WillSaints81

Yeah and forget hoping for the bears to win in Minnesota. 9-7 just went out the door.

WhoDat!656

Da Bears beat Green Bay in Green Bay so it is a possibility

WillSaints81

That's what I meant, here are the common game tie-breakers as I see them.

Should saints lose to Carolina here's how they match up vs said contenders.

Minnesota
Atlanta-NO 2, Min 0(they would have to lose this for 9-7)
Arizona-both lose
NYG-NO 3, Min 1
Det-NO 4, Min 3

We have edge.

Seattle
Carolina-both lose
Dallas-1-1
Det-2-2
Arizona-both lose

tie-breaker goes to SOV.

Chicago(they have to lose to Minnesota for this or TB)
If they beat TB
TB-1-1
Arizona-both lose
Washington-Chi 2, NO 1
Detroit-Chi 3, NO 2

bears have the edge

If they beat Min
TB-NO 1, Chi 0
Arizona-both lose
Washington-1-1
Detroit-2-2

tie-breaker goes to SOV which given Romo's injury and KC's turnaround, Chicago may have passed us there.

If saints were to win out

Minnesota
Atlanta-NO 2, Min 0(they would still have to lose this one or Sea)
Arizona-both lose
NYG-NO 3, Min 1
Det-NO 4, Min 3

If Minnesota beats Atlanta this is tied up and tie-breaker goes to SOV which we should narrowly edge them out. I see 66 wins beaten for us and for Minnesota 64.


Seattle
Carolina-NO 1, Sea 0
Dallas-NO 2, Sea 1
Det-NO 3, Sea 2
Arizona-both lose or 3-3(meaning Sea wins here and lose to Min)

Chicago(has to win out)
Chicago still 3-2.

All three of us likely go 3-1 against AFC however if we lose this week but win the remaining games well we have the better CR giving us the tie-breaker. I don't see Seattle losing in Baltimore with what's going on with them.



And realistically I see it like this remaining
Minnesota
@Atlanta-W
Seattle-L
@Arizona-L
Chicago-W
NYG-W
@GB-L
They will lose to Atlanta or Minnesota because luck will keep them from taking the division. If they lose both its good for us. I don't think they lose to Chicago because the NFC North rotation trend for the other three teams has gone 4,3,2,4,3 etc. It will give us the common tie-breaker over them if we win the 5 games we need to.

Seattle
Pittsburgh-W
@Minnesota-W
@Baltimore-W
Cleveland-W
St.Louis-W
@Arizona-W

11-5.

Chicago
SF-W
Was-W
@Min-L
@TB-L(because by this point season's done)
Det-W

8-8

Atlanta
Min-L
@TB-L
@Car-L
@Jac-W
Car-W
NO-L

8-8.

So I might have been 1 off with them.

Winning out gets us in, 9-7 with Minnesota at 9-7 and beating Chicago gets us in.

We cannot get in at 9-7 if Chicago goes 9-7 and Minnesota does not.