Go Back   New Orleans Saints - blackandgold.com > Main > Saints
Shop Horizontal

The absurdly premature playoff picture

this is a discussion within the Saints Community Forum; Shutdown Corner Wed Nov 18, 2009 1:44 pm EST The absurdly premature playoff picture: Week 10 By MJD See last week's absurdly premature playoff picture here. AFC First-Round Byes: Indianapolis Colts Cincinnati Bengals Other AFC Divisional Champions: New England Patriots ...

Closed Thread
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 11-20-2009, 12:56 PM   #1
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2009
Posts: 171
The absurdly premature playoff picture

Shutdown Corner Wed Nov 18, 2009 1:44 pm EST

The absurdly premature playoff picture: Week 10
By MJD




See last week's absurdly premature playoff picture here.

AFC First-Round Byes:
Indianapolis Colts
Cincinnati Bengals

Other AFC Divisional Champions:
New England Patriots
San Diego Chargers

AFC Wild Cards:
Pittsburgh Steelers
Denver Broncos

NFC First-Round Byes:
New Orleans Saints
Minnesota Vikings

Other NFC Divisional Champions:
Dallas Cowboys
Arizona Cardinals

NFC Wild Cards:
Philadelphia Eagles
Green Bay Packers

As promised, with its win over Pittsburgh, Cincinnati slides into the second first-round bye spot in the AFC. The Bengals thoroughly earned it. They should stay there for a while, too, as their next three games are against three teams that would be playing in the UFL next year if the NFL worked like English soccer: Oakland, Cleveland and Detroit.

We also had a change in the divisional champion out west, with San Diego taking over for Denver. As always, this comes with the requisite warning that this could be a homer pick, and if you believe it is, well, fair enough. The good news? Any homerism gets rectified this weekend, as the Chargers and Broncos play for that spot. AFC West Divisional Champion spot ... ON THE LINE.

I like San Diego in that game, though, which is why I've given the Chargers the nod today. They're a better team today than they were when they played Denver the first time, and I don't know if anyone can say conclusively that the Broncos aren't worse. Especially if Kyle Orton(notes) can't go.

Over in the NFC, everything stays the same outside of the wild-card spots, which are a mess. There's a gaggle of teams at 5-4: Philadelphia, New York, Green Bay and Atlanta. We've also got a couple of 4-5 teams we can't completely discount yet: Chicago, Carolina and San Francisco. Of those, the 49ers have the most favorable schedule remaining, but their win over the Bears was not exactly the stuff of which legends are made.

I ended up going with Philadelphia and Green Bay, simply because of the "When in doubt, go with the best quarterbacks" philosophy. Philadelphia put forth a game effort in San Diego; the Eagles shot their feet off in the red zone. If Brian Westbrook(notes) is out for a while (and I've got a hunch he will be), that'll hurt, but the Eagles deserve a chance to show they're prepared for his absence, which they absolutely should be.

If that defensive performance Green Bay put forth against Dallas was real, I love Green Bay's chances to snag a wild-card spot. The Packers are still far from a perfect team, obviously, but they're the most explosive offense in wild-card contendership, and if the defense can start to match that at all, I




source: yahoo sports
Attached Thumbnails
Click image for larger version

Name:	ept_sports_nfl_experts-8451656-1258569746.jpg
Views:	0
Size:	54.8 KB
ID:	624  
ArmySaintFan is offline  
Old 11-21-2009, 09:48 AM   #2
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: The Woodlands
Posts: 17,140
Blog Entries: 27
Re: The absurdly premature playoff picture

Originally Posted by ArmySaintFan View Post
Shutdown Corner Wed Nov 18, 2009 1:44 pm EST

The absurdly premature playoff picture: Week 10
By MJD




See last week's absurdly premature playoff picture here.

AFC First-Round Byes:
Indianapolis Colts
Cincinnati Bengals

Other AFC Divisional Champions:
New England Patriots
San Diego Chargers

AFC Wild Cards:
Pittsburgh Steelers
Denver Broncos

NFC First-Round Byes:
New Orleans Saints
Minnesota Vikings

Other NFC Divisional Champions:
Dallas Cowboys
Arizona Cardinals

NFC Wild Cards:
Philadelphia Eagles
Green Bay Packers

As promised, with its win over Pittsburgh, Cincinnati slides into the second first-round bye spot in the AFC. The Bengals thoroughly earned it. They should stay there for a while, too, as their next three games are against three teams that would be playing in the UFL next year if the NFL worked like English soccer: Oakland, Cleveland and Detroit.

We also had a change in the divisional champion out west, with San Diego taking over for Denver. As always, this comes with the requisite warning that this could be a homer pick, and if you believe it is, well, fair enough. The good news? Any homerism gets rectified this weekend, as the Chargers and Broncos play for that spot. AFC West Divisional Champion spot ... ON THE LINE.

I like San Diego in that game, though, which is why I've given the Chargers the nod today. They're a better team today than they were when they played Denver the first time, and I don't know if anyone can say conclusively that the Broncos aren't worse. Especially if Kyle Orton(notes) can't go.

Over in the NFC, everything stays the same outside of the wild-card spots, which are a mess. There's a gaggle of teams at 5-4: Philadelphia, New York, Green Bay and Atlanta. We've also got a couple of 4-5 teams we can't completely discount yet: Chicago, Carolina and San Francisco. Of those, the 49ers have the most favorable schedule remaining, but their win over the Bears was not exactly the stuff of which legends are made.

I ended up going with Philadelphia and Green Bay, simply because of the "When in doubt, go with the best quarterbacks" philosophy. Philadelphia put forth a game effort in San Diego; the Eagles shot their feet off in the red zone. If Brian Westbrook(notes) is out for a while (and I've got a hunch he will be), that'll hurt, but the Eagles deserve a chance to show they're prepared for his absence, which they absolutely should be.

If that defensive performance Green Bay put forth against Dallas was real, I love Green Bay's chances to snag a wild-card spot. The Packers are still far from a perfect team, obviously, but they're the most explosive offense in wild-card contendership, and if the defense can start to match that at all, I




source: yahoo sports

Where is that formula that was started earlier in the year and posted depicting chances and probabilities and so on?
SmashMouth is offline  
Old 11-21-2009, 10:26 AM   #3
The Professor
 
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Lithonia, GA
Posts: 1,408
Re: The absurdly premature playoff picture

Originally Posted by SmashMouth View Post
Where is that formula that was started earlier in the year and posted depicting chances and probabilities and so on?
You meant this????

NFC Playoff Picture

I track it every week. I also love the Magic Number page. The Saints have a Magic # of 3 for the division. That means we would win the South either Sunday or Monday of next week presuming we win both games and the 'clowns drop at least 1.

SFIAH
SaintFanInATLHELL is offline  
Old 11-21-2009, 09:38 PM   #4
100th Post
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 246
Re: The absurdly premature playoff picture

Oy, I don't like playing a team twice. (Eagles or Cowboys)
bobad is offline  
Old 11-21-2009, 10:19 PM   #5
Bounty Money $$$
 
Join Date: Oct 2008
Location: 5800 Airline Dr. Metairie, LA.
Posts: 11,013
Re: The absurdly premature playoff picture

It's just nice to be looking to HFA instead of trying to figure out how we could make it with a wild card.
Rugby Saint II is offline  
Closed Thread

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 03:32 AM.


Copyright 1997 - 2013 - BlackandGold.com
no new posts