2012 05:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by WhoDat!656 (Post 368679)
1. This is football's version of the Irresistible Force meeting the Immovable Object ....

..... football and physics ..... I like! :)

go Saints.

saintsfan1976 01-13-2012 06:32 AM

16 - 13 New Orleans

pumpkindriver 01-13-2012 10:04 AM

The one thing thats rarely talked about is whether or not the 9ers O line can protect Smith. I don't think they can, and while it was a preseason game, we did sack him a bunch of times. As good as their D is, their O is anemic and we should hold them to around 20-23 points at the most. The way our O has been playing I don't see their D holding us to under 30.
Saints-31
Niners-23

saintfan 01-13-2012 12:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pumpkindriver (Post 368743)
The one thing thats rarely talked about is whether or not the 9ers O line can protect Smith. I don't think they can, and while it was a preseason game, we did sack him a bunch of times. As good as their D is, their O is anemic and we should hold them to around 20-23 points at the most. The way our O has been playing I don't see their D holding us to under 30.
Saints-31
Niners-23

If we have success slowing their run game, and I mean slowing - we don't necessarily have to stop it altogether - then Smith is in for a very long day.

QBREES9 01-13-2012 12:37 PM

Saints 28 - 17 49ers

Mardigras9 01-13-2012 12:51 PM

The Saints just have to play their game and limit mistakes. The rest will take care of itself.

Style 01-13-2012 01:11 PM

Saints 45
9nrs 14
I really don't believe this game will be as close as everyone is saying.
If you look at San Frans schedule they really only played one team with a good running offense, that is the ravens. None of them have the pass offense that we do. I believe San Fran is in for a long day. They have not faced a team like this!

iceshack149 01-13-2012 02:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by saintfan (Post 368790)
If we have success slowing their run game, and I mean slowing - we don't necessarily have to stop it altogether - then Smith is in for a very long day.

Gore's a great RB but here's how some of the better RB's have played against the Saints recently.

Michael Turner 11 for 39yds

Jacquizz Rodgers 1 for -1yds

Chris Johnson 11 for 23yds

Adrian Peterson 10 for 60yds

Toby Gerhart 2 for 12yds

Stats found on Official Site of the New Orleans Saints

This game doesn't scare me. Good for Alex Smith being the game manager of the year but this is the divisional round of the playoffs. He is an average QB going against the best QB in the league.

WHO_DAT_CAT 01-13-2012 10:12 PM

I think the Saints talent, experience in the playoffs, their great coaching/game planning, their relative health for this time of the year, their years together as a winning unit, as well as, their experience playing in Candle Stick last year will give them the edge.

Euphoria 01-13-2012 10:17 PM

I think the game comes down to our D verses 49ers O.

Its the play offs. In order to win now you have to rely on something other than what got you here.

Its our D that is going to have to outshine 49ers.

EVERYONE is looking at this game wrong.

homerj07 01-13-2012 10:19 PM

DOnt care

JUST WIN BABY!!

joker-saint 01-14-2012 03:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pumpkindriver (Post 368743)
The one thing thats rarely talked about is whether or not the 9ers O line can protect Smith. I don't think they can, and while it was a preseason game, we did sack him a bunch of times. As good as their D is, their O is anemic and we should hold them to around 20-23 points at the most. The way our O has been playing I don't see their D holding us to under 30.
Saints-31
Niners-23

I like your guess pumpkindriver. I did an analysis of the two team stats and this is what I came up with:

Saints Offense

Average 334. 2 passing
Average 132.9 rushing

Niners Defense

Average 230.9 passing
Average 77.2 rushing

Final statistic:

Saints get 282.55 passing and 105.5 rushing = 387.60 yards
Average field position on kickoff is on the 20 yard line so that would give the Saints 4.85 scoring opportunity's which equals 4 TDs and 3 FGs 37points.
387.60 divided by 80 equals 4.84

On the Niners side

Niners offense

Average 183.1 passing
Average 127.8 rushing

Saints defense

Average 259.8 passing
Average 108.6 rushing

Final statistic:
Niners get 221.45 passing and 118.2 rushing = 339.65 yards
Average field position on kickoff is on the 20 yard line so that would give the Niners 4.24 scoring opportunity's which equals 4 TDs and 1 FG 31points.
339.65 divided by 80 equals 4.24

Final score:

Saints 37
Niners 31

saintsfan1976 01-14-2012 10:10 AM

Joker I would add a few things;

Home field adv. +3 for the Niners

Turnover differential. San Fran is +28, New Orleans is -3. I'd add 6pts (two fg's or one td)

Third down conversion. Saints covert 56%, SF only 35%. Both defenses five up 3rd down only 35% of the time. Slight edge to Saints +6

I think the game is within 3-5 points.

Saints must limit mistakes, keep it to 3rd and short and get TDs not FGs.

saintsfan1976 01-14-2012 07:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by saintsfan1976 (Post 369225)
Joker I would add a few things;

Home field adv. +3 for the Niners

Turnover differential. San Fran is +28, New Orleans is -3. I'd add 6pts (two fg's or one td)

Third down conversion. Saints covert 56%, SF only 35%. Both defenses five up 3rd down only 35% of the time. Slight edge to Saints +6

I think the game is within 3-5 points.

Saints must limit mistakes, keep it to 3rd and short and get TDs not FGs.


ANY QUESTIONS??

TheFaithful 01-14-2012 08:26 PM

3NO D was stout today. Nothing on O in the 2&3 Quarters.


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