Football Freakonomics: Saints 2011 Passer Rating Differential

WHO_DAT_CAT · 01-05-2012, 03:13 AM

Tonight NFL Total Access had a segment on peaking at the right time. It was titled the Art & Science of Peaking. Stephen Dubner, co-author of Freakonomics, was featured in the segment.

You can view the video here:

NFL Videos: Football Freakonomics: Peaking

They made the point that 60% of all NFL Champions since 1940 have been #1 or #2 in passer rating differential (PRD).

The equation for PRD is simple: PRD = Team Passer Rating - Opponent Team's Passer Rating

They mention the 2010 Packers and how dominant they were last year in the PRD statistic. They also mention Mike Ayers, GB Director of Research and Development, who apparently reminded the team about physical AND emotional recovery.

This is a work in progress, but....

For the 2011 regular season comparing NO to DET

NO PRD = 24.1
DET PRD = 15.1

ScottF · 01-05-2012, 10:58 AM

Dubner is a genius

Tobias-Reiper · 01-05-2012, 11:38 AM

I wouldn't call him a genius. He's basically saying, a little more than half the time, the team with a good QB and a good defense wins the championship. Well, duh!

Boutte · 01-05-2012, 11:42 AM

Nobody had to tell Payton this. Pedal to the metal baby!

ScottF · 01-05-2012, 12:53 PM

Originally Posted by Tobias-Reiper

I wouldn't call him a genius. He's basically saying, a little more than half the time, the team with a good QB and a good defense wins the championship. Well, duh!

You gotta read the book (books, actually). He and Levitt draw some unbelievable conclusions.

I do agree that a great QB and good D are pretty important components of a SB team, though. Who would have thought?

Rugby Saint II · 01-05-2012, 03:02 PM

Originally Posted by ScottF

You gotta read the book (books, actually). He and Levitt draw some unbelievable conclusions.

I do agree that a great QB and good D are pretty important components of a SB team, though. Who would have thought?

Wow.....really? News to me.

Euphoria · 01-05-2012, 04:05 PM

I was watching the documentary last night actually and it had me interested.

They made the connection that 50 percent of the reason that crime dropped from the 80's to the 90's when it was expected to go up was because of the Roe vs Wade. MAKES PERFECT SENSE... Abort the criminals before they are born, LMAO.

PRD makes more sense to me than a gay Power Poll ranking BS.

FireVenturi · 01-05-2012, 04:07 PM

They kept track of passer ratings in 1940? Wow.

Lol

Euphoria · 01-05-2012, 04:16 PM

Originally Posted by FireVenturi

They kept track of passer ratings in 1940? Wow.

Lol

No but it isn't hard to figure out they add up the stats and do some funny math and you can get it...

homerj07 · 01-05-2012, 09:39 PM

You can 50% of all stats say 90% of anything you want!!

Remember no team has ever been to the Super Bowl that had an alien as a mascot!!

01-05-2012, 12:53 PM	#5
ScottF 5000 POSTS! + Join Date: Feb 2007 Location: Atlanta Posts: 6,324	Originally Posted by Tobias-Reiper I wouldn't call him a genius. He's basically saying, a little more than half the time, the team with a good QB and a good defense wins the championship. Well, duh! You gotta read the book (books, actually). He and Levitt draw some unbelievable conclusions. I do agree that a great QB and good D are pretty important components of a SB team, though. Who would have thought?

01-05-2012, 03:02 PM	#6
Rugby Saint II Bounty Money $$$ Join Date: Oct 2008 Location: 5800 Airline Dr. Metairie, LA. Posts: 24,052	Originally Posted by ScottF You gotta read the book (books, actually). He and Levitt draw some unbelievable conclusions. I do agree that a great QB and good D are pretty important components of a SB team, though. Who would have thought? Wow.....really? News to me.

01-05-2012, 04:16 PM	#9
Euphoria 5000 POSTS! + Join Date: Mar 2004 Location: Hollywood, CA Posts: 7,601 Blog Entries: 5	Originally Posted by FireVenturi They kept track of passer ratings in 1940? Wow. Lol No but it isn't hard to figure out they add up the stats and do some funny math and you can get it...

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01-05-2012, 10:58 AM	#2
ScottF 5000 POSTS! + Join Date: Feb 2007 Location: Atlanta Posts: 6,324	Dubner is a genius

01-05-2012, 11:38 AM	#3
Tobias-Reiper Merces Letifer Join Date: Dec 2004 Posts: 4,161	I wouldn't call him a genius. He's basically saying, a little more than half the time, the team with a good QB and a good defense wins the championship. Well, duh!

01-05-2012, 11:42 AM	#4
Boutte Site Donor Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: Belle Chasse Posts: 1,701	Nobody had to tell Payton this. Pedal to the metal baby!

01-05-2012, 04:05 PM	#7
Euphoria 5000 POSTS! + Join Date: Mar 2004 Location: Hollywood, CA Posts: 7,601 Blog Entries: 5	I was watching the documentary last night actually and it had me interested. They made the connection that 50 percent of the reason that crime dropped from the 80's to the 90's when it was expected to go up was because of the Roe vs Wade. MAKES PERFECT SENSE... Abort the criminals before they are born, LMAO. PRD makes more sense to me than a gay Power Poll ranking BS.

01-05-2012, 04:07 PM	#8
FireVenturi Cold as Ice! Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: Da Big Easy Posts: 2,978	They kept track of passer ratings in 1940? Wow. Lol

01-05-2012, 09:39 PM	#10
homerj07 In Doh We Trust Join Date: Sep 2009 Location: Central Florida Posts: 7,027 Blog Entries: 16	You can 50% of all stats say 90% of anything you want!! Remember no team has ever been to the Super Bowl that had an alien as a mascot!!