Saints release QB Garrett Grayson, third-round pick in 2015.

burningmetal · 09-07-2016, 06:28 PM

I hated the idea of drafting him where they did. To me, it makes more sense to either go all in and draft one in the first round, if you are trying to prepare for the future, or just keep taking QB's late in the draft every year or two and see if you can find a diamond in the rough.

Taking one in the third is like saying you want a QB, but you don't, but you do. Sure, you could hit a home run, but you could just as easily do so with a 6th round pick. The vast majority of the top QB's are first rounders or high second round. It just isn't a position to screw around with in the middle rounds.

AsylumGuido · 09-07-2016, 06:34 PM

Originally Posted by burningmetal

I hated the idea of drafting him where they did. To me, it makes more sense to either go all in and draft one in the first round, if you are trying to prepare for the future, or just keep taking QB's late in the draft every year or two and see if you can find a diamond in the rough.

Taking one in the third is like saying you want a QB, but you don't, but you do. Sure, you could hit a home run, but you could just as easily do so with a 6th round pick. The vast majority of the top QB's are first rounders or high second round. It just isn't a position to screw around with in the middle rounds.

If the future they were drafting for was a backup it makes perfect sense. The league goes through more backups than starters. Backups are just as important in that it is a required roster spot. If one turns into a starter, fine, but a backup will be needed earlier. The Saints would have loved to save money on the position but McCown was just too much better. I don't believe the Saints had any real expectation that Grayson would ever start when drafting him.

burningmetal · 09-07-2016, 06:46 PM

Originally Posted by AsylumGuido

If the future they were drafting for was a backup it makes perfect sense. The league goes through more backups than starters. Backups are just as important in that it is a required roster spot. If one turns into a starter, fine, but a backup will be needed earlier. The Saints would have loved to save money on the position but McCown was just too much better. I don't believe the Saints had any real expectation that Grayson would ever start when drafting him.

I don't know if they expected him to ever start or not. But you don't draft that high for a backup. They already had backups.

As I just stated above, you can just as easily "hit" on a QB late as you can in the middle. If you are serious about looking for a starter you draft in the first. Take a look at the QB's in the league right now. Bunch of first or high second round guys are starting, then you have Brady who was a sixth rounder and then it's mostly late round guys either as starter or backup.

There just isn't any real reason to take a chance in the third round. Russell Wilson worked for the Seahawks, but he was a much more productive and proven player than Grayson was coming out. Size was the issue.

Danno · 09-07-2016, 06:43 PM

Originally Posted by burningmetal

I hated the idea of drafting him where they did. To me, it makes more sense to either go all in and draft one in the first round, if you are trying to prepare for the future, or just keep taking QB's late in the draft every year or two and see if you can find a diamond in the rough.

Taking one in the third is like saying you want a QB, but you don't, but you do. Sure, you could hit a home run, but you could just as easily do so with a 6th round pick. The vast majority of the top QB's are first rounders or high second round. It just isn't a position to screw around with in the middle rounds.

Thats a good point. After Brees it may be fortuitous to have a 1-15, 2-14 type seasons in order to draft the next Manning, Luck, Rodgers etc...

The problem is that the rest of the team pretty much has to suck to get a top 3 pick, which would imply that you'd need more than 1 year to rebuild into a competitor even with a stud QB of the future.

I wonder just how many teams became instantly competitive with a to 10 QB pick.

My guess is that they were so bad to start with that it took that team several years to become a contender with that top 10 QB pick.

burningmetal · 09-07-2016, 07:13 PM

Originally Posted by Danno

Thats a good point. After Brees it may be fortuitous to have a 1-15, 2-14 type seasons in order to draft the next Manning, Luck, Rodgers etc...

The problem is that the rest of the team pretty much has to suck to get a top 3 pick, which would imply that you'd need more than 1 year to rebuild into a competitor even with a stud QB of the future.

I wonder just how many teams became instantly competitive with a to 10 QB pick.

My guess is that they were so bad to start with that it took that team several years to become a contender with that top 10 QB pick.

It doesn't have to be a top 3 or even top 10 pick. I said 1st round, early second round range. If you take a look at the top starters in the league, they come from all around that range, except for Brady (6th round) Romo (undrafted) Wilson (3rd round) Cousins (4th round).

That shows that if you want a franchise QB, you have to go early, and if you're hoping to get lucky, you stand as much chance in the late rounds as you do in the middle to find a starter or backup. I'm fine if they take late shots at QB's. And it's ok to maybe take a chance in the middle if you don't have any obvious depth issues at other positions. We've had that problem for some time now.

09-07-2016, 06:28 PM	#1
burningmetal 1000 Posts + Join Date: Mar 2012 Posts: 3,923 Blog Entries: 3	Re: Saints release QB Garrett Grayson, third-round pick in 2015. I hated the idea of drafting him where they did. To me, it makes more sense to either go all in and draft one in the first round, if you are trying to prepare for the future, or just keep taking QB's late in the draft every year or two and see if you can find a diamond in the rough. Taking one in the third is like saying you want a QB, but you don't, but you do. Sure, you could hit a home run, but you could just as easily do so with a 6th round pick. The vast majority of the top QB's are first rounders or high second round. It just isn't a position to screw around with in the middle rounds. K Major likes this.
	If I had a nickel for every time I heard that, the NFL would fine and suspend me.

09-07-2016, 06:34 PM	#2
AsylumGuido 10000 POST CLUB Join Date: Sep 2007 Location: Bossier City, LA Posts: 26,768	Re: Saints release QB Garrett Grayson, third-round pick in 2015. Originally Posted by burningmetal I hated the idea of drafting him where they did. To me, it makes more sense to either go all in and draft one in the first round, if you are trying to prepare for the future, or just keep taking QB's late in the draft every year or two and see if you can find a diamond in the rough. Taking one in the third is like saying you want a QB, but you don't, but you do. Sure, you could hit a home run, but you could just as easily do so with a 6th round pick. The vast majority of the top QB's are first rounders or high second round. It just isn't a position to screw around with in the middle rounds. If the future they were drafting for was a backup it makes perfect sense. The league goes through more backups than starters. Backups are just as important in that it is a required roster spot. If one turns into a starter, fine, but a backup will be needed earlier. The Saints would have loved to save money on the position but McCown was just too much better. I don't believe the Saints had any real expectation that Grayson would ever start when drafting him.

09-07-2016, 06:46 PM	#3
burningmetal 1000 Posts + Join Date: Mar 2012 Posts: 3,923 Blog Entries: 3	Re: Saints release QB Garrett Grayson, third-round pick in 2015. Originally Posted by AsylumGuido If the future they were drafting for was a backup it makes perfect sense. The league goes through more backups than starters. Backups are just as important in that it is a required roster spot. If one turns into a starter, fine, but a backup will be needed earlier. The Saints would have loved to save money on the position but McCown was just too much better. I don't believe the Saints had any real expectation that Grayson would ever start when drafting him. I don't know if they expected him to ever start or not. But you don't draft that high for a backup. They already had backups. As I just stated above, you can just as easily "hit" on a QB late as you can in the middle. If you are serious about looking for a starter you draft in the first. Take a look at the QB's in the league right now. Bunch of first or high second round guys are starting, then you have Brady who was a sixth rounder and then it's mostly late round guys either as starter or backup. There just isn't any real reason to take a chance in the third round. Russell Wilson worked for the Seahawks, but he was a much more productive and proven player than Grayson was coming out. Size was the issue.
	If I had a nickel for every time I heard that, the NFL would fine and suspend me.

09-07-2016, 06:43 PM	#4
Danno Truth Addict Join Date: Dec 2003 Location: Spanish Fort, AL (via NO and B/R) Posts: 24,758	Re: Saints release QB Garrett Grayson, third-round pick in 2015. Originally Posted by burningmetal I hated the idea of drafting him where they did. To me, it makes more sense to either go all in and draft one in the first round, if you are trying to prepare for the future, or just keep taking QB's late in the draft every year or two and see if you can find a diamond in the rough. Taking one in the third is like saying you want a QB, but you don't, but you do. Sure, you could hit a home run, but you could just as easily do so with a 6th round pick. The vast majority of the top QB's are first rounders or high second round. It just isn't a position to screw around with in the middle rounds. Thats a good point. After Brees it may be fortuitous to have a 1-15, 2-14 type seasons in order to draft the next Manning, Luck, Rodgers etc... The problem is that the rest of the team pretty much has to suck to get a top 3 pick, which would imply that you'd need more than 1 year to rebuild into a competitor even with a stud QB of the future. I wonder just how many teams became instantly competitive with a to 10 QB pick. My guess is that they were so bad to start with that it took that team several years to become a contender with that top 10 QB pick.

09-07-2016, 07:13 PM	#5
burningmetal 1000 Posts + Join Date: Mar 2012 Posts: 3,923 Blog Entries: 3	Re: Saints release QB Garrett Grayson, third-round pick in 2015. Originally Posted by Danno Thats a good point. After Brees it may be fortuitous to have a 1-15, 2-14 type seasons in order to draft the next Manning, Luck, Rodgers etc... The problem is that the rest of the team pretty much has to suck to get a top 3 pick, which would imply that you'd need more than 1 year to rebuild into a competitor even with a stud QB of the future. I wonder just how many teams became instantly competitive with a to 10 QB pick. My guess is that they were so bad to start with that it took that team several years to become a contender with that top 10 QB pick. It doesn't have to be a top 3 or even top 10 pick. I said 1st round, early second round range. If you take a look at the top starters in the league, they come from all around that range, except for Brady (6th round) Romo (undrafted) Wilson (3rd round) Cousins (4th round). That shows that if you want a franchise QB, you have to go early, and if you're hoping to get lucky, you stand as much chance in the late rounds as you do in the middle to find a starter or backup. I'm fine if they take late shots at QB's. And it's ok to maybe take a chance in the middle if you don't have any obvious depth issues at other positions. We've had that problem for some time now.
	If I had a nickel for every time I heard that, the NFL would fine and suspend me.

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