OMG, Cortana Picks Saints To Beat Bears!

Attached Thumbnails · 12-11-2014, 08:25 AM

Microsoft Cortana had one of its worst weeks of the NFL season, correctly predicting nine of 16 Week 14 games.

It's now 135-73 (64.9%) on the year.

Cortana is a Windows phone virtual assistant that uses a Bing Predicts algorithm to predict every NFL game. Its 135-73 record is almost identical to the 135-69-4 record that Vegas favorites have. Cortana is behind the 144-64 (69.2%) record that Nate Silver's ELO model has through 14 weeks. The algorithm picks games straight-up, not against the spread.

Cortana's 9-7 Week 14 was its worst week since Week 4, when it went 5-8. Vegas favorites went 10-5-1 in Week 14. ELO went 12-4.

The algorithm nailed the World Cup, correctly picking 15 of the tournament's final 16 games. It's having a tougher time picking NFL games.

Here are Cortana's picks for Week 15 as of Tuesday afternoon. We'll update them throughout the week if they change (Vegas favorites in parentheses):

New Orleans Saints vs. Chicago Bears— Saints win, 53.3% chance (Saints -3)

Read more: Microsoft Cortana NFL Picks, Week 15 - Business Insider

As wrong as she has been lately, quite on a roll really, does this guarantee a loss?

|Mitch| · 12-11-2014, 08:43 AM

We've won and lost both when she has picked us to win. It's just a crapshoot

Mardigras9 · 12-11-2014, 10:02 AM

And at 53%, it's a real crapshoot.

Halo · 12-11-2014, 11:24 AM

That image of her above is DA BOMB!

jnormand · 12-11-2014, 12:39 PM

Stop posting this! Its bad juju!! Now I know we'll lose. Damnit!!

Foot Stomper · 12-11-2014, 12:39 PM

Find me an algorithm that picks against the spread with +50% success and I am impressed. Picking straight up at 53% isn't THAT impressive.

AlaskaSaints · 12-11-2014, 01:21 PM

Cortana has a firm grasp of bi-polar, maximum-minimum effort syndrome.

The Dude · 12-11-2014, 03:14 PM

They are a bigger mess than us right now. If I had a million dollars I would bet all of it on us dismantling the Bears and Atlanta just to get blown out by Tampa missing the playoff.
This is what WILL happen mark my words. I would rather miss the playoffs and get a top 10 pick anyway.

arsaint · 12-11-2014, 04:27 PM

I agree with Dude up to the point of wanting to miss the playoffs for a better draft pick. We'd probably just draft another Jonathan Sullivan

I want in - even if it's at 6-10

Rugby Saint II · 12-11-2014, 05:17 PM

Originally Posted by Halo

That image of her above is DA BOMB!

I've said before that is one hot smurf.

12-11-2014, 08:25 AM	#1
Threaded by SmashMouth I donated, did you? Join Date: Sep 2007 Location: Mandeville, LA Posts: 38,125 Blog Entries: 29 Rating: (0 votes - average) Microsoft Cortana had one of its worst weeks of the NFL season, correctly predicting nine of 16 Week 14 games. It's now 135-73 (64.9%) on the year. Cortana is a Windows phone virtual assistant that uses a Bing Predicts algorithm to predict every NFL game. Its 135-73 record is almost identical to the 135-69-4 record that Vegas favorites have. Cortana is behind the 144-64 (69.2%) record that Nate Silver's ELO model has through 14 weeks. The algorithm picks games straight-up, not against the spread. Cortana's 9-7 Week 14 was its worst week since Week 4, when it went 5-8. Vegas favorites went 10-5-1 in Week 14. ELO went 12-4. The algorithm nailed the World Cup, correctly picking 15 of the tournament's final 16 games. It's having a tougher time picking NFL games. Here are Cortana's picks for Week 15 as of Tuesday afternoon. We'll update them throughout the week if they change (Vegas favorites in parentheses): New Orleans Saints vs. Chicago Bears— Saints win, 53.3% chance (Saints -3) Read more: Microsoft Cortana NFL Picks, Week 15 - Business Insider As wrong as she has been lately, quite on a roll really, does this guarantee a loss? Attached Thumbnails Last edited by SmashMouth; 12-11-2014 at 08:28 AM..
Views: 4774

12-11-2014, 08:43 AM	#2
\|Mitch\| 10000 POST CLUB Join Date: Oct 2009 Location: Alexandria, La Posts: 11,303	Re: OMG, Cortana Picks Saints To Beat Bears! We've won and lost both when she has picked us to win. It's just a crapshoot

12-11-2014, 10:02 AM	#3
Mardigras9 Site Donor 2015 Join Date: Dec 2010 Location: Land Mass between LA and AL Posts: 4,375	Re: OMG, Cortana Picks Saints To Beat Bears! And at 53%, it's a real crapshoot.

12-11-2014, 11:24 AM	#4
Halo Site Donor MONTHLY Join Date: May 2002 Location: New Orleans, LA Posts: 20,603 Blog Entries: 45	Re: OMG, Cortana Picks Saints To Beat Bears! That image of her above is DA BOMB! SmashMouth, Rugby Saint II, SloMotion and 1 others like this.

12-11-2014, 12:39 PM	#5
jnormand 5000 POSTS! + Join Date: Sep 2003 Location: The Free State of Idaho Posts: 5,661	Re: OMG, Cortana Picks Saints To Beat Bears! Stop posting this! Its bad juju!! Now I know we'll lose. Damnit!! jeanpierre and fanattic like this.

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12-11-2014, 12:39 PM	#6
Foot Stomper Carolina Sucks Join Date: Jul 2014 Location: Greensboro NC Posts: 379	Re: OMG, Cortana Picks Saints To Beat Bears! Find me an algorithm that picks against the spread with +50% success and I am impressed. Picking straight up at 53% isn't THAT impressive.

12-11-2014, 01:21 PM	#7
AlaskaSaints 1000 Posts + Join Date: Nov 2010 Location: Anchorage, AK Posts: 2,484 Blog Entries: 2	Re: OMG, Cortana Picks Saints To Beat Bears! Cortana has a firm grasp of bi-polar, maximum-minimum effort syndrome.

12-11-2014, 03:14 PM	#8
The Dude 5000 POSTS! + Join Date: Jul 2011 Posts: 9,048	Re: OMG, Cortana Picks Saints To Beat Bears! They are a bigger mess than us right now. If I had a million dollars I would bet all of it on us dismantling the Bears and Atlanta just to get blown out by Tampa missing the playoff. This is what WILL happen mark my words. I would rather miss the playoffs and get a top 10 pick anyway. halfmoon61 likes this.
The Dude 5000 POSTS! + Join Date: Jul 2011 Posts: 9,048

12-11-2014, 04:27 PM	#9
arsaint Saint Historian Join Date: Feb 2005 Location: deep in the bowels of a hidden bunker, somewhere under the brick & steel of a nondescript building.. Posts: 2,705	Re: OMG, Cortana Picks Saints To Beat Bears! I agree with Dude up to the point of wanting to miss the playoffs for a better draft pick. We'd probably just draft another Jonathan Sullivan I want in - even if it's at 6-10 captainshawn likes this.

12-11-2014, 05:17 PM	#10
Rugby Saint II Bounty Money $$$ Join Date: Oct 2008 Location: 5800 Airline Dr. Metairie, LA. Posts: 24,052	Re: OMG, Cortana Picks Saints To Beat Bears! Originally Posted by Halo That image of her above is DA BOMB! I've said before that is one hot smurf. SmashMouth and SloMotion like this.

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