Saints 4 pt favorites

ScottF · 12-07-2011, 02:28 PM

one man's take:

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (9-3, 3-3 road) at TENNESSEE TITANS (7-5, 4-2 home) Time: 1:00pm ET
Opening line: New Orleans -4.5
Current line: New Orleans -3.5
Current betting trends: 93% of the public is currently backing the Saints.

Analysis: Uh-oh. It looks like we have another potential trap game on our hands as the red-hot Saints travel to Tennessee to take on a Titans team that is still very much alive in the AFC playoff hunt.

93% of the early action has come in on the Saints, which means that oddsmakers should be moving the line up—but they aren’t. In fact, the spread for this game has actually moved one point towards the Titans, once again indicating that some big cheese has been placed on Tennessee.

Will a suddenly reborn Chris Johnson pave the way for a Tennessee upset? New Orleans has covered the line in four straight contests, but is just 2-4 ATS on the road this season. I’m sure you all remember their two big letdowns at Tampa Bay and St. Louis.

Meanwhile, the Titans have quietly covered in four straight games and are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.

Interesting trends: New Orleans is 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as a road favorite, while the Titans are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog.

The pick: Screw the trends. I’ll ride with the red-hot Saints (-3.5).

Mardigras9 · 12-07-2011, 02:51 PM

Our losses, outside of GB, was offensive bad days. If the Packers had a off day offensively, they will lose. Both teams compensate for week D's.

homerj07 · 12-07-2011, 08:42 PM

AHHH - Stop talking abiout the playoffs - I agree with ora.

Lets just go on game at a time!! Lets worry about this game. Training staff & managers have got to be ready for a plethera of field types. WHo knows what we will get.

CJ will get his yards against us - we need to stop them from scoring or keep them to FGs

We need to minimize our mistakes & force & THEN capitilize on their mistakes!!

12-07-2011, 02:28 PM	#11
ScottF 5000 POSTS! + Join Date: Feb 2007 Location: Atlanta Posts: 6,324	one man's take: NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (9-3, 3-3 road) at TENNESSEE TITANS (7-5, 4-2 home) Time: 1:00pm ET Opening line: New Orleans -4.5 Current line: New Orleans -3.5 Current betting trends: 93% of the public is currently backing the Saints. Analysis: Uh-oh. It looks like we have another potential trap game on our hands as the red-hot Saints travel to Tennessee to take on a Titans team that is still very much alive in the AFC playoff hunt. 93% of the early action has come in on the Saints, which means that oddsmakers should be moving the line up—but they aren’t. In fact, the spread for this game has actually moved one point towards the Titans, once again indicating that some big cheese has been placed on Tennessee. Will a suddenly reborn Chris Johnson pave the way for a Tennessee upset? New Orleans has covered the line in four straight contests, but is just 2-4 ATS on the road this season. I’m sure you all remember their two big letdowns at Tampa Bay and St. Louis. Meanwhile, the Titans have quietly covered in four straight games and are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0. Interesting trends: New Orleans is 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as a road favorite, while the Titans are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog. The pick: Screw the trends. I’ll ride with the red-hot Saints (-3.5).

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12-07-2011, 02:51 PM	#12
Mardigras9 Site Donor 2015 Join Date: Dec 2010 Location: Land Mass between LA and AL Posts: 4,375	Our losses, outside of GB, was offensive bad days. If the Packers had a off day offensively, they will lose. Both teams compensate for week D's.

12-07-2011, 08:42 PM	#13
homerj07 In Doh We Trust Join Date: Sep 2009 Location: Central Florida Posts: 7,027 Blog Entries: 16	AHHH - Stop talking abiout the playoffs - I agree with ora. Lets just go on game at a time!! Lets worry about this game. Training staff & managers have got to be ready for a plethera of field types. WHo knows what we will get. CJ will get his yards against us - we need to stop them from scoring or keep them to FGs We need to minimize our mistakes & force & THEN capitilize on their mistakes!!