New Orleans Saints Forums - blackandgold.com

New Orleans Saints Forums - blackandgold.com (https://blackandgold.com/community/)
-   Saints (https://blackandgold.com/saints/)
-   -   Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints (https://blackandgold.com/saints/69761-cortana-picks-steelers-over-saints.html)

SmashMouth 11-29-2014 08:53 AM

Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
Microsoft's Cortana had a solid Week 12, correctly predicting 11 of 15 NFL games.

It's now 116-60 (65.9%) on the season.

Cortana is a Windows phone virtual assistant that is using a Bing Predicts algorithm to predict every NFL game this season. It started at the World Cup, where it correctly predicted 15 of 16 knockout stage games, including Germany's surprising win over Brazil in the semifinal.

Week 12 was a nice bounceback week for the algorithm after it went 8-6 in Week 11.

There were a ton of big favorites (only two point spreads were within a field goal), and most of them won. Las Vegas betting favorites also went 11-4, and Nate Silver's ELO model went 12-3 — correctly predicting the Bengals over the Texans when both Cortana and Vegas had Houston as the favorite.

ELO has correctly predicted 69.8% of all NFL games this year, while Vegas favorites are right around Cortana at 115-58-3. The Bing Predicts algorithm makes picks straight up, not against the point spread.

New Orleans Saints vs. Pittsburgh Steelers — Steelers win, 75.4% chance (Steelers -3.5)

Read more: Microsoft Cortana NFL Picks, Week 13 - Business Insider


Since she's been wrong lately, does that mean we win this weekend?

saintsfan1976 11-29-2014 09:04 AM

Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
Looks like we win this one!!

halloween 65 11-29-2014 11:54 AM

Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
This time she is more than likely right!!

UK_WhoDat 11-29-2014 03:25 PM

Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
That, Cortana, is predicting a Saints loss.
That ain't no bad thing.
The prediction I mean, based on its previous efforts on predicting Saints wins.

Danno 11-29-2014 03:40 PM

Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
I had two games pegged as sure losses. Ravens and Steelers.
Even if we lose this game, and I'm thinking we do, we'll still win the division because the Falcons and Panthers suck worse than we do.

Now if we actually win this game? Watch out, it may catapult us into that "you don't wanna play the red-hot Saints in the playoffs" category.

Oh its gonna be so sweet to win it all with a 7-9 regular season record!!!
We're gonna make history!!!

dizzle88 11-29-2014 03:57 PM

Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Danno (Post 627778)
I had two games pegged as sure losses. Ravens and Steelers.
Even if we lose this game, and I'm thinking we do, we'll still win the division because the Falcons and Panthers suck worse than we do.

Now if we actually win this game? Watch out, it may catapult us into that "you don't wanna play the red-hot Saints in the playoffs" category.

Oh its gonna be so sweet to win it all with a 7-9 regular season record!!!
We're gonna make history!!!

If we did get into the playoffs with a losing record, think how fast Ol' Roger would change the playoff format

Just like when we beat Favre and the queens.

brees84 11-29-2014 05:02 PM

Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Danno (Post 627778)
Oh its gonna be so sweet to win it all with a 7-9 regular season record!!!
We're gonna make history!!!

And they are going to change playoff format the very next year. lol

The Dude 11-29-2014 10:00 PM

Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
I don't think anyone in their right mind would pick the Saints at this point.

The Dude 11-29-2014 10:02 PM

Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by brees84 (Post 627787)
And they are going to change playoff format the very next year. lol

Exactly. They were already talking about it the year Seattle beat us when they got in with a shifty record. If we do it they will change it for sure.
I think it would be dumb to exclude a division from the playoffs for any reason. Unless they structure the game a completely different direction and do away with divisions all together what would be the point? I like that every division gets represented.

RailBoss 11-29-2014 11:42 PM

Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
Steeler's seem to take games off this season, for some reason i don't think they will take a "Busman's Holiday" against the Saints.

SloMotion 11-30-2014 06:51 AM

Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by UK_WhoDat (Post 627775)
That, Cortana, is predicting a Saints loss.
That ain't no bad thing.
The prediction I mean, based on its previous efforts on predicting Saints wins.

Yes, she has indeed proven to be a cruel mistress, :neutral: ... would be all her Saints predictions correct, New Orleans would be 9-2 and comfortably atop the Division ... as it is, she has only been able to pick the Saints correctly 55% of the time (approx.).

Here's an interesting stat though ... Pittsburgh would also be 9-2 if she were 100% correct on her Steeler picks. Again, as it is, she has been even less accurate picking the Steelers correctly at 45%. Furthermore, she has the most problems picking AFC North games (even more than NFC South) with a <50% accuracy rating.

I know we've all seen this one before, but it bears repeating, :):


SloMotion 11-30-2014 07:05 AM

Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
... and looking at her picks, I got to respectfully disagree with (not counting the Thanksgiving Day picks, which I probably would have agreed with just to keep the peace for the holidays, ;)) her picks of Buffalo, Pittsburgh, Carolina and Green Bay ... oh well, it never would have worked between us anyway, :lol:.

SloMotion 11-30-2014 03:40 PM

Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
"Cortana, you got some 'splainin' to do ... "
http://www.comicbookreligion.com/img...ky_Ricardo.jpg

Marlboro Man 11-30-2014 07:18 PM

Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
Breaking News! Cortana goes 0-4 calling games for the Saints.

ScottF 11-30-2014 09:37 PM

Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
I really haven't seen much variance between her picks and vegas lines- she picks favorites, mostly home favs.
Do we need an app with an algorithm for that? I've got a drunk uncle that can point to the team in all caps and with the minus sign before their number too

AlaskaSaints 11-30-2014 11:12 PM

Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
Had the game gone another :30, Cortana would have been RIGHT. Despicable to stop playing defense with 3:00 remaining.

Calling a time out to stop the clock before you punt? With a 19-point lead? WHO DOES THAT?!

|Mitch| 11-30-2014 11:19 PM

Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by AlaskaSaints (Post 628390)
Had the game gone another :30, Cortana would have been RIGHT. Despicable to stop playing defense with 3:00 remaining.

Calling a time out to stop the clock before you punt? With a 19-point lead? WHO DOES THAT?!

Why do you even watch the games; or bother to post...

jnormand 12-01-2014 12:59 AM

Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
I'll take this one. That stupid ap or whatever it is needs to leave us alone and stop predicting. Its bad juju. She picks for us we lose. She or it or whatever it is picks against us and we win.

Stay away vile woman robot thing!!!

hagan714 12-01-2014 01:02 AM

Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
just keep picking us to lose is all i ask

AlaskaSaints 12-01-2014 01:48 AM

Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by |Mitch| (Post 628395)
Why do you even watch the games; or bother to post...

Evidently, to get under your skin, LOL.

A game in which 67 points was scored was won by only 3. Hardly a win is the way I saw it. Your eyesight may vary.

SloMotion 12-01-2014 04:32 AM

Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jnormand (Post 628417)
... Stay away vile woman robot thing!!!


:roflmao: ...

dizzle88 12-01-2014 04:50 AM

Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by AlaskaSaints (Post 628423)
Evidently, to get under your skin, LOL.

A game in which 67 points was scored was won by only 3. Hardly a win is the way I saw it. Your eyesight may vary.

Would you rather we lost?

We don't exactly have the right to be picky how we win this year, a win is a win. No matter how ugly.

ScottF 12-01-2014 06:22 AM

Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by dizzle88 (Post 628428)
Would you rather we lost?

We don't exactly have the right to be picky how we win this year, a win is a win. No matter how ugly.

and we had the game won with 7 minutes to go

are we really bi***ing about a TD with no time on the clock?

DrewDat 12-01-2014 06:51 AM

Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ScottF (Post 628431)
and we had the game won with 7 minutes to go

are we really bi***ing about a TD with no time on the clock?

If we run up the score we're showboating, if we run clock and play conservative we're giving them a chance. Cant please everyone I guess.

SloMotion 12-01-2014 08:17 AM

Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
Well, it ain't like that strategy hasn't been employed by any other team in the league before ... sure, they may have went into that defense a tad bit early for those with a severe heart condition, :lol: ... you just got to sit back and defer to Sean Payton's/Rob Ryan's expertise in these matters. I know if I were up 16pts late in a game with a somewhat porous defense vs a QB with 1400 passing yds/14 touchdowns and a coupla' 6TD performances over his last 4 games, I'd be thinking of a way to just get out of there with a win also, :).

Sometimes you just don't always have the horses to close a game the way you'd like. :neutral:
http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lo...76m1o1_500.jpg

NonieT 12-01-2014 08:31 AM

Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
Cortana was wrong again, thank goodness.

QBREES9 12-01-2014 11:46 PM

Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints
 
I wish i picked them.


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 07:23 PM.


Copyright 1997 - 2020 - BlackandGold.com