Goff, meanwhile, signed the richest guaranteed-contract deal in NFL history — a deal that doesn’t even kick in until next year — and yet he’s got more than a few observers wondering if last year was a fluke rather than a harbinger. He’s down in all major statistical categories, including completion percentage, touchdowns, touchdown percentage, yards per attempt, and quarterback rating. It’s like Goff and McVay caught the NFL napping in 2018 and punched the league in the face, but the league woke up and punched back hard.

And then there’s Gurley, who seemed to be the kind of unicorn running back you’d buck conventional wisdom to draft early … but has ended up a case study in why conventional wisdom might just be wise after all. For a couple years, he was as good as you could be in the NFL, leading the league in (non-kicker) scoring, touchdowns and all-purpose yards in 2017. He signed a deal making him — see if this sounds familiar — the highest-paid running back in NFL history back in 2018. But now he’s apparently either in the early stages of arthritis or, best case, just dealing with a steady age-related decline in production — at age 25.