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Cortana Picks Saints to Beat Panzies

this is a discussion within the Saints Community Forum; It's now 79-42 (65%) on the year. That leaves it one game behind the Vegas favorites (80-41), which also went 10-5 in Week 8, and six games behind Nate Silver's ELO model (85-36), which went 11-4. All picks are straight ...

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Old 10-30-2014, 12:07 AM   #1
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It's now 79-42 (65%) on the year.

That leaves it one game behind the Vegas favorites (80-41), which also went 10-5 in Week 8, and six games behind Nate Silver's ELO model (85-36), which went 11-4. All picks are straight up, not against the point spread.

Cortana is a Windows phone virtual assistant that's using an algorithm from Bing Predicts to pick every NFL game this season. The algorithm uses all sorts of statistical variables, in addition to a public perception component that uses Facebook data.

Bing Predicts' World Cup model correctly picked 15 of 16 World Cup knockout stage games. We've yet to see that sort of freakish accuracy when it comes to NFL picks.

Cortana and Vegas agreed on every favorite last week.

Here are Cortana's picks for Week 9 as of Tuesday evening. We'll update them throughout the week if they change (Vegas favorites in parentheses):

New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers Saints win, 53.3% chance (Saints -2.5)


Read more: Microsoft Cortana NFL Picks, Week 9 - Business Insider

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Old 10-30-2014, 01:22 AM   #2
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Re: Cortana Picks Saints to Beat Panzies

Cortana must not be all that great, I'm just some dumb hick from south La. and I'm 77-43 in my predicitions this year (not counting the tie, don't know how they factored that one in).
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Old 10-30-2014, 09:02 AM   #3
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Re: Cortana Picks Saints to Beat Panzies

Originally Posted by SmashMouth View Post
It's now 79-42 (65%) on the year.

That leaves it one game behind the Vegas favorites (80-41), which also went 10-5 in Week 8, and six games behind Nate Silver's ELO model (85-36), which went 11-4. All picks are straight up, not against the point spread.

Cortana is a Windows phone virtual assistant that's using an algorithm from Bing Predicts to pick every NFL game this season. The algorithm uses all sorts of statistical variables, in addition to a public perception component that uses Facebook data.

Bing Predicts' World Cup model correctly picked 15 of 16 World Cup knockout stage games. We've yet to see that sort of freakish accuracy when it comes to NFL picks.

Cortana and Vegas agreed on every favorite last week.

Here are Cortana's picks for Week 9 as of Tuesday evening. We'll update them throughout the week if they change (Vegas favorites in parentheses):

New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers Saints win, 53.3% chance (Saints -2.5)


Read more: Microsoft Cortana NFL Picks, Week 9 - Business Insider
So what this is really saying is that there is a 53/47 chance the Saints win. This is the case in all NFL games. There is just a 3% chance it will swing the Saints way. They better find a way to slow the Panthers run down and keep Newton in check. I didn't think they would beat the Packers either, but look what happened there. I still feel like it was the Rogers injury that allowed the Saints to win that game. Rodgers was doing all shotgun plays which allowed the Saints defense to pass protect more while rushing because there were next to no run attempts. That won't be the case tonight. We as saints fans know what Deangelo Williams is capable of. Thank god they don't have Steve Smith anymore. I can't wait to see this one!!!! Geaux Saints!!!
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Old 10-30-2014, 09:09 AM   #4
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Re: Cortana Picks Saints to Beat Panzies

No turnovers, limit penalties. Do that and we win. Nothing astonishing, I know...
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Old 10-30-2014, 09:48 AM   #5
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Re: Cortana Picks Saints to Beat Panzies

Preparation meets desperation.
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Old 10-30-2014, 11:09 AM   #6
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Re: Cortana Picks Saints to Beat Panzies

Originally Posted by joker-saint View Post
They better find a way to slow the Panthers run down and keep Newton in check.
You do realize they have two undrafted rookies starting on the O-Line because of injuries? LT, LG, and the starting center is down as well I believe...

Carolina Panthers Injury Report for Wednesday:

Did Not Practice:
T Byron Bell (Knee) - OUT
CB Bene Benwikere (Ankle) - OUT
WR Philly Brown (Concussion) - OUT
G Amini Silatolu (Calf) - OUT
G Trai Tuner (Knee) - OUT
RB Fozzy Whittaker (Thigh) - OUT

Limited

S Thomas DeCoud (Hamstring) - Questionable
DT Kawann Short (Ankle) - Questionable

Full

T Nate Chandler (Thigh) - Probable
RB DeAngelo Williams (Ankle) - Probable
LB Jason Williams (Hip) - Probable
I was wrong; a tackle and two guards are out

Last edited by |Mitch|; 10-30-2014 at 11:12 AM..
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Old 10-30-2014, 12:42 PM   #7
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Re: Cortana Picks Saints to Beat Panzies

Originally Posted by SmashMouth View Post
It's now 79-42 (65%) on the year.

That leaves it one game behind the Vegas favorites (80-41), which also went 10-5 in Week 8, and six games behind Nate Silver's ELO model (85-36), which went 11-4. All picks are straight up, not against the point spread.

Cortana is a Windows phone virtual assistant that's using an algorithm from Bing Predicts to pick every NFL game this season.

Cortana and Vegas agreed on every favorite last week.

Here are Cortana's picks for Week 9 as of Tuesday evening. We'll update them throughout the week if they change (Vegas favorites in parentheses):

New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers Saints win, 53.3% chance (Saints -2.5)


Read more: Microsoft Cortana NFL Picks, Week 9 - Business Insider
basically it is a program that picks the favorite every time
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Old 10-31-2014, 07:08 AM   #8
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Re: Cortana Picks Saints to Beat Panzies

Smash: Is this 'Cortana' what you were using for your weekly Black&Gold Pick'em selections? . Just curious, you can PM me if you don't want to give away any secrets, .
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Old 10-31-2014, 06:22 PM   #9
 
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Re: Cortana Picks Saints to Beat Panzies

Originally Posted by SloMotion View Post
Smash: Is this 'Cortana' what you were using for your weekly Black&Gold Pick'em selections? . Just curious, you can PM me if you don't want to give away any secrets, .
Not even doing Pick'ems this year. Just thought that it was curious that a search engine could actually be just as successful as we football junkies.

We'll see what she has in store for us next week.
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