In the end, I predict we end up 1 win short

SaintFanInATLHELL · 11-28-2016, 04:42 PM

Originally Posted by Saintsfan4ever

The Saints actually have a better chance at winning the division than they do making a wildcard.

That is correct.

To win the division, we'd have to win out & hope Atl & Bucs lose 3 & 2

Not necessary. The Saints winning out puts 2 losses on the Bucs and 1 on Atlanta. Beating Atlanta would tie them head to head and in the division. So the other tiebreakers come into play. So if the Saints win out, then Atlanta needs at least 1 other loss.

respectfully. To win a Wildcard, we'd likely be competing with 7 or 8 teams with same or better records. You gotta figure the Giants have one Wildcard spot at 8-3, and the other wildcard will between teams with current 5-6 & better records.

Agreed. Not to mention ties...

But there is no high % or likely scenario that puts the Saints in the playoffs without running the table 6-0 down the stretch. If the Saints lose 1 game going forward the percentages of making the playoffs drop dramatically.

Correct. We lost any margin for error with 2 losses to Denver and Carolina.

SFIAH

RaginCajun83 · 11-28-2016, 06:07 PM

10-6, playoffs

K Major · 11-28-2016, 07:06 PM

One game at a time... Beat Detroit on Sunday.

QBREES9 · 11-29-2016, 01:14 AM

I just want to beat a good team to see how good we are.. WHO'S NEXT

spkb25 · 11-29-2016, 06:31 AM

Originally Posted by Saintsfan4ever

The Saints actually have a better chance at winning the division than they do making a wildcard.
To win the division, we'd have to win out & hope Atl & Bucs lose 3 & 2 respectfully. To win a Wildcard, we'd likely be competing with 7 or 8 teams with same or better records. You gotta figure the Giants have one Wildcard spot at 8-3, and the other wildcard will between teams with current 5-6 & better records.
But there is no high % or likely scenario that puts the Saints in the playoffs without running the table 6-0 down the stretch. If the Saints lose 1 game going forward the percentages of making the playoffs drop dramatically.

of equal probabilities in my estimation. -1.5 for WC and -2 for division

Cruize · 11-29-2016, 04:21 PM

Or two. The offense is clicking. The defense is vastly improved. But, the Saints need to run the table and their margin for error is still very small. The offense can't turn the ball over and the defense has to create turnovers. And the kicker can't hit one a little low.

foreverfan · 11-30-2016, 12:05 AM

Win them all... make the playoffs

QBREES9 · 11-30-2016, 12:06 AM

Lets get on a roll.

foreverfan · 11-30-2016, 12:16 AM

Originally Posted by QBREES9

Lets get on a roll.

The Dude · 11-30-2016, 03:13 PM

One of our problems is that we have a lot of young players, especially on defense that have been forced into a starting role. The good thing is that they have caught on quickly and look to have a high ceiling. I think playoffs are unlikely this year but I think we have the personnel to make a deep push next year.

11-28-2016, 04:42 PM	#11
SaintFanInATLHELL The Professor Join Date: Oct 2003 Location: Lithonia, GA Posts: 2,774	Re: In the end, I predict we end up 1 win short Originally Posted by Saintsfan4ever The Saints actually have a better chance at winning the division than they do making a wildcard. That is correct. To win the division, we'd have to win out & hope Atl & Bucs lose 3 & 2 Not necessary. The Saints winning out puts 2 losses on the Bucs and 1 on Atlanta. Beating Atlanta would tie them head to head and in the division. So the other tiebreakers come into play. So if the Saints win out, then Atlanta needs at least 1 other loss. respectfully. To win a Wildcard, we'd likely be competing with 7 or 8 teams with same or better records. You gotta figure the Giants have one Wildcard spot at 8-3, and the other wildcard will between teams with current 5-6 & better records. Agreed. Not to mention ties... But there is no high % or likely scenario that puts the Saints in the playoffs without running the table 6-0 down the stretch. If the Saints lose 1 game going forward the percentages of making the playoffs drop dramatically. Correct. We lost any margin for error with 2 losses to Denver and Carolina. SFIAH

11-28-2016, 06:07 PM	#12
RaginCajun83 Hou Saints Fan Join Date: Sep 2009 Location: Houston, Tx Posts: 5,050	Re: In the end, I predict we end up 1 win short 10-6, playoffs

11-28-2016, 07:06 PM	#13
K Major Site Donor 2019 Join Date: Jan 2013 Location: Bedford, TX Posts: 24,619 Blog Entries: 3	Re: In the end, I predict we end up 1 win short One game at a time... Beat Detroit on Sunday. SaintFanInATLHELL and Rugby Saint II like this.

11-29-2016, 01:14 AM	#14
QBREES9 Moderator Join Date: Sep 2007 Location: New Haven Ct Posts: 23,985	Re: In the end, I predict we end up 1 win short I just want to beat a good team to see how good we are.. WHO'S NEXT
	Last edited by QBREES9; 11-30-2016 at 12:05 AM..

11-29-2016, 06:31 AM	#15
spkb25 10000 POST CLUB Join Date: Aug 2004 Location: Baltimore, MD Posts: 13,097	Re: In the end, I predict we end up 1 win short Originally Posted by Saintsfan4ever The Saints actually have a better chance at winning the division than they do making a wildcard. To win the division, we'd have to win out & hope Atl & Bucs lose 3 & 2 respectfully. To win a Wildcard, we'd likely be competing with 7 or 8 teams with same or better records. You gotta figure the Giants have one Wildcard spot at 8-3, and the other wildcard will between teams with current 5-6 & better records. But there is no high % or likely scenario that puts the Saints in the playoffs without running the table 6-0 down the stretch. If the Saints lose 1 game going forward the percentages of making the playoffs drop dramatically. of equal probabilities in my estimation. -1.5 for WC and -2 for division

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11-29-2016, 04:21 PM	#16
Cruize 1000 Posts + Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 4,457	Re: In the end, I predict we end up 1 win short Or two. The offense is clicking. The defense is vastly improved. But, the Saints need to run the table and their margin for error is still very small. The offense can't turn the ball over and the defense has to create turnovers. And the kicker can't hit one a little low. SaintFanInATLHELL likes this.
Cruize 1000 Posts + Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 4,457

11-30-2016, 12:05 AM	#17
foreverfan 12,000 BS Posts Join Date: Mar 2006 Location: Metairie, LA Posts: 13,457 Blog Entries: 5	Re: In the end, I predict we end up 1 win short Win them all... make the playoffs QBREES9 likes this.

11-30-2016, 12:06 AM	#18
QBREES9 Moderator Join Date: Sep 2007 Location: New Haven Ct Posts: 23,985	Re: In the end, I predict we end up 1 win short Lets get on a roll.

11-30-2016, 12:16 AM	#19
foreverfan 12,000 BS Posts Join Date: Mar 2006 Location: Metairie, LA Posts: 13,457 Blog Entries: 5	Re: In the end, I predict we end up 1 win short Originally Posted by QBREES9 Lets get on a roll.

11-30-2016, 03:13 PM	#20
The Dude 5000 POSTS! + Join Date: Jul 2011 Posts: 9,048	Re: In the end, I predict we end up 1 win short One of our problems is that we have a lot of young players, especially on defense that have been forced into a starting role. The good thing is that they have caught on quickly and look to have a high ceiling. I think playoffs are unlikely this year but I think we have the personnel to make a deep push next year.
The Dude 5000 POSTS! + Join Date: Jul 2011 Posts: 9,048

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