Poll

lumm0x · 08-27-2003, 09:10 AM

What have you proved with this:

we do see that teams that go on to postseason qualification generally perform above average, if only a little, in the preseason. Furthermore, a better percentage of teams with winning preseason records make the playoffs than teams with losing preseason records, by about 15%.

The guy says over and iover in this article how a successful preseason produces a more playoff qualifying teams, how they statistically achieve over .500 records, and how it equates into a \"slightly above average\" regaular season percentage over the last 6 years.

Overall, the .538 preseason winning percentage of playoff teams isn\'t significant, as it equates into only 8.6 wins per a 16-game season. A .545 winning percentage is only slightly above average in NFL terms, so really, it appears there is little to no advantage to closing a season strong if you try to apply it to the following year.

Damn, I\'d hate to have statistics that promote optimistic expectations such as a historical record that if we do well in preseason we will likely be 9-7 if we are like the average of teams. Do us both a favor Billy, find out what the average regular season record is over the last 6 years for teams that finished 0-4 or 1-3 in the preseason is. I would be amazed if it happens to be below .500 wouldn\'t you. When you\'re dealing with a 16 game schedule.....1 game win/lose is very important. While historical statistics can be swayed to support both sides of any arguement, they are only weakly related to the question at hand. As you once so boldly pronouced to BucNup, last year means nothing. Why then, go back and use our last year\'s statistics to predict what we\'ll do this year? The only eveidence we have to work with in \"this year\" is the preseason, so by your arguement, it is the only evidence we are allowed to use to base our arguements on.
So I ask you this, based on the preseason EVIDENCE only, what factual items can you use to support that we have the possibility of improving our defense this year in statistical ranking? And I will give you that we a factually stopwatch faster than we were last year, thus, allowing our players the \"opportunity\" to make plays.

08-27-2003, 09:10 AM	#21
lumm0x Resident antediluvian Join Date: Jul 2002 Posts: 2,026	Poll What have you proved with this: we do see that teams that go on to postseason qualification generally perform above average, if only a little, in the preseason. Furthermore, a better percentage of teams with winning preseason records make the playoffs than teams with losing preseason records, by about 15%. The guy says over and iover in this article how a successful preseason produces a more playoff qualifying teams, how they statistically achieve over .500 records, and how it equates into a \"slightly above average\" regaular season percentage over the last 6 years. Overall, the .538 preseason winning percentage of playoff teams isn\'t significant, as it equates into only 8.6 wins per a 16-game season. A .545 winning percentage is only slightly above average in NFL terms, so really, it appears there is little to no advantage to closing a season strong if you try to apply it to the following year. Damn, I\'d hate to have statistics that promote optimistic expectations such as a historical record that if we do well in preseason we will likely be 9-7 if we are like the average of teams. Do us both a favor Billy, find out what the average regular season record is over the last 6 years for teams that finished 0-4 or 1-3 in the preseason is. I would be amazed if it happens to be below .500 wouldn\'t you. When you\'re dealing with a 16 game schedule.....1 game win/lose is very important. While historical statistics can be swayed to support both sides of any arguement, they are only weakly related to the question at hand. As you once so boldly pronouced to BucNup, last year means nothing. Why then, go back and use our last year\'s statistics to predict what we\'ll do this year? The only eveidence we have to work with in \"this year\" is the preseason, so by your arguement, it is the only evidence we are allowed to use to base our arguements on. So I ask you this, based on the preseason EVIDENCE only, what factual items can you use to support that we have the possibility of improving our defense this year in statistical ranking? And I will give you that we a factually stopwatch faster than we were last year, thus, allowing our players the \"opportunity\" to make plays.