Coin Toss???

Memnoch_TP · 11-17-2011, 09:24 AM

Originally Posted by Danno

To recap...

...they have now lost all 11 tosses this season. The odds of that are 1 in 2,048.

... the Saints’ current coin flip futility is even more rare than a perfect season.

That's the dicey thing about coin toss statistics. The mathematical calculations give that string of results a 1:2048 probability, but the results of the previous 11 tosses have no effect on the next toss. So the chances of us losing the next coin toss are not 1:4096, they are 1:2.

11-17-2011, 09:24 AM	#13
Memnoch_TP Logic Troll Join Date: Jul 2003 Location: Southern Louisiana Posts: 565	Originally Posted by Danno To recap... ...they have now lost all 11 tosses this season. The odds of that are 1 in 2,048. ... the Saints’ current coin flip futility is even more rare than a perfect season. That's the dicey thing about coin toss statistics. The mathematical calculations give that string of results a 1:2048 probability, but the results of the previous 11 tosses have no effect on the next toss. So the chances of us losing the next coin toss are not 1:4096, they are 1:2.