In the end, I predict we end up 1 win short

Saintsfan4ever · 11-28-2016, 02:13 PM

The Saints actually have a better chance at winning the division than they do making a wildcard.
To win the division, we'd have to win out & hope Atl & Bucs lose 3 & 2 respectfully. To win a Wildcard, we'd likely be competing with 7 or 8 teams with same or better records. You gotta figure the Giants have one Wildcard spot at 8-3, and the other wildcard will between teams with current 5-6 & better records.
But there is no high % or likely scenario that puts the Saints in the playoffs without running the table 6-0 down the stretch. If the Saints lose 1 game going forward the percentages of making the playoffs drop dramatically.

Utah_Saint · 11-28-2016, 02:54 PM

Originally Posted by Saintsfan4ever

The Saints actually have a better chance at winning the division than they do making a wildcard.
To win the division, we'd have to win out & hope Atl & Bucs lose 3 & 2 respectfully. To win a Wildcard, we'd likely be competing with 7 or 8 teams with same or better records. You gotta figure the Giants have one Wildcard spot at 8-3, and the other wildcard will between teams with current 5-6 & better records.
But there is no high % or likely scenario that puts the Saints in the playoffs without running the table 6-0 down the stretch. If the Saints lose 1 game going forward the percentages of making the playoffs drop dramatically.

If the Saints win out, that's one loss for the Falcons and two for the Bucs.

Saintsfan4ever · 11-28-2016, 03:16 PM

Originally Posted by Utah_Saint

If the Saints win out, that's one loss for the Falcons and two for the Bucs.

Exactly.

The Dude · 11-30-2016, 02:13 PM

One of our problems is that we have a lot of young players, especially on defense that have been forced into a starting role. The good thing is that they have caught on quickly and look to have a high ceiling. I think playoffs are unlikely this year but I think we have the personnel to make a deep push next year.

SaintFanInATLHELL · 11-28-2016, 03:42 PM

Originally Posted by Saintsfan4ever

The Saints actually have a better chance at winning the division than they do making a wildcard.

That is correct.

To win the division, we'd have to win out & hope Atl & Bucs lose 3 & 2

Not necessary. The Saints winning out puts 2 losses on the Bucs and 1 on Atlanta. Beating Atlanta would tie them head to head and in the division. So the other tiebreakers come into play. So if the Saints win out, then Atlanta needs at least 1 other loss.

respectfully. To win a Wildcard, we'd likely be competing with 7 or 8 teams with same or better records. You gotta figure the Giants have one Wildcard spot at 8-3, and the other wildcard will between teams with current 5-6 & better records.

Agreed. Not to mention ties...

But there is no high % or likely scenario that puts the Saints in the playoffs without running the table 6-0 down the stretch. If the Saints lose 1 game going forward the percentages of making the playoffs drop dramatically.

Correct. We lost any margin for error with 2 losses to Denver and Carolina.

SFIAH

spkb25 · 11-29-2016, 05:31 AM

Originally Posted by Saintsfan4ever

The Saints actually have a better chance at winning the division than they do making a wildcard.
To win the division, we'd have to win out & hope Atl & Bucs lose 3 & 2 respectfully. To win a Wildcard, we'd likely be competing with 7 or 8 teams with same or better records. You gotta figure the Giants have one Wildcard spot at 8-3, and the other wildcard will between teams with current 5-6 & better records.
But there is no high % or likely scenario that puts the Saints in the playoffs without running the table 6-0 down the stretch. If the Saints lose 1 game going forward the percentages of making the playoffs drop dramatically.

of equal probabilities in my estimation. -1.5 for WC and -2 for division

11-28-2016, 02:13 PM	#1
Saintsfan4ever 500th Post Join Date: Aug 2003 Location: Moss Point, MS Posts: 612 Blog Entries: 1	Re: In the end, I predict we end up 1 win short The Saints actually have a better chance at winning the division than they do making a wildcard. To win the division, we'd have to win out & hope Atl & Bucs lose 3 & 2 respectfully. To win a Wildcard, we'd likely be competing with 7 or 8 teams with same or better records. You gotta figure the Giants have one Wildcard spot at 8-3, and the other wildcard will between teams with current 5-6 & better records. But there is no high % or likely scenario that puts the Saints in the playoffs without running the table 6-0 down the stretch. If the Saints lose 1 game going forward the percentages of making the playoffs drop dramatically. Halo and Mardigras9 like this.
	Saint4

11-28-2016, 02:54 PM	#2
Utah_Saint Site Donor 2019 Join Date: Jan 2012 Location: Salt Lake City, Utah Posts: 3,521	Re: In the end, I predict we end up 1 win short Originally Posted by Saintsfan4ever The Saints actually have a better chance at winning the division than they do making a wildcard. To win the division, we'd have to win out & hope Atl & Bucs lose 3 & 2 respectfully. To win a Wildcard, we'd likely be competing with 7 or 8 teams with same or better records. You gotta figure the Giants have one Wildcard spot at 8-3, and the other wildcard will between teams with current 5-6 & better records. But there is no high % or likely scenario that puts the Saints in the playoffs without running the table 6-0 down the stretch. If the Saints lose 1 game going forward the percentages of making the playoffs drop dramatically. If the Saints win out, that's one loss for the Falcons and two for the Bucs. Rell&Gold likes this.

11-28-2016, 03:16 PM	#3
Saintsfan4ever 500th Post Join Date: Aug 2003 Location: Moss Point, MS Posts: 612 Blog Entries: 1	Re: In the end, I predict we end up 1 win short Originally Posted by Utah_Saint If the Saints win out, that's one loss for the Falcons and two for the Bucs. Exactly.

11-30-2016, 02:13 PM	#4
The Dude 5000 POSTS! + Join Date: Jul 2011 Posts: 9,060	Re: In the end, I predict we end up 1 win short One of our problems is that we have a lot of young players, especially on defense that have been forced into a starting role. The good thing is that they have caught on quickly and look to have a high ceiling. I think playoffs are unlikely this year but I think we have the personnel to make a deep push next year.
The Dude 5000 POSTS! + Join Date: Jul 2011 Posts: 9,060

11-28-2016, 03:42 PM	#5
SaintFanInATLHELL The Professor Join Date: Oct 2003 Location: Lithonia, GA Posts: 2,783	Re: In the end, I predict we end up 1 win short Originally Posted by Saintsfan4ever The Saints actually have a better chance at winning the division than they do making a wildcard. That is correct. To win the division, we'd have to win out & hope Atl & Bucs lose 3 & 2 Not necessary. The Saints winning out puts 2 losses on the Bucs and 1 on Atlanta. Beating Atlanta would tie them head to head and in the division. So the other tiebreakers come into play. So if the Saints win out, then Atlanta needs at least 1 other loss. respectfully. To win a Wildcard, we'd likely be competing with 7 or 8 teams with same or better records. You gotta figure the Giants have one Wildcard spot at 8-3, and the other wildcard will between teams with current 5-6 & better records. Agreed. Not to mention ties... But there is no high % or likely scenario that puts the Saints in the playoffs without running the table 6-0 down the stretch. If the Saints lose 1 game going forward the percentages of making the playoffs drop dramatically. Correct. We lost any margin for error with 2 losses to Denver and Carolina. SFIAH

11-29-2016, 05:31 AM	#6
spkb25 10000 POST CLUB Join Date: Aug 2004 Location: Baltimore, MD Posts: 13,144	Re: In the end, I predict we end up 1 win short Originally Posted by Saintsfan4ever The Saints actually have a better chance at winning the division than they do making a wildcard. To win the division, we'd have to win out & hope Atl & Bucs lose 3 & 2 respectfully. To win a Wildcard, we'd likely be competing with 7 or 8 teams with same or better records. You gotta figure the Giants have one Wildcard spot at 8-3, and the other wildcard will between teams with current 5-6 & better records. But there is no high % or likely scenario that puts the Saints in the playoffs without running the table 6-0 down the stretch. If the Saints lose 1 game going forward the percentages of making the playoffs drop dramatically. of equal probabilities in my estimation. -1.5 for WC and -2 for division

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