Cortana Picks Saints to Beat Panzies

Attached Thumbnails · 10-30-2014, 12:07 AM

It's now 79-42 (65%) on the year.

That leaves it one game behind the Vegas favorites (80-41), which also went 10-5 in Week 8, and six games behind Nate Silver's ELO model (85-36), which went 11-4. All picks are straight up, not against the point spread.

Cortana is a Windows phone virtual assistant that's using an algorithm from Bing Predicts to pick every NFL game this season. The algorithm uses all sorts of statistical variables, in addition to a public perception component that uses Facebook data.

Bing Predicts' World Cup model correctly picked 15 of 16 World Cup knockout stage games. We've yet to see that sort of freakish accuracy when it comes to NFL picks.

Cortana and Vegas agreed on every favorite last week.

Here are Cortana's picks for Week 9 as of Tuesday evening. We'll update them throughout the week if they change (Vegas favorites in parentheses):

New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers — Saints win, 53.3% chance (Saints -2.5)

Read more: Microsoft Cortana NFL Picks, Week 9 - Business Insider

Jack Vegas · 10-30-2014, 01:22 AM

Cortana must not be all that great, I'm just some dumb hick from south La. and I'm 77-43 in my predicitions this year (not counting the tie, don't know how they factored that one in).

joker-saint · 10-30-2014, 09:02 AM

Originally Posted by SmashMouth

It's now 79-42 (65%) on the year.

That leaves it one game behind the Vegas favorites (80-41), which also went 10-5 in Week 8, and six games behind Nate Silver's ELO model (85-36), which went 11-4. All picks are straight up, not against the point spread.

Cortana is a Windows phone virtual assistant that's using an algorithm from Bing Predicts to pick every NFL game this season. The algorithm uses all sorts of statistical variables, in addition to a public perception component that uses Facebook data.

Bing Predicts' World Cup model correctly picked 15 of 16 World Cup knockout stage games. We've yet to see that sort of freakish accuracy when it comes to NFL picks.

Cortana and Vegas agreed on every favorite last week.

Here are Cortana's picks for Week 9 as of Tuesday evening. We'll update them throughout the week if they change (Vegas favorites in parentheses):

New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers — Saints win, 53.3% chance (Saints -2.5)

Read more: Microsoft Cortana NFL Picks, Week 9 - Business Insider

So what this is really saying is that there is a 53/47 chance the Saints win. This is the case in all NFL games. There is just a 3% chance it will swing the Saints way. They better find a way to slow the Panthers run down and keep Newton in check. I didn't think they would beat the Packers either, but look what happened there. I still feel like it was the Rogers injury that allowed the Saints to win that game. Rodgers was doing all shotgun plays which allowed the Saints defense to pass protect more while rushing because there were next to no run attempts. That won't be the case tonight. We as saints fans know what Deangelo Williams is capable of. Thank god they don't have Steve Smith anymore. I can't wait to see this one!!!! Geaux Saints!!!

spkb25 · 10-30-2014, 09:09 AM

No turnovers, limit penalties. Do that and we win. Nothing astonishing, I know...

saintsfan1976 · 10-30-2014, 09:48 AM

Preparation meets desperation.

|Mitch| · 10-30-2014, 11:09 AM

Originally Posted by joker-saint

They better find a way to slow the Panthers run down and keep Newton in check.

You do realize they have two undrafted rookies starting on the O-Line because of injuries? LT, LG, and the starting center is down as well I believe...

Carolina Panthers Injury Report for Wednesday:

Did Not Practice:
T Byron Bell (Knee) - OUT
CB Bene Benwikere (Ankle) - OUT
WR Philly Brown (Concussion) - OUT
G Amini Silatolu (Calf) - OUT
G Trai Tuner (Knee) - OUT
RB Fozzy Whittaker (Thigh) - OUT

Limited

S Thomas DeCoud (Hamstring) - Questionable
DT Kawann Short (Ankle) - Questionable

Full

T Nate Chandler (Thigh) - Probable
RB DeAngelo Williams (Ankle) - Probable
LB Jason Williams (Hip) - Probable

I was wrong; a tackle and two guards are out

ScottF · 10-30-2014, 12:42 PM

Originally Posted by SmashMouth

It's now 79-42 (65%) on the year.

That leaves it one game behind the Vegas favorites (80-41), which also went 10-5 in Week 8, and six games behind Nate Silver's ELO model (85-36), which went 11-4. All picks are straight up, not against the point spread.

Cortana is a Windows phone virtual assistant that's using an algorithm from Bing Predicts to pick every NFL game this season.

Cortana and Vegas agreed on every favorite last week.

Here are Cortana's picks for Week 9 as of Tuesday evening. We'll update them throughout the week if they change (Vegas favorites in parentheses):

New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers — Saints win, 53.3% chance (Saints -2.5)

Read more: Microsoft Cortana NFL Picks, Week 9 - Business Insider

basically it is a program that picks the favorite every time

SloMotion · 10-31-2014, 07:08 AM

Smash: Is this 'Cortana' what you were using for your weekly Black&Gold Pick'em selections?

. Just curious, you can PM me if you don't want to give away any secrets,

.

SmashMouth · 10-31-2014, 06:22 PM

Originally Posted by SloMotion

Smash: Is this 'Cortana' what you were using for your weekly Black&Gold Pick'em selections? . Just curious, you can PM me if you don't want to give away any secrets, .

Not even doing Pick'ems this year. Just thought that it was curious that a search engine could actually be just as successful as we football junkies.

We'll see what she has in store for us next week.

10-30-2014, 12:07 AM	#1
Threaded by SmashMouth I donated, did you? Join Date: Sep 2007 Location: Mandeville, LA Posts: 38,125 Blog Entries: 29 Rating: (0 votes - average) It's now 79-42 (65%) on the year. That leaves it one game behind the Vegas favorites (80-41), which also went 10-5 in Week 8, and six games behind Nate Silver's ELO model (85-36), which went 11-4. All picks are straight up, not against the point spread. Cortana is a Windows phone virtual assistant that's using an algorithm from Bing Predicts to pick every NFL game this season. The algorithm uses all sorts of statistical variables, in addition to a public perception component that uses Facebook data. Bing Predicts' World Cup model correctly picked 15 of 16 World Cup knockout stage games. We've yet to see that sort of freakish accuracy when it comes to NFL picks. Cortana and Vegas agreed on every favorite last week. Here are Cortana's picks for Week 9 as of Tuesday evening. We'll update them throughout the week if they change (Vegas favorites in parentheses): New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers — Saints win, 53.3% chance (Saints -2.5) Read more: Microsoft Cortana NFL Picks, Week 9 - Business Insider Attached Thumbnails
Views: 3072

10-30-2014, 01:22 AM	#2
Jack Vegas 1000 Posts + Join Date: Jul 2011 Posts: 2,254	Re: Cortana Picks Saints to Beat Panzies Cortana must not be all that great, I'm just some dumb hick from south La. and I'm 77-43 in my predicitions this year (not counting the tie, don't know how they factored that one in).
Jack Vegas 1000 Posts + Join Date: Jul 2011 Posts: 2,254

10-30-2014, 09:02 AM	#3
joker-saint 100th Post Join Date: Jan 2004 Posts: 382 Blog Entries: 12	Re: Cortana Picks Saints to Beat Panzies Originally Posted by SmashMouth It's now 79-42 (65%) on the year. That leaves it one game behind the Vegas favorites (80-41), which also went 10-5 in Week 8, and six games behind Nate Silver's ELO model (85-36), which went 11-4. All picks are straight up, not against the point spread. Cortana is a Windows phone virtual assistant that's using an algorithm from Bing Predicts to pick every NFL game this season. The algorithm uses all sorts of statistical variables, in addition to a public perception component that uses Facebook data. Bing Predicts' World Cup model correctly picked 15 of 16 World Cup knockout stage games. We've yet to see that sort of freakish accuracy when it comes to NFL picks. Cortana and Vegas agreed on every favorite last week. Here are Cortana's picks for Week 9 as of Tuesday evening. We'll update them throughout the week if they change (Vegas favorites in parentheses): New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers — Saints win, 53.3% chance (Saints -2.5) Read more: Microsoft Cortana NFL Picks, Week 9 - Business Insider So what this is really saying is that there is a 53/47 chance the Saints win. This is the case in all NFL games. There is just a 3% chance it will swing the Saints way. They better find a way to slow the Panthers run down and keep Newton in check. I didn't think they would beat the Packers either, but look what happened there. I still feel like it was the Rogers injury that allowed the Saints to win that game. Rodgers was doing all shotgun plays which allowed the Saints defense to pass protect more while rushing because there were next to no run attempts. That won't be the case tonight. We as saints fans know what Deangelo Williams is capable of. Thank god they don't have Steve Smith anymore. I can't wait to see this one!!!! Geaux Saints!!! jeanpierre likes this.

10-30-2014, 09:09 AM	#4
spkb25 10000 POST CLUB Join Date: Aug 2004 Location: Baltimore, MD Posts: 13,097	Re: Cortana Picks Saints to Beat Panzies No turnovers, limit penalties. Do that and we win. Nothing astonishing, I know... jeanpierre likes this.

10-30-2014, 09:48 AM	#5
saintsfan1976 10000 POST CLUB Join Date: Apr 2007 Location: Atlanta Posts: 10,832 Blog Entries: 3	Re: Cortana Picks Saints to Beat Panzies Preparation meets desperation.

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10-30-2014, 11:09 AM	#6
\|Mitch\| 10000 POST CLUB Join Date: Oct 2009 Location: Alexandria, La Posts: 11,303	Re: Cortana Picks Saints to Beat Panzies Originally Posted by joker-saint They better find a way to slow the Panthers run down and keep Newton in check. You do realize they have two undrafted rookies starting on the O-Line because of injuries? LT, LG, and the starting center is down as well I believe... Carolina Panthers Injury Report for Wednesday: Did Not Practice: T Byron Bell (Knee) - OUT CB Bene Benwikere (Ankle) - OUT WR Philly Brown (Concussion) - OUT G Amini Silatolu (Calf) - OUT G Trai Tuner (Knee) - OUT RB Fozzy Whittaker (Thigh) - OUT Limited S Thomas DeCoud (Hamstring) - Questionable DT Kawann Short (Ankle) - Questionable Full T Nate Chandler (Thigh) - Probable RB DeAngelo Williams (Ankle) - Probable LB Jason Williams (Hip) - Probable I was wrong; a tackle and two guards are out
	Last edited by \|Mitch\|; 10-30-2014 at 11:12 AM..

10-30-2014, 12:42 PM	#7
ScottF 5000 POSTS! + Join Date: Feb 2007 Location: Atlanta Posts: 6,324	Re: Cortana Picks Saints to Beat Panzies Originally Posted by SmashMouth It's now 79-42 (65%) on the year. That leaves it one game behind the Vegas favorites (80-41), which also went 10-5 in Week 8, and six games behind Nate Silver's ELO model (85-36), which went 11-4. All picks are straight up, not against the point spread. Cortana is a Windows phone virtual assistant that's using an algorithm from Bing Predicts to pick every NFL game this season. Cortana and Vegas agreed on every favorite last week. Here are Cortana's picks for Week 9 as of Tuesday evening. We'll update them throughout the week if they change (Vegas favorites in parentheses): New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers — Saints win, 53.3% chance (Saints -2.5) Read more: Microsoft Cortana NFL Picks, Week 9 - Business Insider basically it is a program that picks the favorite every time

10-31-2014, 07:08 AM	#8
SloMotion 5000 POSTS! + Join Date: Jan 2012 Posts: 6,776 Blog Entries: 15	Re: Cortana Picks Saints to Beat Panzies Smash: Is this 'Cortana' what you were using for your weekly Black&Gold Pick'em selections? . Just curious, you can PM me if you don't want to give away any secrets, .

10-31-2014, 06:22 PM	#9
SmashMouth I donated, did you? Join Date: Sep 2007 Location: Mandeville, LA Posts: 38,125 Blog Entries: 29	Re: Cortana Picks Saints to Beat Panzies Originally Posted by SloMotion Smash: Is this 'Cortana' what you were using for your weekly Black&Gold Pick'em selections? . Just curious, you can PM me if you don't want to give away any secrets, . Not even doing Pick'ems this year. Just thought that it was curious that a search engine could actually be just as successful as we football junkies. We'll see what she has in store for us next week.

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