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Another look at some numbers

this is a discussion within the Saints Community Forum; To quote Vini Barbarino “I’m so confused”. I don’t see how in the hell SF ended the season at 13-3. It just doesn’t make sense. They have the lowest rated QB that played 16 games. Hell Rex Grossman threw for ...

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Old 01-10-2012, 11:05 AM   #1
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Join Date: Jan 2012
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Another look at some numbers

To quote Vini Barbarino “I’m so confused”. I don’t see how in the hell SF ended the season at 13-3. It just doesn’t make sense. They have the lowest rated QB that played 16 games. Hell Rex Grossman threw for more yards and one less TD in 13 games. Rex Grossman!!!! The 49ers say he isn’t making mistakes, only threw 5 picks. I agree, that looks pretty good, unless you really look at the numbers. Yes, Smith isn’t putting the ball up when pressured, but he is taking a beating. Smith has been sacked 44 times and coughed the ball up 7 times as a result. Not sure this makes him a smart QB. At least not for long. By comparison Brees has 14 picks, 1 fumble (on a bad snap by DLP) and 24 sacks but put the ball up 657 times compared to Smith’s 445. So, Smith’s numbers translate to one pick or fumble per 37 passing attempts compared to Brees’ 1 in 44.

So, the Saint’s strategy is going to be stuff the run and make Smith put the ball up. If the Saint’s go up by two TDs and the 49ers have to play catch up it is going to be a really long day for Mr. Smith. Second thought, looking back to preseason and GW’s exotic blitz package, it may be a very short day.

So, it looks more and more like SF’s 13-3 has to be chalked up to being lucky. Lucky that they play in the NFC West, the weakest division in the NFL. Lucky that their non-division games were mostly against weaker teams. Unfortunately, it looks like their luck is going to run out on Saturday.
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