Saints projected to receive three comp picks in 2022 NFL draft

jeanpierre · 05-10-2021, 10:08 AM

Originally Posted by AsylumGuido

It is statistically proven that the success rate of draftees declines as their draft position moves downward. In addition, the success rate of picks after the third round are markedly lower than earlier rounds, and not markedly greater than that of undrafted free agents. To me it makes more sense to trade up picking a smaller number of players that have a much higher chance of success, while looking to fill holes in the UDFA market.

Regardless, Loomis and Payton have never traded down to accumulate picks so I doubt they will begin to do so at this point.

Statistics also show some teams do better with more draft picks than others and the Saints have been better when they have more picks (e.g. 2006, 2017 Drafts)...

Especially since Jeff Ireland was brought onboard, the scouting department has improved in its player assessments...

So it'd make more sense that if you're that successful with your picks to have more picks and not limit success by combining picks...

Source: PFF | Riske: A new look at historical draft success for all 32 NFL teams

05-10-2021, 10:08 AM	#6
jeanpierre Site Donor 2018 Join Date: Mar 2008 Location: Thibodaux Posts: 43,543 Blog Entries: 39	Re: Saints projected to receive three comp picks in 2022 NFL draft Originally Posted by AsylumGuido It is statistically proven that the success rate of draftees declines as their draft position moves downward. In addition, the success rate of picks after the third round are markedly lower than earlier rounds, and not markedly greater than that of undrafted free agents. To me it makes more sense to trade up picking a smaller number of players that have a much higher chance of success, while looking to fill holes in the UDFA market. Regardless, Loomis and Payton have never traded down to accumulate picks so I doubt they will begin to do so at this point. Statistics also show some teams do better with more draft picks than others and the Saints have been better when they have more picks (e.g. 2006, 2017 Drafts)... Especially since Jeff Ireland was brought onboard, the scouting department has improved in its player assessments... So it'd make more sense that if you're that successful with your picks to have more picks and not limit success by combining picks... Source: PFF \| Riske: A new look at historical draft success for all 32 NFL teams gosaints1, K Major and Boston Saint like this.
	Last edited by jeanpierre; 05-10-2021 at 10:22 AM..