Grading the 2018 Saints draft class, three years in | USA Today/SaintsWire

Boston Saint · 03-04-2021, 10:16 AM

Originally Posted by AsylumGuido

It doesn't matter how much money you throw at it, nobody knows exactly how a 20 year old kid will perform three or four years from now. If they did there would never be a market for free agents.

There so much illogic here it’s not even funny. Because not all guys pan out “exactly” as expected it’s a crapshoot? That’s like saying two people go out fishing. One is the father who has been an experienced fisherman all his life, the other his young son out fishing for his first time. The father gives his son a cane pole with a bobber. The father uses his normal rod and reel set-up. Now either could catch a fish in this “crapshoot”, But Would you bet on the experienced father or the untrained son eventually catching more and bigger fish that day? How about the next day? Preparation does not always guarantee success, but not preparing almost guarantees failure.

Free agency didn’t start because the draft was a crapshoot. It started because players didn’t like being under the control of one team for their entire careers and players couldn’t come to agreement with owners on what their value was worth. They used to have 12 rounds of draft and no FA and rosters were filled out fine. Fact is There is no way in hell that if the draft was a crapshoot teams would spend the millions they do on evaluation of it. At some point team A started to really study the draft and do well with it. Team B noticed and said “Hey, team A goes out and looks at these guys and they are doing well with their picks. Maybe we should try that!”. Then team C caught on etc.

The fact that Brady was a late round pick doesn’t refute this either.
Maybe NE new he was going to be that good all along but realized no one else did so they could afford to wait on him. They could have maybe never picked him and got him as an UDFA if he was a crapshoot. But apparently he was on their radar enough to have them not take that chance. Obviously because of their evaluation of him.

View Poll Results: After three seasons, what grade do you give the Saints for the 2018 Draft Haul?
A	1	7.69%
B	3	23.08%
C	2	15.38%
D	5	38.46%
F	2	15.38%
Voters: 13. You may not vote on this poll

03-04-2021, 10:16 AM	#22
Boston Saint 5000 POSTS! + Join Date: Nov 2020 Location: Massachusetts Posts: 5,137	Re: Grading the 2018 Saints draft class, three years in \| USA Today/SaintsWire Originally Posted by AsylumGuido It doesn't matter how much money you throw at it, nobody knows exactly how a 20 year old kid will perform three or four years from now. If they did there would never be a market for free agents. There so much illogic here it’s not even funny. Because not all guys pan out “exactly” as expected it’s a crapshoot? That’s like saying two people go out fishing. One is the father who has been an experienced fisherman all his life, the other his young son out fishing for his first time. The father gives his son a cane pole with a bobber. The father uses his normal rod and reel set-up. Now either could catch a fish in this “crapshoot”, But Would you bet on the experienced father or the untrained son eventually catching more and bigger fish that day? How about the next day? Preparation does not always guarantee success, but not preparing almost guarantees failure. Free agency didn’t start because the draft was a crapshoot. It started because players didn’t like being under the control of one team for their entire careers and players couldn’t come to agreement with owners on what their value was worth. They used to have 12 rounds of draft and no FA and rosters were filled out fine. Fact is There is no way in hell that if the draft was a crapshoot teams would spend the millions they do on evaluation of it. At some point team A started to really study the draft and do well with it. Team B noticed and said “Hey, team A goes out and looks at these guys and they are doing well with their picks. Maybe we should try that!”. Then team C caught on etc. The fact that Brady was a late round pick doesn’t refute this either. Maybe NE new he was going to be that good all along but realized no one else did so they could afford to wait on him. They could have maybe never picked him and got him as an UDFA if he was a crapshoot. But apparently he was on their radar enough to have them not take that chance. Obviously because of their evaluation of him.
	You think you know, but you don’t know...and you never will! Coach Jim Mora