Re: Grading the 2018 Saints draft class, three years in | USA Today/SaintsWire
 

That's good info to have. Thanks for sharing.

Re: Grading the 2018 Saints draft class, three years in | USA Today/SaintsWire
 

Where did you get that 35% number from? Is that descriptive of the starting 11 on each side of the ball? Top 51? Practice squad? Year to Year? Seriously, how did you arrive at that percentage?

Re: Grading the 2018 Saints draft class, three years in | USA Today/SaintsWire
 

I have a hard time believing only 35 percent of guys drafted make rosters. There are 224 picks a year (a few extra for compensation picks). 35 percent of that is just over 78 guys, so let’s round to 80. I easily could be mistaken, but I would think more than 80 guys a draft class make a roster. That doesn’t even get you through round 3.

Re: Grading the 2018 Saints draft class, three years in | USA Today/SaintsWire
 

It's a figure that has been given many times on the success of draft choices. I was confirming what SaintGnome was saying. He said the number was in the 30's. I've heard and read the same. I didn't calculate it on my own. To be honest, that may include undrafted free agents.

I have also heard it the other way around where 65% never have what is considered a successful career.

Re: Grading the 2018 Saints draft class, three years in | USA Today/SaintsWire
 

It probably includes UDFA's.

I know profootballreference.com had a metric that measured success of actual draft choices called "draft value" or something like that. Here's some numbers from a 20 year study ending in 2017.

10.5% average
12.3% good
6.8% great
1% legendary

That leaves 69.4% that were rated below that.

Re: Grading the 2018 Saints draft class, three years in | USA Today/SaintsWire
 

There were at least 409 UFDA's last year. Combined with draft picks it would come out to around 650. 35% of that would be around 227, or a little over seven per team. Last year 246 rookies made NFL week one rosters.

That would make it 38% of rookies that were on 90 man rosters made it to the week one roster in 2020.

Here's an interesting chart. Only 34 UFDA's made rosters in 2020, way down from 78 UFDA's in 2013.

https://operations.nfl.com/media/446...=max&width=995

Re: Grading the 2018 Saints draft class, three years in | USA Today/SaintsWire
 

We own the UDFA market. New Orleans is where people can make a name for themselves and Payton picks the player for the roster because of the fit not their draft position. The league knows that and New Orleans is a desired location.

Re: Grading the 2018 Saints draft class, three years in | USA Today/SaintsWire
 

The league likes to claim that the average players career is 3.3 years. At 1700 players (32 x 53) that means the league must import 515 players a year to maintain stability. So, somehow those numbers don’t add up. If we go with the 650 mentioned earlier, then 515/650 sure isn’t 35 percent. So either the claim of a 3.3 career average is wrong, or a lot more than 35% of rookies make the league.

Re: Grading the 2018 Saints draft class, three years in | USA Today/SaintsWire
 

It would have to be the average length of a career, because it is absolutely verifiable the number of rookies drafted and signed as UDFA's every year and also make the opening day roster. However, what isn't included is the number of rookies that are picked up during the season. Practice squads are continuously evolving all season long.

Another possible factor is that a rookie signed to a 90 man roster and cut and never resigned has a career length of zero which is factored into the overall number. With that in mind an average career of 3.3 years makes perfect sense. If only 246 of 650 signed rookies made the week one roster in 2020 it means that 404 2020 rookies potentially had careers of zero years.

Re: Grading the 2018 Saints draft class, three years in | USA Today/SaintsWire
 

So you see my point about the numbers being...flexible depending on the parameters set?