Playoff Picture - Its quite possible

WillSaints81 · 11-26-2012, 05:05 PM

Originally Posted by xan

According to Football Outsiders, who are pretty accurate on these things, before the loss to the 9ers, we had an 8.6% total shot at the playoffs. Not to be too much of a downer, but my bet is that we are even less of a shot now. Even with 10 wins, we don't win tiebreaks with many teams.

With 10 wins we have a better conference record than Seattle. Those people were probably thinking Seattle will win in Chicago too and beat SF to go 11-5. No way can the redskins and giants both go 10-6. Giants would have to beat us and lose to the redskins for that to happen. Problem with that is redskins are likely splitting or losing both of their home games coming up. And who said it will be a cakewalk in Philadelphia week 16? Eagles didnt not play hard last year when they were already out. And the eagles are certainly capable of going on a late run to 8-8 and if they win in Dallas they can end up 9-7(I don't trust bucs beating a determined Vick or bengals on the road and think panthers lose tonight) and win the division(sweeping giants). If we go 10-6 we're in with Seattle losing 1 more game. NFC East is still the NFC East and too many division games coming up with them.

11-26-2012, 05:05 PM	#9
WillSaints81 1000 Posts + Join Date: Oct 2012 Posts: 4,285	Re: Playoff Picture - Its quite possible Originally Posted by xan According to Football Outsiders, who are pretty accurate on these things, before the loss to the 9ers, we had an 8.6% total shot at the playoffs. Not to be too much of a downer, but my bet is that we are even less of a shot now. Even with 10 wins, we don't win tiebreaks with many teams. With 10 wins we have a better conference record than Seattle. Those people were probably thinking Seattle will win in Chicago too and beat SF to go 11-5. No way can the redskins and giants both go 10-6. Giants would have to beat us and lose to the redskins for that to happen. Problem with that is redskins are likely splitting or losing both of their home games coming up. And who said it will be a cakewalk in Philadelphia week 16? Eagles didnt not play hard last year when they were already out. And the eagles are certainly capable of going on a late run to 8-8 and if they win in Dallas they can end up 9-7(I don't trust bucs beating a determined Vick or bengals on the road and think panthers lose tonight) and win the division(sweeping giants). If we go 10-6 we're in with Seattle losing 1 more game. NFC East is still the NFC East and too many division games coming up with them.

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