3 things you should know

01-13-2012, 11:17 PM

I think the game comes down to our D verses 49ers O.

Its the play offs. In order to win now you have to rely on something other than what got you here.

Its our D that is going to have to outshine 49ers.

EVERYONE is looking at this game wrong.

homerj07 · 01-13-2012, 11:19 PM

DOnt care

JUST WIN BABY!!

joker-saint · 01-14-2012, 04:51 AM

Originally Posted by pumpkindriver

The one thing thats rarely talked about is whether or not the 9ers O line can protect Smith. I don't think they can, and while it was a preseason game, we did sack him a bunch of times. As good as their D is, their O is anemic and we should hold them to around 20-23 points at the most. The way our O has been playing I don't see their D holding us to under 30.
Saints-31
Niners-23

I like your guess pumpkindriver. I did an analysis of the two team stats and this is what I came up with:

Saints Offense

Average 334. 2 passing
Average 132.9 rushing

Niners Defense

Average 230.9 passing
Average 77.2 rushing

Final statistic:

Saints get 282.55 passing and 105.5 rushing = 387.60 yards
Average field position on kickoff is on the 20 yard line so that would give the Saints 4.85 scoring opportunity's which equals 4 TDs and 3 FGs 37points.
387.60 divided by 80 equals 4.84

On the Niners side

Niners offense

Average 183.1 passing
Average 127.8 rushing

Saints defense

Average 259.8 passing
Average 108.6 rushing

Final statistic:
Niners get 221.45 passing and 118.2 rushing = 339.65 yards
Average field position on kickoff is on the 20 yard line so that would give the Niners 4.24 scoring opportunity's which equals 4 TDs and 1 FG 31points.
339.65 divided by 80 equals 4.24

Final score:

Saints 37
Niners 31

saintsfan1976 · 01-14-2012, 11:10 AM

Joker I would add a few things;

Home field adv. +3 for the Niners

Turnover differential. San Fran is +28, New Orleans is -3. I'd add 6pts (two fg's or one td)

Third down conversion. Saints covert 56%, SF only 35%. Both defenses five up 3rd down only 35% of the time. Slight edge to Saints +6

I think the game is within 3-5 points.

Saints must limit mistakes, keep it to 3rd and short and get TDs not FGs.

saintsfan1976 · 01-14-2012, 08:50 PM

Originally Posted by saintsfan1976

Joker I would add a few things;

Home field adv. +3 for the Niners

Turnover differential. San Fran is +28, New Orleans is -3. I'd add 6pts (two fg's or one td)

Third down conversion. Saints covert 56%, SF only 35%. Both defenses five up 3rd down only 35% of the time. Slight edge to Saints +6

I think the game is within 3-5 points.

Saints must limit mistakes, keep it to 3rd and short and get TDs not FGs.

ANY QUESTIONS??

TheFaithful · 01-14-2012, 09:26 PM

3NO D was stout today. Nothing on O in the 2&3 Quarters.

01-13-2012, 11:17 PM	#11
Threaded by Euphoria 5000 POSTS! + Join Date: Mar 2004 Location: Hollywood, CA Posts: 7,601 Blog Entries: 5 Rating: (0 votes - average) I think the game comes down to our D verses 49ers O. Its the play offs. In order to win now you have to rely on something other than what got you here. Its our D that is going to have to outshine 49ers. EVERYONE is looking at this game wrong.
Views: 2405

01-14-2012, 04:51 AM	#13
joker-saint 100th Post Join Date: Jan 2004 Posts: 382 Blog Entries: 12	Originally Posted by pumpkindriver The one thing thats rarely talked about is whether or not the 9ers O line can protect Smith. I don't think they can, and while it was a preseason game, we did sack him a bunch of times. As good as their D is, their O is anemic and we should hold them to around 20-23 points at the most. The way our O has been playing I don't see their D holding us to under 30. Saints-31 Niners-23 I like your guess pumpkindriver. I did an analysis of the two team stats and this is what I came up with: Saints Offense Average 334. 2 passing Average 132.9 rushing Niners Defense Average 230.9 passing Average 77.2 rushing Final statistic: Saints get 282.55 passing and 105.5 rushing = 387.60 yards Average field position on kickoff is on the 20 yard line so that would give the Saints 4.85 scoring opportunity's which equals 4 TDs and 3 FGs 37points. 387.60 divided by 80 equals 4.84 On the Niners side Niners offense Average 183.1 passing Average 127.8 rushing Saints defense Average 259.8 passing Average 108.6 rushing Final statistic: Niners get 221.45 passing and 118.2 rushing = 339.65 yards Average field position on kickoff is on the 20 yard line so that would give the Niners 4.24 scoring opportunity's which equals 4 TDs and 1 FG 31points. 339.65 divided by 80 equals 4.24 Final score: Saints 37 Niners 31 Halo and saintsfan1976 like this.

01-14-2012, 11:10 AM	#14
saintsfan1976 10000 POST CLUB Join Date: Apr 2007 Location: Atlanta Posts: 10,926 Blog Entries: 3	Joker I would add a few things; Home field adv. +3 for the Niners Turnover differential. San Fran is +28, New Orleans is -3. I'd add 6pts (two fg's or one td) Third down conversion. Saints covert 56%, SF only 35%. Both defenses five up 3rd down only 35% of the time. Slight edge to Saints +6 I think the game is within 3-5 points. Saints must limit mistakes, keep it to 3rd and short and get TDs not FGs. Halo likes this.

01-14-2012, 08:50 PM	#15
saintsfan1976 10000 POST CLUB Join Date: Apr 2007 Location: Atlanta Posts: 10,926 Blog Entries: 3	Originally Posted by saintsfan1976 Joker I would add a few things; Home field adv. +3 for the Niners Turnover differential. San Fran is +28, New Orleans is -3. I'd add 6pts (two fg's or one td) Third down conversion. Saints covert 56%, SF only 35%. Both defenses five up 3rd down only 35% of the time. Slight edge to Saints +6 I think the game is within 3-5 points. Saints must limit mistakes, keep it to 3rd and short and get TDs not FGs. ANY QUESTIONS??

01-14-2012, 09:26 PM	#16
TheFaithful Rookie Join Date: Jan 2012 Posts: 14	3NO D was stout today. Nothing on O in the 2&3 Quarters.
TheFaithful Rookie Join Date: Jan 2012 Posts: 14

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01-13-2012, 11:19 PM	#12
homerj07 In Doh We Trust Join Date: Sep 2009 Location: Central Florida Posts: 7,027 Blog Entries: 16	DOnt care JUST WIN BABY!!

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