Division trends
 

There are at least two division trends going on. And this will affect how we do in the division the rest of the way. I will first start with us......

Since 2011 we have gone 5-1, 3-3, 5-1, 3-3

We are not going 5-1. And if we go 3-3, then that means we lose one more game. If this trend is over we go 4-2 or 2-4.

I will go back to 2006 the start of the SP era
4-2, 3-3, 2-4, 4-2, 4-2, 5-1, 3-3, 5-1, 3-3

Notice the turnaround after 2010's 4-2. Is it possible the same thing happens this year and we go 2-4?

Now Atlanta's numbers have had one constant:odd numbered record
Since 2006(start of Payton era)
3-3, 1-5, 3-3, 3-3, 5-1, 3-3, 3-3, 1-5, 5-1

So far though Atlanta has lost two division games and can only lose one or three more. If 3-3 is the case, then we're in trouble the last game unless Atlanta wins in TB and sweeps Carolina. The other chance is 1-5, and losing at TB will help a lot as a split won't be a problem with Carolina. However getting no division wins before us equals bad. Winning in TB and getting swept by Carolina equals good. Atlanta must go 3-0 weeks 13-16 in division play or 1-2.

Now Carolina.
Since Cam was drafted
2-4, 3-3, 5-1, 4-2
There's a very interesting pattern here. Last year they went 4-2 when it was skipped over in 2013. Is the next record 5-1, 4-2 or 3-3. If 5-1, they probably lose one of the Atlanta games or to us. Should they lose to us they will go all out to sweep Atlanta to stay in the running for HFA. Should they lose to Atlanta, then that means they already beat us. Now if 3-3, they would not only have to lose to us and Atlanta, but to TB too. And this is a very strong possibility of happening because losing two games(plus likely Dallas) will end their chance at the top seed without winning and panic could set in or they would be resting starters the last game because of already have it locked up(if Arizona loses at both Seattle/St.Louis, then I think they lose to Cincinatti or Minnesota). But they could just stay at 4-2 again.

Now Tampa Bay is hard to figure out because they went 0-6 last year and 1-5 before that. Where is their peak for the team they currently have? They have Atlanta and us back to back at home. They go to Carolina. They already have two wins. In recent years the highest they went was 3-3 in 10 and 12. If that's the case then they win one more game.

With all this I think we beat Carolina week 13 but still stand the risk of losing at TB and Atlanta. And should we lose this week..then we can't lose again.

If Carolina is in a position of sweeping Atlanta to hold on to the top seed(they must win week 14 for this to happen), then chances are they will. However, we cannot forget that the game preceding Atlanta is NYG, the first of back to back road games.

I think we need Atlanta to lose week 13 in order to beat them the last game.

We are still in third place and we are hoping for the continual choking of Atlanta to help our chances unless both Seattle and St.Louis get more than 6 losses(if Seattle loses this week it can happen, and if St.Louis slips up next two weeks it can happen).

Re: Division trends
 

However it turns out I want to pick in the draft before Atlanta and Carolina.