Saints(3-2) at Packers(4-2)

If you put Aaron Rodgers in this game, you get a narrow Green Bay victory, but he’s not playing in this game and that makes all the difference in the world. The Saints haven't left Lambeau Field with a win since 2006, but the last two games at Green Bay (‘11 & ‘12) both came down to the final play. The Saints can play in Green Bay, and play well, especially without having to face the Packers’ greatest weapon.

Now, Green Bay quarterback Brett Hundley did throw for 236 yards and 4 touchdowns against the Saints in the 2015 preseason finale, but that was a throwaway preseason game against a defense so bad we need no reminder of it. The Saints have shown a tendency to let backups have huge games against them in the past under Sean Payton, but don't expect to see that here. The Saints have been gifted a huge advantage here, they get Green Bay without their superstar and before the bitter winter cold sets in. They’ll make the most of it and leave Lambeau Field with a huge victory in hand. Saints win 31-21.

Pick: Saints

After all my years of watching the Saints there are 2 definite historical trends:

1) If the starting QB of the opposing team goes down in game or if an unknown QB comes in as the starter we will make him look like the second coming of Dan Marino.

2) If our defense backs the opposing team up into their end zone and they have a 3rd and 20+ to go for a first, they will ~ 90% of the time gain 30+ yards.

This is our past history.....the key word being history. Hopefully,history doesn't repeat itself.