Best of the Mediocre (NFC Playoff Scenarios)

TallySaint · 12-26-2006, 08:23 AM

BEST OF THE MEDIOCRE

Times-Picayune, Dec. 26

The scenarios for the 7-8 teams in the NFC to make the playoffs (in order of current seeding):

GIANTS (at Redskins)

In with a win, or if all five teams at 7-8 lose, the Giants would make the playoffs at 7-9.

PACKERS (at Bears)

In with a win and a New York loss. Only other scenario in which the Packers would not qualify is if they are in a two-team tie with St. Louis. In that case, they are eliminated virtue of a 23-20 loss to the Rams on Oct. 8.

PANTHERS (vs. Saints)

In with a win and a New York and Green Bay loss.

RAMS (at Vikings)

In with a win and if all other 7-8 teams lose, unless Green Bay is the only other winner.

FALCONS (at Eagles)

In with a win and if all other 7-8 teams lose, unless St. Louis is the only winner. The Falcons beat the Rams head-to-head virtue of a better strength of victory in the conference.

Compiled by Jim Derry

http://www.nola.com/saints/t-p/index...xml&coll=1

8)

reggiedude · 12-26-2006, 03:51 PM

Check out this website, do the math.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NFL_playoffs

reggiedude · 12-26-2006, 04:15 PM

Does it look like we could face the Eagles at home for the Divisional Round?

SaintFanInATLHELL · 12-26-2006, 05:50 PM

The Green Bay scenario isn't exactly correct.

Green Bay is currently behind the Giants. This is based on the common opponents tiebreaker. However if Green Bay beats Chicago on Sunday evening, then the common opponents records of both the Giants and the Packers would be 1-5 moving both teams down the tiebreaker list to strength of victory. A win over Chicago (currently a 13-2 team) would move the Packers ahead of the Giants in the SoV category.

So if the Packers win, they are in no matter what the Giants do. Only that scenario with the Rams can keep them out.

SFIAH

TheGambler · 12-27-2006, 11:02 AM

Originally Posted by reggiedude

Does it look like we could face the Eagles at home for the Divisional Round?

Pretty much. I'm actually wondering if I want to see philly clinch their division.......since a #3 spot (assuming the win on wildcard weekend) would send them to New Orleans for Round 2.

Whereas, if Philly stumbled against Atlanta...and Dallas got their division, then Dallas is #3.

I can't really bring myself to pull for Atlanta though......under no circumstances do I want to see them in the playoffs, as slim a chance as it may be for them. We'll see how it works out.

SaintFanInATLHELL · 12-29-2006, 08:26 AM

Originally Posted by SaintFanInATLHELL

The Green Bay scenario isn't exactly correct.

Green Bay is currently behind the Giants. This is based on the common opponents tiebreaker. However if Green Bay beats Chicago on Sunday evening, then the common opponents records of both the Giants and the Packers would be 1-5 moving both teams down the tiebreaker list to strength of victory. A win over Chicago (currently a 13-2 team) would move the Packers ahead of the Giants in the SoV category.

So if the Packers win, they are in no matter what the Giants do. Only that scenario with the Rams can keep them out.

SFIAH

I think this is first time I've actually quoted myself.

I have new information. The win over Chicago isn't sufficient to get the Packers over the hump in the SoV category. Actually the Giants are way ahead of the Pack in SoV. I found a Giants press release here:

http://www.giants.com/news/press_rel...story_id=24211

That outlines everything that needs to happen for the Packers to win in SoV:

**Packers clinch strength of victory tiebreaker over NY Giants if all of the following occur: ARI win, DET win, MIA win, MIN win, SF win, CAR loss, HOU loss, TB loss.

So the simplest way to state it is that the Giants are almost virtually in if they win Saturday. They'll have a long long day of scoreboard watching. But if any of the above games go the other way, then the Pack is out. Notwithstanding the fact that the Pack would still need to win in Chicago for them to even have a chance.

SFIAH

12-26-2006, 08:23 AM	#1
TallySaint 1000 Posts + Join Date: Jul 2005 Location: Tallahassee Posts: 1,367	Best of the Mediocre (NFC Playoff Scenarios) BEST OF THE MEDIOCRE Times-Picayune, Dec. 26 The scenarios for the 7-8 teams in the NFC to make the playoffs (in order of current seeding): GIANTS (at Redskins) In with a win, or if all five teams at 7-8 lose, the Giants would make the playoffs at 7-9. PACKERS (at Bears) In with a win and a New York loss. Only other scenario in which the Packers would not qualify is if they are in a two-team tie with St. Louis. In that case, they are eliminated virtue of a 23-20 loss to the Rams on Oct. 8. PANTHERS (vs. Saints) In with a win and a New York and Green Bay loss. RAMS (at Vikings) In with a win and if all other 7-8 teams lose, unless Green Bay is the only other winner. FALCONS (at Eagles) In with a win and if all other 7-8 teams lose, unless St. Louis is the only winner. The Falcons beat the Rams head-to-head virtue of a better strength of victory in the conference. Compiled by Jim Derry http://www.nola.com/saints/t-p/index...xml&coll=1 8)
	My Guardian Angel wears a hard hat.

12-26-2006, 03:51 PM	#2
reggiedude Registered Join Date: Dec 2006 Posts: 76	RE: Best of the Mediocre (NFC Playoff Scenarios) Check out this website, do the math. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NFL_playoffs
reggiedude Registered Join Date: Dec 2006 Posts: 76

12-26-2006, 04:15 PM	#3
reggiedude Registered Join Date: Dec 2006 Posts: 76	RE: Best of the Mediocre (NFC Playoff Scenarios) Does it look like we could face the Eagles at home for the Divisional Round?
reggiedude Registered Join Date: Dec 2006 Posts: 76

12-26-2006, 05:50 PM	#4
SaintFanInATLHELL The Professor Join Date: Oct 2003 Location: Lithonia, GA Posts: 2,773	RE: Best of the Mediocre (NFC Playoff Scenarios) The Green Bay scenario isn't exactly correct. Green Bay is currently behind the Giants. This is based on the common opponents tiebreaker. However if Green Bay beats Chicago on Sunday evening, then the common opponents records of both the Giants and the Packers would be 1-5 moving both teams down the tiebreaker list to strength of victory. A win over Chicago (currently a 13-2 team) would move the Packers ahead of the Giants in the SoV category. So if the Packers win, they are in no matter what the Giants do. Only that scenario with the Rams can keep them out. SFIAH
	Super Bowl Championships: New Orleans Saints:1, Carolina:0, Atlanta Chokers: STILL ZERO Only Atlanta choked in an unchokable situation... Life is definitely good.

12-27-2006, 11:02 AM	#5
TheGambler 500th Post Join Date: Jul 2005 Posts: 610	Re: RE: Best of the Mediocre (NFC Playoff Scenarios) Originally Posted by reggiedude Does it look like we could face the Eagles at home for the Divisional Round? Pretty much. I'm actually wondering if I want to see philly clinch their division.......since a #3 spot (assuming the win on wildcard weekend) would send them to New Orleans for Round 2. Whereas, if Philly stumbled against Atlanta...and Dallas got their division, then Dallas is #3. I can't really bring myself to pull for Atlanta though......under no circumstances do I want to see them in the playoffs, as slim a chance as it may be for them. We'll see how it works out.
TheGambler 500th Post Join Date: Jul 2005 Posts: 610

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12-29-2006, 08:26 AM	#6
SaintFanInATLHELL The Professor Join Date: Oct 2003 Location: Lithonia, GA Posts: 2,773	Re: RE: Best of the Mediocre (NFC Playoff Scenarios) Originally Posted by SaintFanInATLHELL The Green Bay scenario isn't exactly correct. Green Bay is currently behind the Giants. This is based on the common opponents tiebreaker. However if Green Bay beats Chicago on Sunday evening, then the common opponents records of both the Giants and the Packers would be 1-5 moving both teams down the tiebreaker list to strength of victory. A win over Chicago (currently a 13-2 team) would move the Packers ahead of the Giants in the SoV category. So if the Packers win, they are in no matter what the Giants do. Only that scenario with the Rams can keep them out. SFIAH I think this is first time I've actually quoted myself. I have new information. The win over Chicago isn't sufficient to get the Packers over the hump in the SoV category. Actually the Giants are way ahead of the Pack in SoV. I found a Giants press release here: http://www.giants.com/news/press_rel...story_id=24211 That outlines everything that needs to happen for the Packers to win in SoV: **Packers clinch strength of victory tiebreaker over NY Giants if all of the following occur: ARI win, DET win, MIA win, MIN win, SF win, CAR loss, HOU loss, TB loss. So the simplest way to state it is that the Giants are almost virtually in if they win Saturday. They'll have a long long day of scoreboard watching. But if any of the above games go the other way, then the Pack is out. Notwithstanding the fact that the Pack would still need to win in Chicago for them to even have a chance. SFIAH
	Super Bowl Championships: New Orleans Saints:1, Carolina:0, Atlanta Chokers: STILL ZERO Only Atlanta choked in an unchokable situation... Life is definitely good.