Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints

SmashMouth · 11-29-2014, 08:53 AM

Microsoft's Cortana had a solid Week 12, correctly predicting 11 of 15 NFL games.

It's now 116-60 (65.9%) on the season.

Cortana is a Windows phone virtual assistant that is using a Bing Predicts algorithm to predict every NFL game this season. It started at the World Cup, where it correctly predicted 15 of 16 knockout stage games, including Germany's surprising win over Brazil in the semifinal.

Week 12 was a nice bounceback week for the algorithm after it went 8-6 in Week 11.

There were a ton of big favorites (only two point spreads were within a field goal), and most of them won. Las Vegas betting favorites also went 11-4, and Nate Silver's ELO model went 12-3 — correctly predicting the Bengals over the Texans when both Cortana and Vegas had Houston as the favorite.

ELO has correctly predicted 69.8% of all NFL games this year, while Vegas favorites are right around Cortana at 115-58-3. The Bing Predicts algorithm makes picks straight up, not against the point spread.

New Orleans Saints vs. Pittsburgh Steelers — Steelers win, 75.4% chance (Steelers -3.5)

Read more: Microsoft Cortana NFL Picks, Week 13 - Business Insider

Since she's been wrong lately, does that mean we win this weekend?

saintsfan1976 · 11-29-2014, 09:04 AM

Looks like we win this one!!

halloween 65 · 11-29-2014, 11:54 AM

This time she is more than likely right!!

UK_WhoDat · 11-29-2014, 03:25 PM

That, Cortana, is predicting a Saints loss.
That ain't no bad thing.
The prediction I mean, based on its previous efforts on predicting Saints wins.

Danno · 11-29-2014, 03:40 PM

I had two games pegged as sure losses. Ravens and Steelers.
Even if we lose this game, and I'm thinking we do, we'll still win the division because the Falcons and Panthers suck worse than we do.

Now if we actually win this game? Watch out, it may catapult us into that "you don't wanna play the red-hot Saints in the playoffs" category.

Oh its gonna be so sweet to win it all with a 7-9 regular season record!!!
We're gonna make history!!!

dizzle88 · 11-29-2014, 03:57 PM

Originally Posted by Danno

I had two games pegged as sure losses. Ravens and Steelers.
Even if we lose this game, and I'm thinking we do, we'll still win the division because the Falcons and Panthers suck worse than we do.

Now if we actually win this game? Watch out, it may catapult us into that "you don't wanna play the red-hot Saints in the playoffs" category.

Oh its gonna be so sweet to win it all with a 7-9 regular season record!!!
We're gonna make history!!!

If we did get into the playoffs with a losing record, think how fast Ol' Roger would change the playoff format

Just like when we beat Favre and the queens.

brees84 · 11-29-2014, 05:02 PM

Originally Posted by Danno

Oh its gonna be so sweet to win it all with a 7-9 regular season record!!!
We're gonna make history!!!

And they are going to change playoff format the very next year. lol

The Dude · 11-29-2014, 10:00 PM

I don't think anyone in their right mind would pick the Saints at this point.

The Dude · 11-29-2014, 10:02 PM

Originally Posted by brees84

And they are going to change playoff format the very next year. lol

Exactly. They were already talking about it the year Seattle beat us when they got in with a shifty record. If we do it they will change it for sure.
I think it would be dumb to exclude a division from the playoffs for any reason. Unless they structure the game a completely different direction and do away with divisions all together what would be the point? I like that every division gets represented.

RailBoss · 11-29-2014, 11:42 PM

Steeler's seem to take games off this season, for some reason i don't think they will take a "Busman's Holiday" against the Saints.

11-29-2014, 08:53 AM	#1
SmashMouth I donated, did you? Join Date: Sep 2007 Location: Mandeville, LA Posts: 38,044 Blog Entries: 29	Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints Microsoft's Cortana had a solid Week 12, correctly predicting 11 of 15 NFL games. It's now 116-60 (65.9%) on the season. Cortana is a Windows phone virtual assistant that is using a Bing Predicts algorithm to predict every NFL game this season. It started at the World Cup, where it correctly predicted 15 of 16 knockout stage games, including Germany's surprising win over Brazil in the semifinal. Week 12 was a nice bounceback week for the algorithm after it went 8-6 in Week 11. There were a ton of big favorites (only two point spreads were within a field goal), and most of them won. Las Vegas betting favorites also went 11-4, and Nate Silver's ELO model went 12-3 — correctly predicting the Bengals over the Texans when both Cortana and Vegas had Houston as the favorite. ELO has correctly predicted 69.8% of all NFL games this year, while Vegas favorites are right around Cortana at 115-58-3. The Bing Predicts algorithm makes picks straight up, not against the point spread. New Orleans Saints vs. Pittsburgh Steelers — Steelers win, 75.4% chance (Steelers -3.5) Read more: Microsoft Cortana NFL Picks, Week 13 - Business Insider Since she's been wrong lately, does that mean we win this weekend? SloMotion likes this.

11-29-2014, 09:04 AM	#2
saintsfan1976 10000 POST CLUB Join Date: Apr 2007 Location: Atlanta Posts: 10,806 Blog Entries: 3	Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints Looks like we win this one!!

11-29-2014, 11:54 AM	#3
halloween 65 5000 POSTS! + Join Date: Sep 2011 Location: Grand Haven, Michigan by way of a little Mississippi River town in Louisiana Posts: 5,893	Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints This time she is more than likely right!!

11-29-2014, 03:25 PM	#4
UK_WhoDat 1000 Posts + Join Date: Aug 2003 Location: Wherever I lay my hat Posts: 3,865	Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints That, Cortana, is predicting a Saints loss. That ain't no bad thing. The prediction I mean, based on its previous efforts on predicting Saints wins.

11-29-2014, 03:40 PM	#5
Danno Truth Addict Join Date: Dec 2003 Location: Spanish Fort, AL (via NO and B/R) Posts: 24,713	Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints I had two games pegged as sure losses. Ravens and Steelers. Even if we lose this game, and I'm thinking we do, we'll still win the division because the Falcons and Panthers suck worse than we do. Now if we actually win this game? Watch out, it may catapult us into that "you don't wanna play the red-hot Saints in the playoffs" category. Oh its gonna be so sweet to win it all with a 7-9 regular season record!!! We're gonna make history!!! exiled, RailBoss and saintsfan1976 like this.

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11-29-2014, 03:57 PM	#6
dizzle88 10000 POST CLUB Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 11,118	Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints Originally Posted by Danno I had two games pegged as sure losses. Ravens and Steelers. Even if we lose this game, and I'm thinking we do, we'll still win the division because the Falcons and Panthers suck worse than we do. Now if we actually win this game? Watch out, it may catapult us into that "you don't wanna play the red-hot Saints in the playoffs" category. Oh its gonna be so sweet to win it all with a 7-9 regular season record!!! We're gonna make history!!! If we did get into the playoffs with a losing record, think how fast Ol' Roger would change the playoff format Just like when we beat Favre and the queens.

11-29-2014, 05:02 PM	#7
brees84 1000 Posts + Join Date: Jan 2014 Posts: 3,015	Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints Originally Posted by Danno Oh its gonna be so sweet to win it all with a 7-9 regular season record!!! We're gonna make history!!! And they are going to change playoff format the very next year. lol The Dude likes this.
brees84 1000 Posts + Join Date: Jan 2014 Posts: 3,015

11-29-2014, 10:00 PM	#8
The Dude 5000 POSTS! + Join Date: Jul 2011 Posts: 9,048	Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints I don't think anyone in their right mind would pick the Saints at this point.
The Dude 5000 POSTS! + Join Date: Jul 2011 Posts: 9,048

11-29-2014, 10:02 PM	#9
The Dude 5000 POSTS! + Join Date: Jul 2011 Posts: 9,048	Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints Originally Posted by brees84 And they are going to change playoff format the very next year. lol Exactly. They were already talking about it the year Seattle beat us when they got in with a shifty record. If we do it they will change it for sure. I think it would be dumb to exclude a division from the playoffs for any reason. Unless they structure the game a completely different direction and do away with divisions all together what would be the point? I like that every division gets represented. RailBoss likes this.
The Dude 5000 POSTS! + Join Date: Jul 2011 Posts: 9,048

11-29-2014, 11:42 PM	#10
RailBoss 5000 POSTS! + Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: South Of The Mason Dixon Line Posts: 7,113	Re: Cortana Picks the Steelers over the Saints Steeler's seem to take games off this season, for some reason i don't think they will take a "Busman's Holiday" against the Saints.

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