Saints vs. Panthers: 5 things to know ahead of Sunday's playoff match-up between New Orleans, Carolina

SaintFanInATLHELL · 01-03-2018, 10:03 AM

Originally Posted by Utah_Saint

After landing on heads two times in a row, the odds of landing on heads a third time are still 50-50.

True. But all that shows is that the outcome of a single event is different than the total outcome of all the events. Three heads in a row has a 12.5% chance even though each individual toss is a 50% chance.

But that presumes that all things are equal. And when it comes to the Kitties, all things are not equal:

1. The Saints have the better running game.
2. The Saints have the better receivers.
3. The Saints have the better QB in terms of accuracy, game management, and honestly overall common sense.
4. The Saints have the better secondary.
5. The Saints have the better offensive line.

So the first two games were unequal. This one will be too. Add to that the fact that the Dome will be rocking, I fully expect to be marching right into the divisional round.

None of the coin toss math works when there isn't a 50/50 chance on each toss.

SFIAH

AsylumGuido · 01-03-2018, 10:03 AM

Originally Posted by foreverfan

We've lost 18 players to IR. We aren't even the same team. We will be beyond lucky to make the NFC Championship game.

Of course we aren't the same team. We are better. EVERY team in the NFL has lost a number of players to the IR list. Some have had more critical hits than the Saints. Both the Vikings and the Eagles have lost their starting QB's. The Vikings also lost their best RB. Carolina has placed FIVE WR's and two TE's on IR this season. The Falcons just lost a starting guard to IR this week.

K Major · 01-03-2018, 10:25 AM

Originally Posted by foreverfan

We've lost 18 players to IR. We aren't even the same team. We will be beyond lucky to make the NFC Championship game.

Green Bay had 15 players on IR that won SB XLV vs the Steelers here in Deathstar a few years ago. Charles Woodson & Donald Driver were cheerleaders most of the second half. Oh, and they were #6 seed.

When the playoffs start on sat, everyone is 0-0

. No excuses.

Rugby Saint II · 01-03-2018, 03:41 PM

Beating a team three times in a row that is built to beat you is difficult. They also have a stout defense.

K Major · 01-03-2018, 03:49 PM

It's also difficult to beat a team one time when they are better than you

.

Cruize · 01-03-2018, 05:57 PM

They are amazing runners, and for all intensive purposes, fill the roles of the 2nd and 3rd WR's as well as the TE. So, let's just hope they both stay upright.

K Major · 01-05-2018, 09:24 AM

With the uncertainty of Armstead on Sunday ...

Addison/Peppers vs Peat/Ramz. Important match up for me.

Beastmode · 01-05-2018, 09:49 AM

Really concerned about Olsen just like I was about Theilen. I see them relying heavily on Olsen. Funchess can be locked down, Mctaffy can't run inside so he's very one dimensional on the outside. Cam can run but when that happens his passing gets more off target. Probably see some big runs from him early on then meltdowns when his throws get picked later on. That's how I see it going down.

Audiotom · 01-05-2018, 10:06 AM

Originally Posted by Danno

We're 4-4 versus the current playoff field.

Atl 1-1
Car 2-0
NE 0-1
Bills 1-0
Vikes 0-1
Rams 0-1

Home (3 - 1) lost to NE badly
Away (1 - 3) lost to Falcons (but not really), Min, LAR

and 2 of those games were before we realized the NFL season started and ripped off 8 straight

01-03-2018, 10:03 AM	#21
SaintFanInATLHELL The Professor Join Date: Oct 2003 Location: Lithonia, GA Posts: 2,773	Re: Saints vs. Panthers: 5 things to know ahead of Sunday's playoff match-up between New Orleans, Carolina Originally Posted by Utah_Saint After landing on heads two times in a row, the odds of landing on heads a third time are still 50-50. True. But all that shows is that the outcome of a single event is different than the total outcome of all the events. Three heads in a row has a 12.5% chance even though each individual toss is a 50% chance. But that presumes that all things are equal. And when it comes to the Kitties, all things are not equal: 1. The Saints have the better running game. 2. The Saints have the better receivers. 3. The Saints have the better QB in terms of accuracy, game management, and honestly overall common sense. 4. The Saints have the better secondary. 5. The Saints have the better offensive line. So the first two games were unequal. This one will be too. Add to that the fact that the Dome will be rocking, I fully expect to be marching right into the divisional round. None of the coin toss math works when there isn't a 50/50 chance on each toss. SFIAH
	Super Bowl Championships: New Orleans Saints:1, Carolina:0, Atlanta Chokers: STILL ZERO Only Atlanta choked in an unchokable situation... Life is definitely good.

01-03-2018, 10:03 AM	#22
AsylumGuido 10000 POST CLUB Join Date: Sep 2007 Location: Bossier City, LA Posts: 26,220	Re: Saints vs. Panthers: 5 things to know ahead of Sunday's playoff match-up between New Orleans, Carolina Originally Posted by foreverfan We've lost 18 players to IR. We aren't even the same team. We will be beyond lucky to make the NFC Championship game. Of course we aren't the same team. We are better. EVERY team in the NFL has lost a number of players to the IR list. Some have had more critical hits than the Saints. Both the Vikings and the Eagles have lost their starting QB's. The Vikings also lost their best RB. Carolina has placed FIVE WR's and two TE's on IR this season. The Falcons just lost a starting guard to IR this week.

01-03-2018, 10:25 AM	#23
K Major Site Donor 2019 Join Date: Jan 2013 Location: Bedford, TX Posts: 24,619 Blog Entries: 3	Re: Saints vs. Panthers: 5 things to know ahead of Sunday's playoff match-up between New Orleans, Carolina Originally Posted by foreverfan We've lost 18 players to IR. We aren't even the same team. We will be beyond lucky to make the NFC Championship game. Green Bay had 15 players on IR that won SB XLV vs the Steelers here in Deathstar a few years ago. Charles Woodson & Donald Driver were cheerleaders most of the second half. Oh, and they were #6 seed. When the playoffs start on sat, everyone is 0-0 . No excuses. SaintFanInATLHELL, AsylumGuido and Beastmode like this.

01-03-2018, 03:41 PM	#24
Rugby Saint II Bounty Money $$$ Join Date: Oct 2008 Location: 5800 Airline Dr. Metairie, LA. Posts: 24,052	Re: Saints vs. Panthers: 5 things to know ahead of Sunday's playoff match-up between New Orleans, Carolina Beating a team three times in a row that is built to beat you is difficult. They also have a stout defense.

01-03-2018, 03:49 PM	#25
K Major Site Donor 2019 Join Date: Jan 2013 Location: Bedford, TX Posts: 24,619 Blog Entries: 3	Re: Saints vs. Panthers: 5 things to know ahead of Sunday's playoff match-up between New Orleans, Carolina It's also difficult to beat a team one time when they are better than you . SaintFanInATLHELL likes this.

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01-03-2018, 05:57 PM	#26
Cruize 1000 Posts + Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 4,457	Re: Saints vs. Panthers: 5 things to know ahead of Sunday's playoff match-up between New Orleans, Carolina They are amazing runners, and for all intensive purposes, fill the roles of the 2nd and 3rd WR's as well as the TE. So, let's just hope they both stay upright.
Cruize 1000 Posts + Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 4,457

01-05-2018, 09:24 AM	#27
K Major Site Donor 2019 Join Date: Jan 2013 Location: Bedford, TX Posts: 24,619 Blog Entries: 3	Re: Saints vs. Panthers: 5 things to know ahead of Sunday's playoff match-up between New Orleans, Carolina With the uncertainty of Armstead on Sunday ... Addison/Peppers vs Peat/Ramz. Important match up for me.

01-05-2018, 09:49 AM	#28
Beastmode 5000 POSTS! + Join Date: Jul 2010 Posts: 9,126	Re: Saints vs. Panthers: 5 things to know ahead of Sunday's playoff match-up between New Orleans, Carolina Really concerned about Olsen just like I was about Theilen. I see them relying heavily on Olsen. Funchess can be locked down, Mctaffy can't run inside so he's very one dimensional on the outside. Cam can run but when that happens his passing gets more off target. Probably see some big runs from him early on then meltdowns when his throws get picked later on. That's how I see it going down.
Beastmode 5000 POSTS! + Join Date: Jul 2010 Posts: 9,126

01-05-2018, 10:06 AM	#29
Audiotom 1000 Posts + Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 1,094 Blog Entries: 1	Re: Saints vs. Panthers: 5 things to know ahead of Sunday's playoff match-up between New Orleans, Carolina Originally Posted by Danno We're 4-4 versus the current playoff field. Atl 1-1 Car 2-0 NE 0-1 Bills 1-0 Vikes 0-1 Rams 0-1 Home (3 - 1) lost to NE badly Away (1 - 3) lost to Falcons (but not really), Min, LAR and 2 of those games were before we realized the NFL season started and ripped off 8 straight