Go Back   New Orleans Saints - blackandgold.com > Main > Saints
Shop Horizontal

A numbers game perspective on previous years NFC South finishers

this is a discussion within the Saints Community Forum; All that maths when the simple answer is 1. Saints The rest...

Like Tree12Likes

Closed Thread
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 08-21-2013, 02:14 AM   #11
Site Donor 2014
 
Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: Watford England
Posts: 3,191
Re: A numbers game perspective on previous years NFC South finishers

All that maths when the simple answer is
1. Saints
The rest
lee909 is offline  
Old 08-21-2013, 05:00 AM   #12
10000 POST CLUB
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Cypress Tx.
Posts: 15,802
Re: A numbers game perspective on previous years NFC South finishers

It has the same impact as interior color does on tire wear.
TheOak is offline  
Old 08-21-2013, 05:24 AM   #13
1000 Posts +
 
Join Date: Jan 2012
Location: "Si quaeris peninsulam amoenam, circumspice"
Posts: 4,298
Blog Entries: 15
Re: A numbers game perspective on previous years NFC South finishers

Originally Posted by TheOak View Post
Coincidence is not the same as a trend. There is absolutely no way to reliably discern what a team "will do", based on historic data.
IDK, you can compile data, analyze it and come up with some pretty accurate determinations on just about anything ... it's how they do it in Vegas, . This is a lotta' information to digest, but there's definitely an interesting coincidence in the NFC South where the majority of Division winners were fourth place finishers the prior season (but I'm not looking for one-trick-pony Carolina as contributing to that statistic this year).

I'll follow the k.i.s.s. rule though:

NFC South

1) Saints
2) Falcons
3) Panthers
4) Buccanneers
SloMotion is offline  
Old 08-21-2013, 05:27 AM   #14
100th Post
 
Join Date: Sep 2012
Posts: 403
Re: A numbers game perspective on previous years NFC South finishers

Can i get the Cliff notes?
SaintnDE is offline  
Old 08-21-2013, 08:17 AM   #15
10000 POST CLUB
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Cypress Tx.
Posts: 15,802
Re: A numbers game perspective on previous years NFC South finishers

Originally Posted by SloMotion View Post
IDK, you can compile data, analyze it and come up with some pretty accurate determinations on just about anything ... it's how they do it in Vegas, . This is a lotta' information to digest, but there's definitely an interesting coincidence in the NFC South where the majority of Division winners were fourth place finishers the prior season (but I'm not looking for one-trick-pony Carolina as contributing to that statistic this year).

I'll follow the k.i.s.s. rule though:

NFC South

1) Saints
2) Falcons
3) Panthers
4) Buccanneers
Vegas compiles relevant data...... It analyses cause and effect. They don't lay down heavy odds on irrelevant data.

Who is injured right now has some relevance on what the possible outcome of this season could be. Who finished second last season has nothing to do with who will finish first this season. Schedules have changed, players have changed, etc....

Once you get past that part, the fact that this is specific to just the NFC South like there is a mystical force in place that doesn't effect the other 7 divisions.... and doesn't effect any postseason makes it preposterous.

On Vegas.... The house was built on people thinking they have figured it out... Not by people actually figuring it out. The house always has the upper hand even if the casino is opened in my living room.


I am however quite curious as to why some scenarios start in 02 and some in 03?


There are oddities but there are gaps

If you play stupid games, you win stupid prizes.

Like and vote https://www.facebook.com/pages/Charl...44287815781246

Last edited by TheOak; 08-21-2013 at 08:26 AM..
TheOak is offline  
Old 08-21-2013, 09:47 AM   #16
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: The Woodlands
Posts: 17,324
Blog Entries: 27
Re: A numbers game perspective on previous years NFC South finishers

Originally Posted by TheOak View Post

I am however quite curious as to why some scenarios start in 02 and some in 03?
..errrr.... .because the house always wins?
TheOak likes this.
SmashMouth is offline  
Old 08-21-2013, 10:14 AM   #17
Site Donor 2014
 
Join Date: Jul 2011
Posts: 3,039
Re: A numbers game perspective on previous years NFC South finishers

And this is relevant how?
TheOak likes this.
The Dude is offline  
Old 08-21-2013, 08:03 PM   #18
In Doh We Trust
 
Join Date: Sep 2009
Location: Central Florida
Posts: 5,830
Blog Entries: 16
Re: A numbers game perspective on previous years NFC South finishers

Hey I know exactly who will win the division.

The team with the most wins.
TheOak likes this.
homerj07 is offline  
Old 08-22-2013, 07:45 AM   #19
10000 POST CLUB
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Cypress Tx.
Posts: 15,802
Re: A numbers game perspective on previous years NFC South finishers

Originally Posted by homerj07 View Post
Hey I know exactly who will win the division.

The team with the most wins.
Now THAT is a correlation that is founded on relative data .
TheOak is offline  
Old 08-30-2013, 11:35 AM   #20
10000 POST CLUB
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Cypress Tx.
Posts: 15,802
Re: A numbers game perspective on previous years NFC South finishers

Here is one for you Will.

Since 2000 No team has ever gone 0-4 in the Preseason and won the Super Bowl. The ONLY team to ever go 0-4 in the preseason and win the Super Bowl was the 1992 Red Skins, other than that the 1990 Bills and the 2000 Giants are the only teams to ever make it to a Super Bowl after going 0-4 in the preseason.

So Atlanta is out of Super Bowl contention, and so are the Steelers... Hang it up, stick a fork in them.

2012 Ravens (2-2) 49ers (3-1)
2011 Giants (2-2) Patriots (2-2)
2010 Packers (2-2) Steelers (3-1)
2009 Saints (3-1) Colts (1-3)
2008 Steelers (3-1) Cardinals (2-2)
2007 Giants (1-3) Patriots (2-2)
2006 Colts (1-3) Bears (2-2)
2005 Steelers (3-1) Seahawks (2-2)
2004 Patriots (1-3) Eagles (1-3)
2003 Patriots (4-0) Panthers (4-0)
2002 Buccaneers (3-1) Raiders (2-2)
2001 Patriots (3-1) Rams (4-1)*(played in HOF game)
2000 Ravens (4-0) Giants (0-4)


Average pre-season record of the SB winning team is 2.46-1.53
Average pre-season record of the SB losing team is 2.15-1.92

Since 2000
Nine teams had 2-2 records.
Seven teams had 3-1 records
Five teams had 1-3 records.

If you play stupid games, you win stupid prizes.

Like and vote https://www.facebook.com/pages/Charl...44287815781246
TheOak is offline  
Closed Thread

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules

LinkBacks (?)
LinkBack to this Thread: http://blackandgold.com/saints/59643-numbers-game-perspective-previous-years-nfc-south-finishers.html
Posted By For Type Date Hits
The Latest New Orleans Saints News | SportSpyder This thread Refback 08-20-2013 02:22 PM 2
A numbers game perspective on previous years NFC South finishers This thread Refback 08-20-2013 02:20 PM 26


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 05:34 AM.


Copyright 1997 - 2013 - BlackandGold.com
no new posts