I am with you. I think in all honesty it really is kind of getting lucky to some point. The coaches, the medical staff, etc are all doing their due diligence but probably never know with certainty how the injury wil respond once you're making athletic moves like these guys make.

That said I would like to suggest one method I think could pay dividends.

Best of three Rochambeau. It's science. 80% of the time it works 100% of the time.