Go Back   New Orleans Saints - blackandgold.com > Main > Saints

Dwelling on the past?

this is a discussion within the Saints Community Forum; Good summary, JKool. But, it seems to me that some guys could just cut and paste this on every thread: Under Haslett this team has failed to address \"key\" areas of need and there is little use in believing that ...

Closed Thread
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 03-21-2005, 01:05 PM   #21
Banned
 
Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 2,616
Dwelling on the past?

Good summary, JKool.

But, it seems to me that some guys could just cut and paste this on every thread:

Under Haslett this team has failed to address \"key\" areas of need and there is little use in believing that things will change as long as Haslett and co. are running the show!
Then once we get past that we could actually talk about the topic at hand.

GumboBC is offline  
Latest Blogs
Saints: A glimpse of the future Last Blog: 11-19-2014 By: lee909


What i tell you ! !! ! Last Blog: 11-02-2014 By: SAINTstunna


MID TERM ELECTION Last Blog: 10-29-2014 By: teddybarexxx


Old 03-21-2005, 01:08 PM   #22
1000 Posts +
 
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Madison, WI
Posts: 2,417
Dwelling on the past?

Right.

Here is the second thing that people need to think about then: if you describe the data sufficiently generally, you can demonstrate almost whatever you like. Saying \"we haven\'t done x in 5 years\" can be made true by merely filling in the right x. The standard rule for avoiding this is to be sure that x is the kind of thing that could be causally responsible for some thing you\'d like to show. Thus, \"not filling needs\" is the kind of thing that is causally responsible for not winning, but it masks the details, which may be illuminating. And, \"we cannot win because we never have\" is NOT the sort of thing that is causally responsible for our not winning.


"... I was beating them with my eyes the whole game..." - Aaron Brooks :cool:
JKool is offline  
Old 03-21-2005, 04:28 PM   #23
5000 POSTS! +
 
Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 5,631
Dwelling on the past?

J brings up a good point. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns (flash back to finance class!!!). This is true, and suggesting that simply b/c a player or team performed a certain way last year means he will in the coming year is a recipe for disaster.

Of course, the flip side is that if you want to make a prediction as to what a person might expect in the next season, I don\'t know how you could do that without considering previous performances. Bottom line is that what a player or team has done in the past is the best indicator of future performance that we have. It\'s not perfect, but if you look at the numbers thoroughly and consider all the factors, you can do a pretty decent job.

For example, two years ago I predicted that the Panthers would be much improved. I said I thought that they were a scary team that might even be able to win the division. I didn\'t come close to envisioning them in the Super Bowl, however at a time when most other people on this board were pointing to the Bucs and Falcons, I was probably most scared of the Panthers. Last year I said that the Falcons would be much improved and a contender just by getting Vick back. Again, I didn\'t predict them being as good as they ended up being, but...

The point is, you can do two things. Try and find out everything you can about past performances and try to figure out why they happened. Then apply current events to try and make an educated guess. OR, you can ignore the past and blindly predict 13-3 every year. I choose the former.

\"Excuses, excuses, excuses. That’s all anyone ever makes for the New Orleans Saints’ organization.\" - Eric Narcisse


\"Being a Saints fan is almost like being addicted to crack,\"
he said.[i]\"You know you should stop, but you just can\'t.\"
WhoDat is offline  
Closed Thread

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 12:31 PM.


Copyright 1997 - 2013 - BlackandGold.com
no new posts