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I Want to Understand Why Gas Prices are So Damned High

this is a discussion within the Everything Else Community Forum; OK, Professor Oil, now I know I am dealing with someone with at least a cursory knowledge of the subject. Not bad. So, you are saying that Obama ISN'T the cause of high gas prices? Huh. I guess you are ...

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Old 03-14-2012, 10:13 PM   #1
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OK, Professor Oil, now I know I am dealing with someone with at least a cursory knowledge of the subject. Not bad. So, you are saying that Obama ISN'T the cause of high gas prices? Huh. I guess you are going to tell me he ISN'T a Muslim and that evolution is, scientifically speaking, fact. OK, maybe that's going too far.

As to the role of speculators, they only magnify the speed and size of the price movement, but not the direction. As your Econ 101 professor taught you, when demand outstrips supply.....price will go where? That's right, it will go up. Where have gasoline prices gone over the last 40 years?

Originally Posted by saintfan View Post
I'd like to suggest to everyone that there is no shortage of oil. Read it again. There is NO SHORTAGE of oil. There is less now than there was 100 years ago of course, but supply has adequately paced demand and will continue to do so. There is plenty of untapped oil in the world when the liberals decide they need it.
Shame on you SaintFan for not telling these good people the truth. We are headed for higher and higher gasoline prices because consumption of oil is outstripping supply.

But, there are three main areas that you did not cover, which I have outlined here:

1. Peak Oil Happened in 2008

For all of you who know that oil is a finite natural resource, meet me at the next paragraph. For those of you who believe in biblical-based oil, please see this article and I'll pray for you.

In 2008, the world consumed 5.3 million barrels more oil than it produced. That was a shortfall equal to the daily oil production of Kuwait and Iraq combined. By 2035, the projected shortfall will be 12.1 million barrels per day -- which is more than all the oil produced by Saudi Arabia per day.

Here is a short video about peak oil that is clear and well produced. It was made by an investment company, Casey Research, who really doesn't care whether the world is running out of oil or not, they just want to sell their research to clients who are willing to pay for it.

Peak Oil News explains the issue.

Here is the Wikipedia reference for Peak Oil.

In 1956 M. King Hubbert, a geologist for Shell Oil, predicted the peaking of US Oil production would occur in the late 1960s.
Although derided by most in the industry he was correct. He was the first to assert that oil discovery, and therefore production, would follow a bell shaped curve over its life. After his success in forecasting the US peak, this analysis became known as the Hubbert's Peak.

The amount of oil discovered in the US has dropped since the late 1930s. 40 years later, US oil production had peaked, and has fallen ever since.

World discovery of oil peaked in the 1960s, and has declined since then. If the 40 year cycle seen in the US holds true for world oil production, that puts global peak oil production, right about now; after which oil becomes less available, and more expensive.

Originally Posted by saintfan View Post
And no, drilling more North American Oil isn't going to lower the price of a gallon of gas enough to make a difference. Who Dat Cat can relax. LOL
Originally Posted by saintfan View Post
Did you know that when an oil company refines its gasoline, that the margin for profit for the oil company is, give or take, 80 cents a gallon? Bet most of you didn't know that. The media is stupid, or at least ignorant. It is expensive to locate and drill and transport and refine the stuff. Oil companies make a LOT of money. They spend a lot too...
2. Oil Subsidies and Tax Loopholes for Oil Companies ( see documentation here )

In 2010, total oil, gas and coal subsidies to fossil fuel Big Energy was $15 BILLION. That's billion with a "B". Below are just a few of the tax credits and subsidies that these companies took advantage of. At the same time, ExxonMobil, in 2010 -- made $30.46 billion in profit!@!@#%^! That is just pure PROFIT.

If you are worried about the U.S. federal debt, call your US representatives and demand that these tax loopholes and subsidies to Big Fossil Fuel be CLOSED immediately.

Here are the tax credits for fossil fuel Big Energy:

Severance Tax Exemptions for Crude Oil
Development Credit for Certain Producers
Exclusion of Low-Volume Oil & Gas Wells

Income support
Exception from Passive Loss Limitation

Support for capital formation
Expensing of Exploration and Development Costs
Excess of Percentage over Cost Depletion
Temporary Expensing of Equipment for Refining
Aid to Small Refiners for EPA Capital Costs
Enhanced Oil Recovery Credit
Sales Tax Exemption for Oil & Gas Equipment
Qualified Capital Expenditure Credit
Alternative Credit for Exploration

Support for knowledge creation
Amortization of Geological Expenditure

Originally Posted by saintfan View Post
So, we are all familiar with the real estate bubble. Something very similar happens with commodities. It's all a bet really. Speculators have created a gas 'bubble'. In fact many speculators involved in real estate a few years ago moved to the oil industry. You betcha Betsy...

But adding more refineries won't fix Wall Street, and Wall Street boys and girls is why you are currently paying 4 bucks a gallon ...
Originally Posted by saintfan View Post
Oh and that oil we get from Canada? It is uber-expensive to refine.

Remember though that speculators - the smarts ones - make money going up and going down. ... it is the Wall Street speculators who make the most difference. The fuel that pushes economies all over the world is subject to the many times knee-jerk reaction of Wall Street.

Should it be regulated? Absolutely. Is there a politician alive today with a pair big enough to do anything about it?
Yes, there are politicians who fight Wall Street. Obama is one of them. But, that is a different topic.


3. Global Warming and Climate Change and why Big Fossil Fuel Companies need to pay for it

For those of you who believe that global warming is a hoax, please keep your head placed firmly up your @ss.

For the rest of you, there is a library amount of science that documents Global Warming and Climate Change. If you don't believe science, then, I wouldn't get on an airplane which uses the science of physics, chemistry, metallurgy and aerodynamics (among others) to make sure your plane stays in the sky.

If you need documentation of the fact of Global Warming, see these articles, the first of which impacts New Orleanians directly:

Rising Sea Levels Seen as Threat to Coastal U.S..

Global Warming from Wikipedia

The government of the Maldives just held a Cabinet Meeting underwater to highlight the dangers of climate change.

Did I mention that California is full of generous, forgiving people?
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Old 03-15-2012, 04:59 PM   #2
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OK, Professor Oil, now I know I am dealing with someone with at least a cursory knowledge of the subject. Not bad. So, you are saying that Obama ISN'T the cause of high gas prices? Huh. I guess you are going to tell me he ISN'T a Muslim and that evolution is, scientifically speaking, fact. OK, maybe that's going too far.
Oh I'm no professor oil, but as I have stated I know a great deal about it from personal experience and from talking to people who DO know a great deal about it. First hand. What I know wasn't filtered by a political party, a web site editor, or for the sake of all this is holy the NY Times. I could give a frogs fat green ass whether or not Obama is a Muslim. As for evolution, my view is actually extremely simple. It's my view and none of your business though. I only have those conversations with reasonable people.


As to the role of speculators, they only magnify the speed and size of the price movement, but not the direction. As your Econ 101 professor taught you, when demand outstrips supply.....price will go where? That's right, it will go up. Where have gasoline prices gone over the last 40 years?
Well, we have a revelation! Oil costs more now than it did 30 years ago! WOW! So does soda pop. Oh my GOD we're running out of Soda Pop! And Toothpaste! And Rubbers! Run for the hills. Interesting huh? The fundamental problem with you is that you believe demand is higher than supply. It is not. Believe whatever you wish - Stay on your current course of thinking and continue to be wrong. Fine by me.

Shame on you SaintFan for not telling these good people the truth. We are headed for higher and higher gasoline prices because consumption of oil is outstripping supply.
Nope. You can lead a horse to water...etc. That's what the liberal media wants you to believe. Congratulations! You're a member of the club! There is plenty of oil in the world and you yourself said as much in the "Condon" thread. You'd do better to pick a side and stick with it. That's what Pelosi does.

But, there are three main areas that you did not cover, which I have outlined here:

1. Peak Oil Happened in 2008

For all of you who know that oil is a finite natural resource, meet me at the next paragraph. For those of you who believe in biblical-based oil, please see this article and I'll pray for you.

In 2008, the world consumed 5.3 million barrels more oil than it produced. That was a shortfall equal to the daily oil production of Kuwait and Iraq combined. By 2035, the projected shortfall will be 12.1 million barrels per day -- which is more than all the oil produced by Saudi Arabia per day.

Here is a short video about peak oil that is clear and well produced. It was made by an investment company, Casey Research, who really doesn't care whether the world is running out of oil or not, they just want to sell their research to clients who are willing to pay for it.

Peak Oil News explains the issue.

Here is the Wikipedia reference for Peak Oil.
I did speak to it. Certainly there is less now than before. There will be less tomorrow than there is today. This has precisely nothing to do with what you're playing at the pump. Not a single thing. That is what we (some of us anyway) are discussing. Get on point will you?

In 1956 M. King Hubbert, a geologist for Shell Oil, predicted the peaking of US Oil production would occur in the late 1960s.
Although derided by most in the industry he was correct. He was the first to assert that oil discovery, and therefore production, would follow a bell shaped curve over its life. After his success in forecasting the US peak, this analysis became known as the Hubbert's Peak.

The amount of oil discovered in the US has dropped since the late 1930s. 40 years later, US oil production had peaked, and has fallen ever since.

World discovery of oil peaked in the 1960s, and has declined since then. If the 40 year cycle seen in the US holds true for world oil production, that puts global peak oil production, right about now; after which oil becomes less available, and more expensive.
You can copy and paste with the best of them. Word to the wise: Quote that stuff when you do. You know you fully understand a topic when you can put it in your own words. Know what I mean? The point you continue to fail to grasp (willingly I suspect) is that peak oil, supply and demand, all that crap, has NOTHING to do with why oil prices have increased dramatically over the last month. Let me try and drill this point home (pardon the pun). NOTHING TO DO WITH IT. Let that sink in and see if you can get back on topic.


2. Oil Subsidies and Tax Loopholes for Oil Companies ( see documentation here )

In 2010, total oil, gas and coal subsidies to fossil fuel Big Energy was $15 BILLION. That's billion with a "B". Below are just a few of the tax credits and subsidies that these companies took advantage of. At the same time, ExxonMobil, in 2010 -- made $30.46 billion in profit!@!@#%^! That is just pure PROFIT.

If you are worried about the U.S. federal debt, call your US representatives and demand that these tax loopholes and subsidies to Big Fossil Fuel be CLOSED immediately.

Here are the tax credits for fossil fuel Big Energy:

Severance Tax Exemptions for Crude Oil
Development Credit for Certain Producers
Exclusion of Low-Volume Oil & Gas Wells

Income support
Exception from Passive Loss Limitation

Support for capital formation
Expensing of Exploration and Development Costs
Excess of Percentage over Cost Depletion
Temporary Expensing of Equipment for Refining
Aid to Small Refiners for EPA Capital Costs
Enhanced Oil Recovery Credit
Sales Tax Exemption for Oil & Gas Equipment
Qualified Capital Expenditure Credit
Alternative Credit for Exploration

Support for knowledge creation
Amortization of Geological Expenditure
And herein lies the real agenda. You hate oil companies. I mean, I knew this before we got started, but here it is in the open. Let me ask, do you hate ALL corporations? I bet not. At the very least I bet you don't spend any time blaming them for all the worlds problems. See the "Condon" thread for your homework assignment. It is enough to say in a single post in a single thread "I LOATHE BIG OIL COMPANIES". We get it. You can save a little face that way and many people will agree with you. But when you embark on a mission to pin the price of a gallon of gas on the mean old oil companies you have a dig WAY deeper it seems than you are willing to do.

Yes, there are politicians who fight Wall Street. Obama is one of them. But, that is a different topic.
No. In fact it IS the topic. That you don't get it is unfortunate.

3. Global Warming and Climate Change and why Big Fossil Fuel Companies need to pay for it

For those of you who believe that global warming is a hoax, please keep your head placed firmly up your @ss.

For the rest of you, there is a library amount of science that documents Global Warming and Climate Change. If you don't believe science, then, I wouldn't get on an airplane which uses the science of physics, chemistry, metallurgy and aerodynamics (among others) to make sure your plane stays in the sky.

If you need documentation of the fact of Global Warming, see these articles, the first of which impacts New Orleanians directly:

Rising Sea Levels Seen as Threat to Coastal U.S..

Global Warming from Wikipedia

The government of the Maldives just held a Cabinet Meeting underwater to highlight the dangers of climate change.
And here's the motivation for your big oil hate. This is nothing new. You subscribe to a theory (and I'm sorry to tell you it's nothing more than that) wherein you are able to blame some big corporation for some possible worst case scenario. You need a fight. This is common among liberals - young ones especially. Most grow up and grow out of it. Some never see the light. They're the ones trying to ban toys from happy meals.


And do we really need to have the 'global warming' battle? Let me tell you how that will end. You will copy and paste a million articles from every source you can find (and there are many) and claim that this proves your point. You will have to copy and paste because you don't have the education to look at all the data it takes to make an intelligent assumption, and even if you did all you would be able to do is assume. This is all the scientists you're quoting are doing. I might be inclined to do the same, meeting every article with one that counters its point. This will go on and on and eventually the topic will be closed and you will have failed to prove a damn thing. Instead I will simply say "Prove it". Do it right now. Don't quote a theory. PROVE IT. You can't. Nobody can. Believe as you wish and sleep will at night, because your opinion of global warming doesn't affect me in any way. Matter of fact, I'd be willing to be my carbon footprint is less than yours. But who cares? The plant is going to be here when we die. It will be here for my kids and for their kids. The only problem I see is that my kids and their kids are going to have to pay for the liberal policies you support that are not sustainable. Let's just agree not to do that okay?

Back to topic - next time my ex bro-in-law or my father-in-law or my grandpa is in town, if you're interested, I'd be more than happy to set up a little meeting. Each works or worked in the oil industry as I've stated. Do you want to hear it from the horses mouth, or would you prefer to stay in the matrix? You can read this too if you'd like. http://money.howstuffworks.com/oil-s...gas-price1.htm You want the red pill or the blue one? Up to you little lady.

C'mon Man...

Last edited by saintfan; 03-15-2012 at 06:26 PM..
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Old 03-09-2012, 07:47 PM   #3
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Old 03-09-2012, 08:25 PM   #4
 
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Old 03-10-2012, 06:20 AM   #5
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Question I want to understand why gas prices are so darn high.

Ok, this is where I'm at ..... I hear a lot about why gas prices are high and continue to climb, but it's all from politicians and/or talk radio. Who can you trust? So, when I see in another thread saintfan offering a point of view I've never had available to me before, I want to hear it. SkyMike too, or anybody else from Texas and/or familiar with the oil industry.

I understand supply & demand and how increasing supply hypothetically would lower gas prices ..... except lately, that hasn't been happening. I understand the strength of the USDollar influences oil prices.

Then I hear gas prices remain high because there's a bottleneck at the refineries ..... we don't have to capacity to refine the fuel fast enough and need to build more. This pipeline broke, the Iranians are threatening the Straits of Hormus, the Saudis have cut back on production ..... it's always something. Who do you believe?

I don't understand oil. I'm familiar with the Strategic Oil Reserves, sweet crude, the fact we import most our oil from Canada, we're supposedly sitting on enough oil to last for generations and the fact that the internal combustion engine is the cheapest, most effective & ecomical way to do business.

But I don't understand why gas prices are so damn high.
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Old 03-10-2012, 08:08 AM   #6
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Upon further review, I see it's already been addressed in a previous thread, http://blackandgold.com/ee/41978-i-w...mned-high.html.
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Old 03-10-2012, 09:09 AM   #7
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In my opinion Wall Street (actually the New York Stock Exchange, NASDAQ, etc) is broken. Once upon a time (a phrase used to begin many a fairy tale) Wall Street was created as a place for businesses to raise capital. If you had a new idea for a business or needed to expand your business you sold a piece of the company as stock to private investors. Investors bought and sold stock in companies based upon their long-term perfornace, market trends, etc.

For nearly 200 years this worked really well.

Today, the whole system looks more like Vegas-east where money is bet not invested. Day traders buy and sell, flipping stocks so fast that the actual performance of a company is often not the issue at all. You make short term bets on stock, commonidites, etc and if you're a big enough player your bet moves the market. In short the game is fixed.

So, when traders, hedge fund managers, etc take positions on oil they have no intent on ever taking delivery. They are only betting the price will go up or down. This creates a false "demand" driving the price up or down and the traders win. Unfortunatley, for every winner there is also a looser and in this case it is us, the consumers.

Will the problem get fixed, highly unlikely. Wall Street money actually fixes two games. First, the trading process itself, as described above. Second, a chunk of the "profits" from the trades flow back to Washington in the form of campaign contributions, in short, protection money.

If you have a problem with low blood pressure I suggest reading Throw Them All Out by Peter Schweizer.
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Old 03-10-2012, 06:35 PM   #9
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It's $3.59 here in Nawlins. I did a little math. I basically work 2 full days for free every month. Between driving 73 miles a day, 5 sometimes 6 days a week, and $2.00 toll for the same said days. What you gonna do, there are bills to pay.
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Old 03-12-2012, 02:13 AM   #10
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We pay about $8 per gallon in Sweden right now. Our taxes on gas are really high. But I went trough college for free and don't pay much for healthcare so I'm pretty happy about it.
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