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Another 'sucker' bet

this is a discussion within the Saints Community Forum; Originally Posted by ScottF Because bettors look at it and think the Saints are sure bet to cover that spread. They get sucked in and usually lose. Last week everyone took the Saints plus 4.5-- same thing End of the ...

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Old 12-07-2013, 04:02 PM   #21
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Re: Another 'sucker' bet

Originally Posted by ScottF View Post
Because bettors look at it and think the Saints are sure bet to cover that spread. They get sucked in and usually lose.
Last week everyone took the Saints plus 4.5-- same thing

End of the day, the real football experts are not at ESPN or Fox, but in Vegas. No team this year is better than 8-4 vs the spread
So, you are saying that, in reality, the spread should be closer to even, or favoring the Panthers, but Vegas is able to get incredible house odds by giving -3 to the Saints because of bettors' over-confidence?
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Old 12-08-2013, 11:45 AM   #22
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Re: Another 'sucker' bet

Originally Posted by alexonfyre View Post
So, you are saying that, in reality, the spread should be closer to even, or favoring the Panthers, but Vegas is able to get incredible house odds by giving -3 to the Saints because of bettors' over-confidence?
actually, the opposite
the majority of bettors take the favorite and the home team, so the line-makers balance that by adjusting the line up higher.
And, theoretically the home team gives another 3 points on the spread, more if the stadium is a tough place to play
the Saints are -3, which means that if this week's game was in Carolina, we'd be a 3 point or more underdog.

so if you are not bored yet and still reading, bottom line is I am surprised that we are not a 4.5 favorite. I guess that 4 TD loss is still on everyone's mind

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Old 12-09-2013, 04:33 AM   #23
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Re: Another 'sucker' bet

Originally Posted by Mardigras9 View Post
I think it will be close unfortunately. Hope I'm wrong.
You were wrong!!!
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