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Euphoria 02-24-2014 08:39 PM

TRADE OUT OF ROUND 1
 
Leaning towards a WR in round 1 but I think that only opens up for the possibility of trading back and getting more picks. Get us more bodies and more possible gems to polish.

...and it becomes cheaper for us!!!

Danno 02-24-2014 08:47 PM

Re: TRADE OUT OF ROUND 1
 
All draft picks are cheap now

saintfan 02-24-2014 08:51 PM

Re: TRADE OUT OF ROUND 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Danno (Post 579369)
All draft picks are cheap now

Yeah, and it's all a crap shoot anyway...

:couch:

ChrisXVI 02-24-2014 09:00 PM

Re: TRADE OUT OF ROUND 1
 
If the Texans don't go with a QB first overall and they want to jump back into the 1st round to make sure they get their guy... Then I'd be all for it. I guess that goes for most of the teams with the top 5 picks.

Danno 02-24-2014 09:05 PM

Re: TRADE OUT OF ROUND 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by saintfan (Post 579371)
Yeah, and it's all a crap shoot anyway...

:couch:

Then why not trade down every round and get 20 7th rounders?

saintfan 02-24-2014 09:13 PM

Re: TRADE OUT OF ROUND 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Danno (Post 579376)
Then why not trade down every round and get 20 7th rounders?

As many "late rounders" and street free agents and walk on's that we hear about, I'd almost be for it.

As I've said or at least I'm saying now, they can evaluate all day (and night). It's not a complete waste of time. Still, at the end of the day, there have only been a very few "sure things" in the NFL draft that ever proved themselves as such. Far more crashed and burned.

They're measuring the wrong things. They should all have to pass an evaluation by Dr Phil before they're allowed to declare themselves eligible.

FeelTheBrees 02-24-2014 09:18 PM

Re: TRADE OUT OF ROUND 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Danno (Post 579376)
Then why not trade down every round and get 20 7th rounders?

Discount Belichick

Danno 02-24-2014 09:24 PM

Re: TRADE OUT OF ROUND 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by saintfan (Post 579379)
As many "late rounders" and street free agents and walk on's that we hear about, I'd almost be for it.

As I've said or at least I'm saying now, they can evaluate all day (and night). It's not a complete waste of time. Still, at the end of the day, there have only been a very few "sure things" in the NFL draft that ever proved themselves as such. Far more crashed and burned.

They're measuring the wrong things. They should all have to pass an evaluation by Dr Phil before they're allowed to declare themselves eligible.

Well its a fact that 1st rounders have a higher percentage of success than 2nd rounders, and 2nd rounders have a higher percentage of success than 3rd rounders, and 3rd rounders have a higher percentage of success than 4th rounders, and so on.

But, has anyone run the stats on 20 or so arbitrary 7th rounders having more success than a 1st,2nd,3rd,4th,5th, and 6th rounder combined?


That might be an interesting comparison, twenty 7th rounder picks versus a traditional 1st thru 6th round draft.

But as I've pointed out quite successfully on numerous occasions, the draft is in no way shape or form a crap shoot.:p

saintfan 02-24-2014 09:28 PM

Re: TRADE OUT OF ROUND 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Danno (Post 579381)
Well its a fact that 1st rounders have a higher percentage of success than 2nd rounders, and 2nd rounders have a higher percentage of success than 3rd rounders, and 3rd rounders have a higher percentage of success than 4th rounders, and so on.

But, has anyone run the stats on 20 or so arbitrary 7th rounders having more success than a 1st,2nd,3rd,4th,5th, and 6th rounder combined?


That might be an interesting comparison, twenty 7th rounder picks versus a traditional 1st thru 6th round draft.

But as I've pointed out quite successfully on numerous occasions, the draft is in no way shape or form a crap shoot.:p

Oh it's a crap shoot alright, perhaps an educated one, but a crap shoot nonetheless. Just take the first round. ANY first round in history. If it were anything that resembled an exact science 1st round busts would be rare.

But they "bust" out every year. Year after year. I don't discount what you're saying. I get it. But in the end, there is no measurable that guarantees a player will be successful. There won't be one in our lifetime.

Danno 02-24-2014 09:38 PM

Re: TRADE OUT OF ROUND 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by saintfan (Post 579382)
Oh it's a crap shoot alright, perhaps an educated one, but a crap shoot nonetheless. Just take the first round. ANY first round in history. If it were anything that resembled an exact science 1st round busts would be rare.

But they "bust" out every year. Year after year. I don't discount what you're saying. I get it. But in the end, there is no measurable that guarantees a player will be successful. There won't be one in our lifetime.

A crap shoot implies that every selection from the 1st to the last has the exact same rate of success.

That just isn't so.

The odds favor 1st rounder over 2nd rounder, and 2nd over 3rd etc...

Therefore it is not a crap shoot.

You give me all 32 1st rounders and I'll give you all 32 7th rounders over the last 10 years. Who do you think will have the better team?


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