Football Outsiders Predictions for 2011

xan · 09-06-2011, 07:56 PM

FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS: Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis | 2011 DVOA Projections

There are a lot of surprises, especially projecting the Saints' D to be 30th overall considering they were top 5 last year and top 20 the past 3. Maybe this is wishful homerism, but my eyes saw improvement in the front seven.

Also interesting that they believe that we will win the South, presumably through a tiebreak with ATL, going 9-7 (or 10-6, depending on the statistical method.)

Danno · 09-06-2011, 10:10 PM

Best site for analysis anywhere.

homerj07 · 09-06-2011, 10:15 PM

Stats have a purpose BUT too much reliance scews reality. Stats ignore human elements like heart, desire, contract year, heated rivalry, etc.

Danno · 09-06-2011, 10:16 PM

Originally Posted by homerj07

Stats have a purpose BUT too much reliance scews reality. Stats ignore human elements like heart, desire, contract year, heated rivalry, etc.

And this site comes as close to reality as any I've ever read.

saintsfan1976 · 09-06-2011, 10:20 PM

But can be completely off-base, at the same time.

09-06-2011, 07:56 PM	#1
xan Professor Crab and Site Donor 2014 Join Date: Oct 2004 Location: Princeton Posts: 3,371 Blog Entries: 34	Football Outsiders Predictions for 2011 FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS: Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis \| 2011 DVOA Projections There are a lot of surprises, especially projecting the Saints' D to be 30th overall considering they were top 5 last year and top 20 the past 3. Maybe this is wishful homerism, but my eyes saw improvement in the front seven. Also interesting that they believe that we will win the South, presumably through a tiebreak with ATL, going 9-7 (or 10-6, depending on the statistical method.)

09-06-2011, 10:16 PM	#4
Danno Truth Addict Join Date: Dec 2003 Location: Spanish Fort, AL (via NO and B/R) Posts: 24,723	Originally Posted by homerj07 Stats have a purpose BUT too much reliance scews reality. Stats ignore human elements like heart, desire, contract year, heated rivalry, etc. And this site comes as close to reality as any I've ever read.

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09-06-2011, 10:10 PM	#2
Danno Truth Addict Join Date: Dec 2003 Location: Spanish Fort, AL (via NO and B/R) Posts: 24,723	Best site for analysis anywhere.

09-06-2011, 10:15 PM	#3
homerj07 In Doh We Trust Join Date: Sep 2009 Location: Central Florida Posts: 7,027 Blog Entries: 16	Stats have a purpose BUT too much reliance scews reality. Stats ignore human elements like heart, desire, contract year, heated rivalry, etc.

09-06-2011, 10:20 PM	#5
saintsfan1976 10000 POST CLUB Join Date: Apr 2007 Location: Atlanta Posts: 10,846 Blog Entries: 3	But can be completely off-base, at the same time.