NO-ATL Spread

xan · 10-29-2009, 07:49 AM

According to the current line, the Saints are a 10 point favorite against the Falcons. Some lines have the Saints as much as a 12.5 point favorite. Is this bandwagon jumping or have the dirty birds regressed? Is the Pokes bye week trampling of the tired Falcons more indicative of their season or did ATL simply have a bad game?

Sure, the game is at home, and the favored team that has won has covered the spread for the last 5 times. It is worrying that any line in the NFL gets into double digits and more troubling when that particular game is with an arch-enemy.

What is the take on the Falcons this year? Who has seen them and what makes the oddsmakers believe that the Saints win nearly 80% of simulations?

10-29-2009, 07:49 AM	#1
xan Professor Crab and Site Donor 2014 Join Date: Oct 2004 Location: Princeton Posts: 3,355 Blog Entries: 34	NO-ATL Spread According to the current line, the Saints are a 10 point favorite against the Falcons. Some lines have the Saints as much as a 12.5 point favorite. Is this bandwagon jumping or have the dirty birds regressed? Is the Pokes bye week trampling of the tired Falcons more indicative of their season or did ATL simply have a bad game? Sure, the game is at home, and the favored team that has won has covered the spread for the last 5 times. It is worrying that any line in the NFL gets into double digits and more troubling when that particular game is with an arch-enemy. What is the take on the Falcons this year? Who has seen them and what makes the oddsmakers believe that the Saints win nearly 80% of simulations?
	Calvin: "I wish I was a Tiger." Hobbes: "Common lament."