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this is a discussion within the Everything Else Community Forum; OK, Professor Oil, now I know I am dealing with someone with at least a cursory knowledge of the subject. Not bad. So, you are saying that Obama ISN'T the cause of high gas prices? Huh. I guess you are ...
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#1 |
100th Post
Join Date: Oct 2011
Location: California - Bay Area
Posts: 386
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OK, Professor Oil, now I know I am dealing with someone with at least a cursory knowledge of the subject. Not bad. So, you are saying that Obama ISN'T the cause of high gas prices? Huh. I guess you are going to tell me he ISN'T a Muslim and that evolution is, scientifically speaking, fact. OK, maybe that's going too far.
As to the role of speculators, they only magnify the speed and size of the price movement, but not the direction. As your Econ 101 professor taught you, when demand outstrips supply.....price will go where? That's right, it will go up. Where have gasoline prices gone over the last 40 years?
Originally Posted by saintfan
Shame on you SaintFan for not telling these good people the truth. We are headed for higher and higher gasoline prices because consumption of oil is outstripping supply.![]()
But, there are three main areas that you did not cover, which I have outlined here: 1. Peak Oil Happened in 2008 For all of you who know that oil is a finite natural resource, meet me at the next paragraph. For those of you who believe in biblical-based oil, please see this article and I'll pray for you. In 2008, the world consumed 5.3 million barrels more oil than it produced. That was a shortfall equal to the daily oil production of Kuwait and Iraq combined. By 2035, the projected shortfall will be 12.1 million barrels per day -- which is more than all the oil produced by Saudi Arabia per day. Here is a short video about peak oil that is clear and well produced. It was made by an investment company, Casey Research, who really doesn't care whether the world is running out of oil or not, they just want to sell their research to clients who are willing to pay for it. Peak Oil News explains the issue. Here is the Wikipedia reference for Peak Oil. In 1956 M. King Hubbert, a geologist for Shell Oil, predicted the peaking of US Oil production would occur in the late 1960s. Although derided by most in the industry he was correct. He was the first to assert that oil discovery, and therefore production, would follow a bell shaped curve over its life. After his success in forecasting the US peak, this analysis became known as the Hubbert's Peak. The amount of oil discovered in the US has dropped since the late 1930s. 40 years later, US oil production had peaked, and has fallen ever since. World discovery of oil peaked in the 1960s, and has declined since then. If the 40 year cycle seen in the US holds true for world oil production, that puts global peak oil production, right about now; after which oil becomes less available, and more expensive.
Originally Posted by saintfan
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Originally Posted by saintfan
2. Oil Subsidies and Tax Loopholes for Oil Companies ( see documentation here )![]()
In 2010, total oil, gas and coal subsidies to fossil fuel Big Energy was $15 BILLION. That's billion with a "B". Below are just a few of the tax credits and subsidies that these companies took advantage of. At the same time, ExxonMobil, in 2010 -- made $30.46 billion in profit!@!@#%^! That is just pure PROFIT. If you are worried about the U.S. federal debt, call your US representatives and demand that these tax loopholes and subsidies to Big Fossil Fuel be CLOSED immediately. Here are the tax credits for fossil fuel Big Energy: Severance Tax Exemptions for Crude Oil Development Credit for Certain Producers Exclusion of Low-Volume Oil & Gas Wells Income support Exception from Passive Loss Limitation Support for capital formation Expensing of Exploration and Development Costs Excess of Percentage over Cost Depletion Temporary Expensing of Equipment for Refining Aid to Small Refiners for EPA Capital Costs Enhanced Oil Recovery Credit Sales Tax Exemption for Oil & Gas Equipment Qualified Capital Expenditure Credit Alternative Credit for Exploration Support for knowledge creation Amortization of Geological Expenditure
Originally Posted by saintfan
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Originally Posted by saintfan
Yes, there are politicians who fight Wall Street. Obama is one of them. But, that is a different topic.![]()
3. Global Warming and Climate Change and why Big Fossil Fuel Companies need to pay for it For those of you who believe that global warming is a hoax, please keep your head placed firmly up your @ss. For the rest of you, there is a library amount of science that documents Global Warming and Climate Change. If you don't believe science, then, I wouldn't get on an airplane which uses the science of physics, chemistry, metallurgy and aerodynamics (among others) to make sure your plane stays in the sky. If you need documentation of the fact of Global Warming, see these articles, the first of which impacts New Orleanians directly: Rising Sea Levels Seen as Threat to Coastal U.S.. Global Warming from Wikipedia The government of the Maldives just held a Cabinet Meeting underwater to highlight the dangers of climate change. |
Did I mention that California is full of generous, forgiving people?
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#2 |
Donated Plasma
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And do we really need to have the 'global warming' battle? Let me tell you how that will end. You will copy and paste a million articles from every source you can find (and there are many) and claim that this proves your point. You will have to copy and paste because you don't have the education to look at all the data it takes to make an intelligent assumption, and even if you did all you would be able to do is assume. This is all the scientists you're quoting are doing. I might be inclined to do the same, meeting every article with one that counters its point. This will go on and on and eventually the topic will be closed and you will have failed to prove a damn thing. Instead I will simply say "Prove it". Do it right now. Don't quote a theory. PROVE IT. You can't. Nobody can. Believe as you wish and sleep will at night, because your opinion of global warming doesn't affect me in any way. Matter of fact, I'd be willing to be my carbon footprint is less than yours. But who cares? The plant is going to be here when we die. It will be here for my kids and for their kids. The only problem I see is that my kids and their kids are going to have to pay for the liberal policies you support that are not sustainable. Let's just agree not to do that okay? Back to topic - next time my ex bro-in-law or my father-in-law or my grandpa is in town, if you're interested, I'd be more than happy to set up a little meeting. Each works or worked in the oil industry as I've stated. Do you want to hear it from the horses mouth, or would you prefer to stay in the matrix? You can read this too if you'd like. http://money.howstuffworks.com/oil-s...gas-price1.htm You want the red pill or the blue one? Up to you little lady. |
C'mon Man...
Last edited by saintfan; 03-15-2012 at 06:26 PM.. |
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#3 |
Moderator
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: New Haven Ct
Posts: 23,990
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I paid 3.81 today.
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#4 |
$4.09 Super Unleaded for me today!
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#5 |
5000 POSTS! +
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Ok, this is where I'm at ..... I hear a lot about why gas prices are high and continue to climb, but it's all from politicians and/or talk radio. Who can you trust? So, when I see in another thread saintfan offering a point of view I've never had available to me before, I want to hear it. SkyMike too, or anybody else from Texas and/or familiar with the oil industry.
I understand supply & demand and how increasing supply hypothetically would lower gas prices ..... except lately, that hasn't been happening. I understand the strength of the USDollar influences oil prices. Then I hear gas prices remain high because there's a bottleneck at the refineries ..... we don't have to capacity to refine the fuel fast enough and need to build more. This pipeline broke, the Iranians are threatening the Straits of Hormus, the Saudis have cut back on production ..... it's always something. Who do you believe? I don't understand oil. I'm familiar with the Strategic Oil Reserves, sweet crude, the fact we import most our oil from Canada, we're supposedly sitting on enough oil to last for generations and the fact that the internal combustion engine is the cheapest, most effective & ecomical way to do business. But I don't understand why gas prices are so damn high. |
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#6 |
5000 POSTS! +
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Upon further review, I see it's already been addressed in a previous thread, http://blackandgold.com/ee/41978-i-w...mned-high.html.
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#7 |
1000 Posts +
Join Date: Jan 2012
Location: SW Ohio
Posts: 4,645
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In my opinion Wall Street (actually the New York Stock Exchange, NASDAQ, etc) is broken. Once upon a time (a phrase used to begin many a fairy tale) Wall Street was created as a place for businesses to raise capital. If you had a new idea for a business or needed to expand your business you sold a piece of the company as stock to private investors. Investors bought and sold stock in companies based upon their long-term perfornace, market trends, etc.
For nearly 200 years this worked really well. Today, the whole system looks more like Vegas-east where money is bet not invested. Day traders buy and sell, flipping stocks so fast that the actual performance of a company is often not the issue at all. You make short term bets on stock, commonidites, etc and if you're a big enough player your bet moves the market. In short the game is fixed. So, when traders, hedge fund managers, etc take positions on oil they have no intent on ever taking delivery. They are only betting the price will go up or down. This creates a false "demand" driving the price up or down and the traders win. Unfortunatley, for every winner there is also a looser and in this case it is us, the consumers. Will the problem get fixed, highly unlikely. Wall Street money actually fixes two games. First, the trading process itself, as described above. Second, a chunk of the "profits" from the trades flow back to Washington in the form of campaign contributions, in short, protection money. If you have a problem with low blood pressure I suggest reading Throw Them All Out by Peter Schweizer. |
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#8 |
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#9 |
Site Donor 2018
Join Date: Oct 2011
Location: Mid City, New Orleans
Posts: 3,556
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It's $3.59 here in Nawlins. I did a little math. I basically work 2 full days for free every month. Between driving 73 miles a day, 5 sometimes 6 days a week, and $2.00 toll for the same said days. What you gonna do, there are bills to pay.
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#10 |
Resident Swede
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Märsta, Sweden
Posts: 8,051
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We pay about $8 per gallon in Sweden right now. Our taxes on gas are really high. But I went trough college for free and don't pay much for healthcare so I'm pretty happy about it.
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Tags |
conservation, drill, embargo, gas, gulf, inflation, oil, pipeline, shale, spill |
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