New Defenses: Odds of Success

Beastmode · 07-05-2013, 02:57 PM

I took all current DC and broke down their ability to make the playoffs with a new team. I didn't dig in the weeds on experience, schemes, or team dynamics. This is straight up a DC on a new team and making the playoffs. Here are the results:

Occurrences: 69
No playoffs: 44
Playoffs: 25

Odds of making playoffs: 36%

I suspected the results to be right around there. Not very encouraging but Greg Williams did it in 2009 and the Saints are known for tearing apart statistical molds like losing the last 3 games and winning the SB . FYI Wade Phillips is a beast, he did it 6 times.
Don Capers did it 5 times.

I'm going to look at the data again and check the odds of winning the SB...need a break.

07-05-2013, 02:57 PM	#1
Beastmode 5000 POSTS! + Join Date: Jul 2010 Posts: 9,126	New Defenses: Odds of Success I took all current DC and broke down their ability to make the playoffs with a new team. I didn't dig in the weeds on experience, schemes, or team dynamics. This is straight up a DC on a new team and making the playoffs. Here are the results: Occurrences: 69 No playoffs: 44 Playoffs: 25 Odds of making playoffs: 36% I suspected the results to be right around there. Not very encouraging but Greg Williams did it in 2009 and the Saints are known for tearing apart statistical molds like losing the last 3 games and winning the SB . FYI Wade Phillips is a beast, he did it 6 times. Don Capers did it 5 times. I'm going to look at the data again and check the odds of winning the SB...need a break.
Beastmode 5000 POSTS! + Join Date: Jul 2010 Posts: 9,126

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