NFL Officiating: Holding calls at an all time high.

CHA_CHING · 09-19-2019, 09:18 PM

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...-to-pass-more/

Offensive holding penalties in the first two weeks of the season rose 78 percent this year, from 82 in 2018 to 146 in 2019. If the current rate of holding penalties called continues over the course of the entire year, we might wonder: Are there winners or losers from the new rule emphasis?

It turns out that holding is more likely to be called on a running play. From 2009 to 2018, holding was called on 2636 rushing attempts and 1673 passing attempts,5 despite the fact that the majority of plays over that period were passes. Since 61.2 percent of holding calls on these plays occur when rushing, it suggests that running is more risky, and therefore less valuable.

This will go on for the rest of the year. They are calling things much more now than they previously did.

SaintsBro · 09-20-2019, 10:15 AM

Remember the era when a solid running back could be the anchor of the entire offense and carry an entire team on his back (Jim Brown, OJ, Barry Sanders, Emmitt Smith, Tony Dorsett, Adrian Petersen, guys like that).

Now it seems like running backs are a dime a dozen, they are not high in demand, and now even feature running backs are literally having trouble getting paid the big money, because they are considered disposable or plug-and-play. This pretty much reached a peak with the Le'Veon Bell debacle, although there are plenty of other teams that went through similar changes of moving away from high-paid "feature" backs to unknowns or UDFA's or "running-back-by-committee."

It's weird, it's as if the entire NFL is rising up to make the role of the feature star running back less important.

I blame it on fantasy football. I haven't done any serious research on it, but my gut tells me that QB's and wide receivers typically generate more points than a grinding, boring running back.

Simple math, a running back would pretty much have to have a banner career high day, to get as many fantasy points as a fairly typical Brees, Rodgers or Rivers type elite QB outing on a Sunday. Elite QB's sell jerseys, and generate media storylines, running backs don't.

That's just my personal take on it -- it's a pass happy league now, and has been for many years, and taking away big running plays with ticky-tacky holding penalties, is just the latest part of that trend to make the game more "appealing" to fantasy types.

Beastmode · 09-20-2019, 11:25 AM

One thing I noticed playing fantasy, if passing is prolific for a couple years it normally reverts back to running for a couple.

I assumed it would be passing this year for a few reasons so I drafted all WR2's, no WR1's. One reason; Chiefs, Cardinals style offenses are heavy pass. It wasn't like that a few years ago. It also effects everyone they play. Those teams also have to pass more.

vpheughan · 09-20-2019, 11:48 AM

.....is just the latest part of that trend to make the game more "appealing" to fantasy types.

Originally Posted by Beastmode

One thing I noticed playing fantasy, if passing is prolific for a couple years it normally reverts back to running for a couple.

I assumed it would be passing this year for a few reasons so I drafted all WR2's, no WR1's. One reason; Chiefs, Cardinals style offenses are heavy pass. It wasn't like that a few years ago. It also effects everyone they play. Those teams also have to pass more.

BINGO!!!

09-19-2019, 09:18 PM	#1
CHA_CHING 1000 Posts + Join Date: Jan 2019 Location: Mobile, AL Posts: 1,159	NFL Officiating: Holding calls at an all time high. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...-to-pass-more/ Offensive holding penalties in the first two weeks of the season rose 78 percent this year, from 82 in 2018 to 146 in 2019. If the current rate of holding penalties called continues over the course of the entire year, we might wonder: Are there winners or losers from the new rule emphasis? It turns out that holding is more likely to be called on a running play. From 2009 to 2018, holding was called on 2636 rushing attempts and 1673 passing attempts,5 despite the fact that the majority of plays over that period were passes. Since 61.2 percent of holding calls on these plays occur when rushing, it suggests that running is more risky, and therefore less valuable. This will go on for the rest of the year. They are calling things much more now than they previously did.

09-20-2019, 10:15 AM	#2
SaintsBro Site Donor Join Date: Sep 2010 Location: in line with my ridiculous CLEAR PLASTIC BAG Posts: 3,650 Blog Entries: 3	Re: NFL Officiating: Holding calls at an all time high. Remember the era when a solid running back could be the anchor of the entire offense and carry an entire team on his back (Jim Brown, OJ, Barry Sanders, Emmitt Smith, Tony Dorsett, Adrian Petersen, guys like that). Now it seems like running backs are a dime a dozen, they are not high in demand, and now even feature running backs are literally having trouble getting paid the big money, because they are considered disposable or plug-and-play. This pretty much reached a peak with the Le'Veon Bell debacle, although there are plenty of other teams that went through similar changes of moving away from high-paid "feature" backs to unknowns or UDFA's or "running-back-by-committee." It's weird, it's as if the entire NFL is rising up to make the role of the feature star running back less important. I blame it on fantasy football. I haven't done any serious research on it, but my gut tells me that QB's and wide receivers typically generate more points than a grinding, boring running back. Simple math, a running back would pretty much have to have a banner career high day, to get as many fantasy points as a fairly typical Brees, Rodgers or Rivers type elite QB outing on a Sunday. Elite QB's sell jerseys, and generate media storylines, running backs don't. That's just my personal take on it -- it's a pass happy league now, and has been for many years, and taking away big running plays with ticky-tacky holding penalties, is just the latest part of that trend to make the game more "appealing" to fantasy types.

09-20-2019, 11:25 AM	#3
Beastmode 5000 POSTS! + Join Date: Jul 2010 Posts: 9,126	Re: NFL Officiating: Holding calls at an all time high. One thing I noticed playing fantasy, if passing is prolific for a couple years it normally reverts back to running for a couple. I assumed it would be passing this year for a few reasons so I drafted all WR2's, no WR1's. One reason; Chiefs, Cardinals style offenses are heavy pass. It wasn't like that a few years ago. It also effects everyone they play. Those teams also have to pass more.
Beastmode 5000 POSTS! + Join Date: Jul 2010 Posts: 9,126

09-20-2019, 11:48 AM	#4
vpheughan 1000 Posts + Join Date: Aug 2007 Posts: 4,519	Re: NFL Officiating: Holding calls at an all time high. .....is just the latest part of that trend to make the game more "appealing" to fantasy types. Originally Posted by Beastmode One thing I noticed playing fantasy, if passing is prolific for a couple years it normally reverts back to running for a couple. I assumed it would be passing this year for a few reasons so I drafted all WR2's, no WR1's. One reason; Chiefs, Cardinals style offenses are heavy pass. It wasn't like that a few years ago. It also effects everyone they play. Those teams also have to pass more. BINGO!!!
vpheughan 1000 Posts + Join Date: Aug 2007 Posts: 4,519

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