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this is a discussion within the Saints Community Forum; THE DON'S Crystal Ball WEEK 3 PICKS By DonCanabis/TheDon Analyst/Godfather CONGRATS TO THE 2010 DON’S PREDICTION LEAGUE CHAMPIONS *** Mlmpetert from thewarpath.net *** *** Sparty from detroitlionsforum.com *** We’ve been very lucky the past two weeks we have had some ...
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09-24-2011, 12:21 PM | #1 |
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Don's Crytal Ball Week 3 Picks
THE DON'S Crystal Ball WEEK 3 PICKS By DonCanabis/TheDon Analyst/Godfather CONGRATS TO THE 2010 DON’S PREDICTION LEAGUE CHAMPIONS *** Mlmpetert from thewarpath.net *** *** Sparty from detroitlionsforum.com *** We’ve been very lucky the past two weeks we have had some great football. We had some fake injuries, players playing with broken ribs and puncture lungs, QB’s passing for crazy amount of yards. M.Vick getting knocked out by his player, Buffalo winning on the buzzer just an awesome week. I tried to wait the most this week because of both the M.Vick and Romo injuries to see if they would be able to play this week and how well they could. So I apologize for the delay Quick Hits
On to the games Jacksonville at Carolina -3.5 Ovr/Und 43 Its Blaine Gabbert debut, even with the short offseason the rookie QB’s have looked good or at least decent. But he’s facing another rookie QB that has shown he can move the ball and doesn’t get rattle even against the Super Bowl Champs. So take the Panthers to win this week but don’t expect them to cover the over I don’t feel they will get a lot of help from the Jaguars. Straight: CAR Spread: CAR Ovr/Und: UND Houston at New Orleans -4 Ovr/Und 43 Houston has looked really good and as I predicted it the biggest addition for them was wade Phillips. New Orleans came back huge last week but will be without their defensive leader. Houston known for his offense is their defense that has done the talking, #1 defense and #1 scoring defense. It faces its biggest competition or real test this week. I like Houston but I have to go with the more seasoned team playing at home in one of the toughest venues. Straight: NO Spread: NO Ovr/Und: OVR New England at Buffalo 8.5 Ovr/Und 53 I expected Buffalo to look better this year but not this good. With all the yardage New England is putting Buffalo is the #1 scoring offense, but New England is the hot hand winning by double digits each week so I expect a reality check for buffalo this week. Still New England with the mastermind Head Coach is the #31 defense in the league so I expect a high scoring close match Straight: NE Spread: BUF Ovr/Und: OVR Miami at Cleveland 2.5 Ovr/Und 41 For some reason Miami just can’t win at home. Week 3 is always tricky because it’s the time you see the biggest upsets. No team wants to start the season 0-3 because history tells us that you might as well start with your draft scouting because your season is over. Cleveland is a hard team to figure out right now they’re playing good defense but they played Cincinnati and the shell of a Colts team. Expect a close slow scoring game on this one but I give the advantage to Miami just because they’re in survival mode. Straight: MIA Spread: MIA Ovr/Und: UND Denver at Tennessee -7 Ovr/Und 42 UPSET OF THE WEEK Tennessee pulled the biggest upset last week, their defense is playing good and they’re no longer relying on C.J to save the day heck I believe C.J is still on holdout because he hasn’t been seen on the field. Denver’s front seven has been hurt and they’re 28th against the run so maybe we can see C.J show up this week. Tennessee is a little bang up also and could be without their biggest weapon right now in Britt. I expect last week win will be too much for Tennessee and I expect them to be overconfident for a new team like Baltimore was last week so take Denver in this week upset. Straight: DEN Spread: DEN Ovr/Und: UND New York Giants at Philadelphia -6 Ovr/Und 44 The Black Cloud hasn’t moved away from New York apparently losing two more key players last week Hixon for the season and Super Mario with a concussion. Love him or hate him M. Vick is a playmaker he will drive you crazy at times and be reckless with the ball but, last week against a really good team and even with 3 straight turnovers he still had his team on the lead before he was pulled out. I expect the Giants to go after him and test him early and often but the Giants are just too banged up to take this week. Straight: PHI Spread: PHI Ovr/Und: OVR Detroit at Minnesota -3.5 Ovr/Und 45 Detroit has come out guns blazing we all expected a great defense but the offense hasn’t been too shabby either. M.Stafford has shown for the past years that if he just could stay healthy he could be an impact player and he has shown it in a big way this past two weeks. Donovan’s career is definitely over this was his last stop is sad to see it end like this. The Vikings look old in both sides of the field and they’re playing one of the best run defenses in the NFL so I can’t see an Upset this week even at home. Straight:DET Spread:DET Ovr/Und:UND San Francisco at Cincinnati -2.5 Ovr/Und 40.5 Both these team’s defenses have played good, hard & physical but last week both folded at the end. Cincinnati will be without 2 of his top two WR one because of season Injury and the other because of Career Stupidity. It’s still a probability that Simpson might still play this Sunday (only in Cincinnati) but, with all the legal troubles coming his way even if he shows up I don’t expect him to be there. San Francisco needs Cabtree to play this week badly last week after Edwards went down their offense just couldn’t move the ball, Smith needs a target to throw to. Take the 49ers on this one too many factors for the Bengals this week. Straight: SF Spread: SF Ovr/Und: UND New York Jets at Oakland Raiders 3 Ovr/Und 41 The Jets had a huge loss last week losing not only the most important player in that Jets Oline but the guy that helps Sanchez the most. Oakland has looked good these past two weeks keeping games close. Without their top 2 WR this week playing against that Jets defense I believe it will be way too much for Campbell to handle. Straight: NYJ Spread: NYJ Ovr/Und: UND Kansas City at San Diego -14.5 Ovr/Und 45 I said last week that I hated 3 score lines in the NFL and I expected this with Kansas City after how they been playing the past two weeks. The reality is that with the loss of J. Charles this team is getting worse by the week. Take the points take the over, KC is lost right now and San Diego needs this win badly. Straight: SD Spread: SD Ovr/Und: OVR Baltimore at St. Louis 4 Ovr/Und 41.5 So week one Baltimore light it up, in week two they completely dropped the ball so can we expect another big score this week. The Rams will probably be without their top 2 HB this week and playing against a hungry defense that looked awful last week. Take Baltimore and the points on this one I expect an aggressive high scoring game. Straight: BAL Spread: BAL Ovr/Und: OVR Green Bay at Chicago 3.5 Ovr/Und 46 UPSET OF THE WEEK I’m going to go on a limb on this one. Green Bay has won both weeks but their defense hasn’t looked great they have allowed a lot of points and lost Nick Collins for the season last week. This is a divisional game and a rematch of last year’s NFC Championship. I don’t expect Chicago to repeat this season but they match up well against the Packers. This are usually close low scoring games and you know Cutler had to mark this week when the schedule came up he has something to prove. Straight: CHI Spread: CHI Ovr/Und: UND Arizona at Seattle : 3.5 Ovr/Und 43 I wouldn’t be surprised if this game turns out to be an upset. Seattle needs the win, they usually play good at home and the Cardinals have a history of not traveling well up north. But the Seahawks haven’t shown me or anybody else anything to believe they can pull the upset. So take Arizona for the win but I believe this game will be close. Straight: ARI Spread: SEA Ovr/Und: UND Atlanta at Tampa Bay : -1.5 Ovr/Und 45.5 Atlanta hasn’t looked good; they came from behind last week and took the win from Philadelphia. But they haven’t looked like the team some people expect to contend for a Super Bowl but Tampa looked worse. This is a great rivalry hard hitting but the Bucs are having or will have the season that I expect them to have after last year’s mirage. They are a good team don’t get me wrong but they’re still too young. Straight: ATL Spread: ATL Ovr/Und: OVR Pittsburgh at Indianapolis : 10.5 Ovr/Und 39.5 The Steelers showed up last week last week like I expected them to do. Indianapolis looks like a team that already has drop the towel. Expect the Steelers to repeat the formula this week and come after Collins, take the points and the over on this one. Straight: PIT Spread: PIT Ovr/Und: Ovr Washington at Dallas : -4.5 Ovr/Und 45 I waited to post this column so long because of this game; I just wanted to hear information about the injuries. It looks like Romo will play this week, which I don’t believe is a great idea. If Dallas would be healthy I might sign a different tune. But the reality is that the Cowboys have too many players hurt out or banged up in key positions on both sides of the ball. You have Romo, Austin, Dez, Jones and Witten with injuries plus 3 of their Oline man are hurt also. This is a team with a desperate need of the bye week. You add that Washington is playing good football that Grossman has looked good and that defense is playing really well and will go after Romo. Take Was on this one. Straight: WAS Spread: WAS Ovr/Und: OVR The Hot Picks Record 8-4 66% 3-0 in Upset picks Baltimore (league) Atlanta(league) Detroit (league) Washington Buffalo Pittsburgh Don’s Prediction League Leaders
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09-25-2011, 01:05 AM | #4 |
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I liked his first two quick hits, about cam and romo. The one about romo was dead on, He'll never be like the elite 4, even if he does manage to someday get dallas to the SB. Anyhow, I also tend to agree with his take on our game. This is gonna be one helluva ride.
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09-25-2011, 06:26 AM | #5 |
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Saints 37-27.
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09-25-2011, 06:40 AM | #6 |
Deuce
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09-25-2011, 10:27 PM | #7 |
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Hey Don's back !
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09-26-2011, 10:21 AM | #8 |
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