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I think the game comes down to our D verses 49ers O.

Its the play offs. In order to win now you have to rely on something other than what got you here.

Its our D that is going to have to outshine 49ers.

EVERYONE is looking at this game wrong.

DOnt care

JUST WIN BABY!!

Quote:

Originally Posted by pumpkindriver (Post 368743)

The one thing thats rarely talked about is whether or not the 9ers O line can protect Smith. I don't think they can, and while it was a preseason game, we did sack him a bunch of times. As good as their D is, their O is anemic and we should hold them to around 20-23 points at the most. The way our O has been playing I don't see their D holding us to under 30.
Saints-31
Niners-23

I like your guess pumpkindriver. I did an analysis of the two team stats and this is what I came up with:

Saints Offense

Average 334. 2 passing
Average 132.9 rushing

Niners Defense

Average 230.9 passing
Average 77.2 rushing

Final statistic:

Saints get 282.55 passing and 105.5 rushing = 387.60 yards
Average field position on kickoff is on the 20 yard line so that would give the Saints 4.85 scoring opportunity's which equals 4 TDs and 3 FGs 37points.
387.60 divided by 80 equals 4.84

On the Niners side

Niners offense

Average 183.1 passing
Average 127.8 rushing

Saints defense

Average 259.8 passing
Average 108.6 rushing

Final statistic:
Niners get 221.45 passing and 118.2 rushing = 339.65 yards
Average field position on kickoff is on the 20 yard line so that would give the Niners 4.24 scoring opportunity's which equals 4 TDs and 1 FG 31points.
339.65 divided by 80 equals 4.24

Final score:

Saints 37
Niners 31

Joker I would add a few things;

Home field adv. +3 for the Niners

Turnover differential. San Fran is +28, New Orleans is -3. I'd add 6pts (two fg's or one td)

Third down conversion. Saints covert 56%, SF only 35%. Both defenses five up 3rd down only 35% of the time. Slight edge to Saints +6

I think the game is within 3-5 points.

Saints must limit mistakes, keep it to 3rd and short and get TDs not FGs.

Quote:

Originally Posted by saintsfan1976 (Post 369225)

ANY QUESTIONS??

3NO D was stout today. Nothing on O in the 2&3 Quarters.