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What has to happen for the Saints to win the NFC South !

this is a discussion within the Saints Community Forum; Going 13 - 3 will not get it done. If the Falcons end up 13 - 3 they get the tiebreaker. Now we need the Falcons to lose to Seattle or one of the Carolina games and of course to ...

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Old 12-06-2010, 06:50 AM   #1
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Going 13 - 3 will not get it done. If the Falcons end up 13 - 3 they get the tiebreaker. Now we need the Falcons to lose to Seattle or one of the Carolina games and of course to us. The only game the Saints can afford to lose now is the Baltimore game. And they may need that game to make sure they get the wildcard.
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Old 12-05-2010, 11:19 AM   #2
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Old 12-05-2010, 01:10 PM   #3
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the defensive front 4 have to get better. They are being handled in the first half of the bengals game so far
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Old 12-06-2010, 06:09 AM   #4
 
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Old 12-07-2010, 03:13 PM   #5
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I was wrong, the Saints cannot afford any loss. The second tiebreaker is common opponents not conference record. So a loss to Baltimore would not be good because the Falcons beat Baltimore. Saints have to win last 4and along with a loss to the Saints the Falcons need to lose to Carolina or Seattle.
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Old 12-08-2010, 06:27 AM   #6
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Originally Posted by CAL24 View Post
I was wrong, the Saints cannot afford any loss. The second tiebreaker is common opponents not conference record. So a loss to Baltimore would not be good because the Falcons beat Baltimore. Saints have to win last 4and along with a loss to the Saints the Falcons need to lose to Carolina or Seattle.
If the second tiebreaker is common opponents, didn't the Falcons loose to Pittsburgh? We destroyed Pittsburgh!
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Old 12-08-2010, 05:46 PM   #7
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Originally Posted by bpd691 View Post
If the second tiebreaker is common opponents, didn't the Falcons loose to Pittsburgh? We destroyed Pittsburgh!
Yes, they did. BUT they beat both the Cardinals and the Browns, so they hold that tiebreaker. We beat one team that beat them, they beat two teams that beat us.

I believe their other loss was to Chicago, whom we don't play in the regular season.
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Old 12-08-2010, 07:25 PM   #8
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Originally Posted by Memnoch_TP View Post
Yes, they did. BUT they beat both the Cardinals and the Browns, so they hold that tiebreaker. We beat one team that beat them, they beat two teams that beat us.

I believe their other loss was to Chicago, whom we don't play in the regular season.
Philly, not Chicago. Their NFC North partner for the year was the Packers while we got the Vikings. That's the non shared opponent in that division. In the East the 'clowns got Philly (who they lost to) while we got Dallas.

SFIAH
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Old 12-09-2010, 12:19 AM   #9
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Originally Posted by SaintFanInATLHELL View Post
Philly, not Chicago. Their NFC North partner for the year was the Packers while we got the Vikings. That's the non shared opponent in that division. In the East the 'clowns got Philly (who they lost to) while we got Dallas.

SFIAH
Thanks, I wasn't sure and I was too lazy to look it up.
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Old 12-08-2010, 07:19 PM   #10
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Originally Posted by bpd691 View Post
If the second tiebreaker is common opponents, didn't the Falcons loose to Pittsburgh? We destroyed Pittsburgh!
It's the third tiebreaker. After head to head and division record but before conference record. Not a bad argument since two teams in a division has 12 common opponents each year.

All it really takes is one loss of the 'clowns against the Panthers in either of the two tries to send them down the tubes. Here are the scenarios:

1) Saints win out, 'clowns only lose to Saints.
'Clowns win the division:
Overall Record: 13-3 each
Head to head record: 1-1 each
Division record: 5-1 each (one loss to each other)
Common opponents: 'clowns 11-1 (loss to Pittsburg) Saints 10-2 (loss to Browns and Cards)

2)Saints Win out, 'clowns lose one to Panthers or Seattle:
Saints win the division:
Overall Record: Saints 13-3 'Clowns 12-4

3) Saints lose to Baltimore, win others, 'clowns lose one to Panthers
Saints win the division:
Overall Record: 12-4 each
Head to Head: 1-1
Division Record: Saints 5-1 'Clowns 4-2

4) Saints lose to Baltimore, win others, 'clowns lose one to Seattle
Saints win the division:
Overall Record: 12-4 each
Head to Head: 1-1
Division Record: 5-1 each
Common opponents: 10-2 each
Conference Record: Saints 10-2 'Clowns 9-3

5) Saints lose to Rams, win others, 'clowns lose one to Panthers
Saints win the division:
Overall record: 12-4 each
Head to Head: 1-1
Division Record: Saints 5-1 Clowns 4-2

6) Saints lose to Rams, win others, 'clowns lose one to Seattle
'Clowns win the division
Overall record: 12-4 each
Head to Head: 1-1
Division Record: 5-1 each
Common opponents: 'Clowns 10-2, Saints 9-3

So the bottom line is that the Baltimore game is probably the single game we can afford to drop. Division, Common, or Conference losses (TB, Rams, 'Clowns) sends the whole ship down the tubes. OTOH the Panthers are our best buds for the moment. Maybe they will "Rise UP!" (I hate that commercial!)

Here are the tiebreakers:

NFL Tie-Breaking Procedures

SFIAH

Super Bowl Championships: New Orleans Saints:1, Carolina:0, Atlanta Chokers: STILL ZERO

Only Atlanta choked in an unchokable situation... Life is definitely good.
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