Saints vs. Panthers: 5 things to know ahead of Sunday's playoff match-up between New Orleans, Carolina

Utah_Saint · 01-01-2018, 07:22 PM

Originally Posted by Danno

I think its just logical.

Probably 3/4 of the NFL teams are good enough to beat you on any given day, so beating a "decent" NFL team 3 times in the same year is like winning a coin toss 3 times in a row.

After landing on heads two times in a row, the odds of landing on heads a third time are still 50-50.

SaintFanInATLHELL · 01-03-2018, 09:03 AM

Originally Posted by Utah_Saint

After landing on heads two times in a row, the odds of landing on heads a third time are still 50-50.

True. But all that shows is that the outcome of a single event is different than the total outcome of all the events. Three heads in a row has a 12.5% chance even though each individual toss is a 50% chance.

But that presumes that all things are equal. And when it comes to the Kitties, all things are not equal:

1. The Saints have the better running game.
2. The Saints have the better receivers.
3. The Saints have the better QB in terms of accuracy, game management, and honestly overall common sense.
4. The Saints have the better secondary.
5. The Saints have the better offensive line.

So the first two games were unequal. This one will be too. Add to that the fact that the Dome will be rocking, I fully expect to be marching right into the divisional round.

None of the coin toss math works when there isn't a 50/50 chance on each toss.

SFIAH

01-01-2018, 07:22 PM	#1
Utah_Saint Site Donor 2019 Join Date: Jan 2012 Location: Salt Lake City, Utah Posts: 3,521	Re: Saints vs. Panthers: 5 things to know ahead of Sunday's playoff match-up between New Orleans, Carolina Originally Posted by Danno I think its just logical. Probably 3/4 of the NFL teams are good enough to beat you on any given day, so beating a "decent" NFL team 3 times in the same year is like winning a coin toss 3 times in a row. After landing on heads two times in a row, the odds of landing on heads a third time are still 50-50. Rugby Saint II, 73Saint and pinch like this.

01-03-2018, 09:03 AM	#2
SaintFanInATLHELL The Professor Join Date: Oct 2003 Location: Lithonia, GA Posts: 2,783	Re: Saints vs. Panthers: 5 things to know ahead of Sunday's playoff match-up between New Orleans, Carolina Originally Posted by Utah_Saint After landing on heads two times in a row, the odds of landing on heads a third time are still 50-50. True. But all that shows is that the outcome of a single event is different than the total outcome of all the events. Three heads in a row has a 12.5% chance even though each individual toss is a 50% chance. But that presumes that all things are equal. And when it comes to the Kitties, all things are not equal: 1. The Saints have the better running game. 2. The Saints have the better receivers. 3. The Saints have the better QB in terms of accuracy, game management, and honestly overall common sense. 4. The Saints have the better secondary. 5. The Saints have the better offensive line. So the first two games were unequal. This one will be too. Add to that the fact that the Dome will be rocking, I fully expect to be marching right into the divisional round. None of the coin toss math works when there isn't a 50/50 chance on each toss. SFIAH
	Super Bowl Championships: New Orleans Saints:1, Carolina:0, Atlanta Chokers: STILL ZERO Only Atlanta choked in an unchokable situation... Life is definitely good.