NO-ATL Spread

xan · 10-29-2009, 10:16 AM

Yes, I understand the theory behind setting the spreads, I'm wondering why the line keeps creeping up. What is it about the perception of those betting that makes people believe that the Saints are 10-12 points better than the Flakeons? They were the division favorites September 1, now, they're scrambling to be part of the wild card discussion. What do we know unconsciously that we should illuminate so that we can explain this?

WhoDat205 · 10-29-2009, 10:29 AM

Originally Posted by xan

Yes, I understand the theory behind setting the spreads, I'm wondering why the line keeps creeping up. What is it about the perception of those betting that makes people believe that the Saints are 10-12 points better than the Flakeons? They were the division favorites September 1, now, they're scrambling to be part of the wild card discussion. What do we know unconsciously that we should illuminate so that we can explain this?

We are 6-0 against the number this season. Our closest game this season was a 12 point win. We average 40 ppg.

If I was an unbiased bettor I would be loading the wagons on the Saints until the streak stops.

If this was the opening game of the season, you'd probably see something close to a pick'em or even the Falcs slightly favored.

10-29-2009, 10:16 AM	#1
xan Professor Crab and Site Donor 2014 Join Date: Oct 2004 Location: Princeton Posts: 3,373 Blog Entries: 34	Re: NO-ATL Spread Yes, I understand the theory behind setting the spreads, I'm wondering why the line keeps creeping up. What is it about the perception of those betting that makes people believe that the Saints are 10-12 points better than the Flakeons? They were the division favorites September 1, now, they're scrambling to be part of the wild card discussion. What do we know unconsciously that we should illuminate so that we can explain this?

10-29-2009, 10:29 AM	#2
WhoDat205 Prediction Pain Join Date: Feb 2007 Location: Birmingham, AL Posts: 1,082 Blog Entries: 2	Re: NO-ATL Spread Originally Posted by xan Yes, I understand the theory behind setting the spreads, I'm wondering why the line keeps creeping up. What is it about the perception of those betting that makes people believe that the Saints are 10-12 points better than the Flakeons? They were the division favorites September 1, now, they're scrambling to be part of the wild card discussion. What do we know unconsciously that we should illuminate so that we can explain this? We are 6-0 against the number this season. Our closest game this season was a 12 point win. We average 40 ppg. If I was an unbiased bettor I would be loading the wagons on the Saints until the streak stops. If this was the opening game of the season, you'd probably see something close to a pick'em or even the Falcs slightly favored.