05-01-2007, 10:15 AM
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#7
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Prediction Pain
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Birmingham, AL
Posts: 1,082
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I agree with the assertion that small school kids need more time to develope than BCS school kids, but I think you have to weight your draft assessments based on several factors. Obviously, team need is major concern, and sure you can note the holes on the D line especially at tackle. However, you have to look at the strenght of the draft class. I saw several analysts say that this was a weak class at the top where only 18-20 guys are 1st round quality and only 1 of those guys was a DT (okoye). I think we lucked into one of those 18-20 guys in Meacham. Then you've got to look at the team's picks. Due to a good season last year, we are picking late in every round. Consistently having late picks puts a greater influence on value. Just look at some of AjunCajuns statistical analyses. We drafted ahead of our spot on most of our picks and signed some really promising UDFA's. Finally, look at where we stand going into the preseason. We've got cap room and a lot of high value rookies. When teams start to finalize cuts, sign new players and jockey for cap room, there's no telling who might land in our lap. We've got some very nice barganing chips in Pittman and even Meacham that might lure some big name players. Finally, rookie camp starts in two weeks. Let's give the team a chance to evaluate these guys.
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