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SmashMouth 11-29-2014 08:53 AM

Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
Microsoft's Cortana had a solid Week 12, correctly predicting 11 of 15 NFL games.

It's now 116-60 (65.9%) on the season.

Cortana is a Windows phone virtual assistant that is using a Bing Predicts algorithm to predict every NFL game this season. It started at the World Cup, where it correctly predicted 15 of 16 knockout stage games, including Germany's surprising win over Brazil in the semifinal.

Week 12 was a nice bounceback week for the algorithm after it went 8-6 in Week 11.

There were a ton of big favorites (only two point spreads were within a field goal), and most of them won. Las Vegas betting favorites also went 11-4, and Nate Silver's ELO model went 12-3 — correctly predicting the Bengals over the Texans when both Cortana and Vegas had Houston as the favorite.

ELO has correctly predicted 69.8% of all NFL games this year, while Vegas favorites are right around Cortana at 115-58-3. The Bing Predicts algorithm makes picks straight up, not against the point spread.

New Orleans Saints vs. Pittsburgh Steelers — Steelers win, 75.4% chance (Steelers -3.5)

Read more: Microsoft Cortana NFL Picks, Week 13 - Business Insider


Since she's been wrong lately, does that mean we win this weekend?

saintsfan1976 11-29-2014 09:04 AM

Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
Looks like we win this one!!

halloween 65 11-29-2014 11:54 AM

Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
This time she is more than likely right!!

UK_WhoDat 11-29-2014 03:25 PM

Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
That, Cortana, is predicting a Saints loss.
That ain't no bad thing.
The prediction I mean, based on its previous efforts on predicting Saints wins.

Danno 11-29-2014 03:40 PM

Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
I had two games pegged as sure losses. Ravens and Steelers.
Even if we lose this game, and I'm thinking we do, we'll still win the division because the Falcons and Panthers suck worse than we do.

Now if we actually win this game? Watch out, it may catapult us into that "you don't wanna play the red-hot Saints in the playoffs" category.

Oh its gonna be so sweet to win it all with a 7-9 regular season record!!!
We're gonna make history!!!

dizzle88 11-29-2014 03:57 PM

Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Danno (Post 627778)
I had two games pegged as sure losses. Ravens and Steelers.
Even if we lose this game, and I'm thinking we do, we'll still win the division because the Falcons and Panthers suck worse than we do.

Now if we actually win this game? Watch out, it may catapult us into that "you don't wanna play the red-hot Saints in the playoffs" category.

Oh its gonna be so sweet to win it all with a 7-9 regular season record!!!
We're gonna make history!!!

If we did get into the playoffs with a losing record, think how fast Ol' Roger would change the playoff format

Just like when we beat Favre and the queens.

brees84 11-29-2014 05:02 PM

Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Danno (Post 627778)
Oh its gonna be so sweet to win it all with a 7-9 regular season record!!!
We're gonna make history!!!

And they are going to change playoff format the very next year. lol

The Dude 11-29-2014 10:00 PM

Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
I don't think anyone in their right mind would pick the Saints at this point.

The Dude 11-29-2014 10:02 PM

Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by brees84 (Post 627787)
And they are going to change playoff format the very next year. lol

Exactly. They were already talking about it the year Seattle beat us when they got in with a shifty record. If we do it they will change it for sure.
I think it would be dumb to exclude a division from the playoffs for any reason. Unless they structure the game a completely different direction and do away with divisions all together what would be the point? I like that every division gets represented.

RailBoss 11-29-2014 11:42 PM

Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
Steeler's seem to take games off this season, for some reason i don't think they will take a "Busman's Holiday" against the Saints.


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