Draft and Needs Perspective

Danno · 02-04-2014, 08:26 AM

So it appears that on average every other 1st rounder should yield a starter.

We've had
Vaccaro - Yes
Jordan - Yes
Ingram - Yes
Robinson - Iffy (and he was the last 1st round pick)
Jenkins - Yes
Ellis - Yes, and then no.
Meachem - Yes but barely
Bush - Yes

It kinda looks like we've had a lot more success than most teams.

TheOak · 02-04-2014, 08:42 AM

Originally Posted by Danno

So it appears that on average every other 1st rounder should yield a starter.

We've had
Vaccaro - Yes
Jordan - Yes
Ingram - Yes
Robinson - Iffy (and he was the last 1st round pick)
Jenkins - Yes
Ellis - Yes, and then no.
Meachem - Yes but barely
Bush - Yes

It kinda looks like we've had a lot more success than most teams.

I do believe that how you draft your first rounder weighs heavily on that success percentage. E.g. Drafting best player available vs need. There are quite a few clubs that reach into the first round for need for players that should have gone in the second round.

I think QBs skew that percentage also, although more QBs have been drafted to start in recent years than i remember in the past.

In some instances the stars align and the BPA is also your PoN.

Ellis is a perfect example of the decreasing percentage from 3-10 year.

02-04-2014, 08:26 AM	#1
Danno Truth Addict Join Date: Dec 2003 Location: Spanish Fort, AL (via NO and B/R) Posts: 24,758	Re: Draft and Needs Perspective So it appears that on average every other 1st rounder should yield a starter. We've had Vaccaro - Yes Jordan - Yes Ingram - Yes Robinson - Iffy (and he was the last 1st round pick) Jenkins - Yes Ellis - Yes, and then no. Meachem - Yes but barely Bush - Yes It kinda looks like we've had a lot more success than most teams. saintsfan1976 likes this.

02-04-2014, 08:42 AM	#2
TheOak 10000 POST CLUB Join Date: Dec 2009 Location: Cypress Tx. Posts: 19,051	Re: Draft and Needs Perspective Originally Posted by Danno So it appears that on average every other 1st rounder should yield a starter. We've had Vaccaro - Yes Jordan - Yes Ingram - Yes Robinson - Iffy (and he was the last 1st round pick) Jenkins - Yes Ellis - Yes, and then no. Meachem - Yes but barely Bush - Yes It kinda looks like we've had a lot more success than most teams. I do believe that how you draft your first rounder weighs heavily on that success percentage. E.g. Drafting best player available vs need. There are quite a few clubs that reach into the first round for need for players that should have gone in the second round. I think QBs skew that percentage also, although more QBs have been drafted to start in recent years than i remember in the past. In some instances the stars align and the BPA is also your PoN. Ellis is a perfect example of the decreasing percentage from 3-10 year.

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