Go Back   New Orleans Saints - blackandgold.com > Main > Saints

Playoff Picture - Its quite possible

this is a discussion within the Saints Community Forum; Originally Posted by xan According to Football Outsiders, who are pretty accurate on these things, before the loss to the 9ers, we had an 8.6% total shot at the playoffs. Not to be too much of a downer, but my ...

Like Tree10Likes

Closed Thread
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 11-26-2012, 06:05 PM   #11
500th Post
 
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 988
Re: Playoff Picture - Its quite possible

Originally Posted by xan View Post
According to Football Outsiders, who are pretty accurate on these things, before the loss to the 9ers, we had an 8.6% total shot at the playoffs. Not to be too much of a downer, but my bet is that we are even less of a shot now. Even with 10 wins, we don't win tiebreaks with many teams.



With 10 wins we have a better conference record than Seattle. Those people were probably thinking Seattle will win in Chicago too and beat SF to go 11-5. No way can the redskins and giants both go 10-6. Giants would have to beat us and lose to the redskins for that to happen. Problem with that is redskins are likely splitting or losing both of their home games coming up. And who said it will be a cakewalk in Philadelphia week 16? Eagles didnt not play hard last year when they were already out. And the eagles are certainly capable of going on a late run to 8-8 and if they win in Dallas they can end up 9-7(I don't trust bucs beating a determined Vick or bengals on the road and think panthers lose tonight) and win the division(sweeping giants). If we go 10-6 we're in with Seattle losing 1 more game. NFC East is still the NFC East and too many division games coming up with them.
WillSaints81 is offline  
Latest Blogs
Saints: A glimpse of the future Last Blog: 11-19-2014 By: lee909


What i tell you ! !! ! Last Blog: 11-02-2014 By: SAINTstunna


MID TERM ELECTION Last Blog: 10-29-2014 By: teddybarexxx


Old 11-26-2012, 06:35 PM   #12
Site Donor 2014
Truth Addict
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Spanish Fort Alabama
Posts: 16,749
Re: Playoff Picture - Its quite possible

Originally Posted by xan View Post
According to Football Outsiders, who are pretty accurate on these things, before the loss to the 9ers, we had an 8.6% total shot at the playoffs. Not to be too much of a downer, but my bet is that we are even less of a shot now. Even with 10 wins, we don't win tiebreaks with many teams.
But they have pretty much everyone except the current wildcard leaders at about the same or worse percentage.

Tampa was at 15%, and if we beat them I'm sure those odds flip towards our favor.
Danno is offline  
Old 11-26-2012, 07:04 PM   #13
10000 POST CLUB
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Cypress Tx.
Posts: 16,193
Re: Playoff Picture - Its quite possible

Too early to run all the scenarios and odds. Way too much can happen..

Im sure we can serve the Giants their own ass at their home.
TheOak is offline  
Old 11-26-2012, 10:26 PM   #14
Site Donor
 
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Belle Chasse
Posts: 1,567
Re: Playoff Picture - Its quite possible

If we had Payton I'd feel pretty good about our chances. Let's face it, our offense is what sets us apart from the pack and Brees is what makes this O tick. But what makes Brees THE best QB is working with Payton. Those two together are like Montana/Walsh. It's like the football gods ordained that these two should team up.

Drew is still good enough to pull it off even without Coach. With a little help. (Run the frikkin ball!) Being down to our 18th string OT isn't helping though.
Boutte is offline  
Old 11-26-2012, 11:19 PM   #15
Site Donor
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: lafayette
Posts: 3,745
Re: Playoff Picture - Its quite possible

I see whats being said. But what did we really expect starting 0-4-
A defence thats on tract to be the worst ever. I tell u what we had apretty dam good fight going on and u never no whats in coming thursday. Another 3 game winning streak.would rap up a winning season that was vertually a 2 - 14 bury our heads in the sand season. Paytons damm proud of the boys now. And he should see we need to revamp thedef ends. Via trade or draft.
st thomas is offline  
Old 11-27-2012, 12:36 AM   #16
Site Donor
 
Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: Washington State
Posts: 326
Re: Playoff Picture - Its quite possible

You win and lose as a team, unfortunately when you are the 100 million dollar man, QB and leader, you take the hit. And quite honestly, he deserved most of the blame on this one. After busting there humps for 29 minutes and 22 seconds to gain momentum and take the lead, you can not throw a pick in that situation. He had tunnel vision on Graham and all 11 defensive players on the niners knew where he was going. Can't make that throw, period.
bobdog86 is offline  
Old 11-27-2012, 08:14 AM   #17
1000 Posts +
 
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: Wherever I lay my hat
Posts: 3,080
Re: Playoff Picture - Its quite possible

Originally Posted by TheOak View Post
Too early to run all the scenarios and odds. Way too much can happen......
Yep.

And just 2 more games will make the playoff picture so much more clear.
UK_WhoDat is offline  
Old 11-27-2012, 01:07 PM   #18
Bounty Money $$$
 
Join Date: Oct 2008
Location: 5800 Airline Dr. Metairie, LA.
Posts: 11,561
Re: Playoff Picture - Its quite possible

It's quite possible just not very plausible.
xan likes this.
Rugby Saint II is offline  
Old 11-27-2012, 01:59 PM   #19
500th Post
 
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 988
Re: Playoff Picture - Its quite possible

Originally Posted by Boutte View Post
If we had Payton I'd feel pretty good about our chances. Let's face it, our offense is what sets us apart from the pack and Brees is what makes this O tick. But what makes Brees THE best QB is working with Payton. Those two together are like Montana/Walsh. It's like the football gods ordained that these two should team up.

Drew is still good enough to pull it off even without Coach. With a little help. (Run the frikkin ball!) Being down to our 18th string OT isn't helping though.



Brees though needs to get used to getting better without Payton because he may not be back. I'm just imagining all the stuff JJ is putting in his head.
WillSaints81 is offline  
Old 11-27-2012, 03:25 PM   #20
xan
Professor Crab and
Site Donor 2014
 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Princeton
Posts: 3,065
Blog Entries: 27
Re: Playoff Picture - Its quite possible

Originally Posted by Rugby Saint II View Post
It's quite possible just not very plausible.
I'm only noting this because I'm in the middle of grading terrible papers, but "plausible" = believable, and in describing probabilities, you might wish to use "likely", as whatever probability is assigned to an outcome, its likelihood encompasses the statistical believability in that outcome.

Carry on.
xan is online now  
Closed Thread

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules

LinkBacks (?)
LinkBack to this Thread: http://blackandgold.com/saints/53198-playoff-picture-its-quite-possible.html
Posted By For Type Date Hits
The Latest New Orleans Saints News | SportSpyder This thread Refback 11-30-2012 04:55 AM 2
Playoff Picture - Its quite possible This thread Refback 11-26-2012 11:42 AM 2


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 05:02 PM.


Copyright 1997 - 2013 - BlackandGold.com
no new posts