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Vegas betting Saints have a disappointing season

this is a discussion within the Saints Community Forum; Why would it be higher than 8.5? We lost a top 10 receiver and in the draft we added 2 offensive positions we really didn't need. Each NFC south team added a true difference maker, and although we might have ...

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Old 05-02-2017, 07:08 AM   #1
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Re: Vegas betting Saints have a disappointing season

Why would it be higher than 8.5? We lost a top 10 receiver and in the draft we added 2 offensive positions we really didn't need.
Each NFC south team added a true difference maker, and although we might have one in Lattimore, we probably won't see that this year.
We will be underdogs in our first three games, got an an early bye, and are in a very competitive division. 8.5 seems high to me.
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Old 05-02-2017, 07:54 AM   #2
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Re: Vegas betting Saints have a disappointing season

Originally Posted by ScottF View Post
Why would it be higher than 8.5? We lost a top 10 receiver and in the draft we added 2 offensive positions we really didn't need.
Each NFC south team added a true difference maker, and although we might have one in Lattimore, we probably won't see that this year.
We will be underdogs in our first three games, got an an early bye, and are in a very competitive division. 8.5 seems high to me.
We got rid of a receiver whose value to the Saints offense was diminished by the emergence of a BETTER receiver in Michael Thomas. There are only so many balls to go around. What we received for that player was a pick that could very well turn into a starting RT. With the addition of Larry Warford at RG and Peat entering his second full season at LG our offensive line should be improved over last season and arguably one of the very best in the NFL.

We also added arguably the best free agent RB (Adrian Peterson) and an explosive component in Alvin Kamara that should take the offense to even higher levels. Do not underestimate the importance of an offensive tool like Kamara in Payton's offense. You called it a player that wasn't needed. I beg to differ. It may have been the MOST important addition to be able to bring the offense back to the days of Reggie and Sproles.

As for Lattimore and the defense, it cannot help be VASTLY improved over last year with the return of Breaux, P.J. Williams, Sheldon Rankins, Kikaha and Vacarro who all missed significant portions, or all of last season. Add in veteran defensive players like A.J. Klein, Manti Te'o, Raphael Bush, and Alex Okafor; and highly regarded rookies like Alex Anzalone, Trey Hendrickson and Marcus Williams, not to mention the aforementioned Marshon Lattimore ...

And don't forget the new and improved coaching staff for the LB's, DL and special teams. Those additions can very well be bigger difference makers than any player added to our division rival's rosters.

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“The pessimist sees difficulty in every opportunity. The optimist sees the opportunity in every difficulty.” — Winston Churchill
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Old 05-02-2017, 08:22 AM   #3
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Re: Vegas betting Saints have a disappointing season

Originally Posted by AsylumGuido View Post
We got rid of a receiver whose value to the Saints offense was diminished by the emergence of a BETTER receiver in Michael Thomas. There are only so many balls to go around. What we received for that player was a pick that could very well turn into a starting RT. With the addition of Larry Warford at RG and Peat entering his second full season at LG our offensive line should be improved over last season and arguably one of the very best in the NFL.

We also added arguably the best free agent RB (Adrian Peterson) and an explosive component in Alvin Kamara that should take the offense to even higher levels. Do not underestimate the importance of an offensive tool like Kamara in Payton's offense. You called it a player that wasn't needed. I beg to differ. It may have been the MOST important addition to be able to bring the offense back to the days of Reggie and Sproles.

As for Lattimore and the defense, it cannot help be VASTLY improved over last year with the return of Breaux, P.J. Williams, Sheldon Rankins, Kikaha and Vacarro who all missed significant portions, or all of last season. Add in veteran defensive players like A.J. Klein, Manti Te'o, Raphael Bush, and Alex Okafor; and highly regarded rookies like Alex Anzalone, Trey Hendrickson and Marcus Williams, not to mention the aforementioned Marshon Lattimore ...

And don't forget the new and improved coaching staff for the LB's, DL and special teams. Those additions can very well be bigger difference makers than any player added to our division rival's rosters.

You cannot discount the fact that Cooks had top 10 numbers last year that we have not replaced. Thomas is an absolute star, but will he get as many open looks with Snead on the other side instead of Cooks? Of course not.

As for the RB's, in your own words there are only so many balls to go around. I can see making one of those moves, but why both when we had and still have defensive needs?

Ramczyk might be a probowler this year, but if so that means we have a very good tackle (Strief) making $5,100,000 on the bench. I'd rather have that money on the field, specifically the defensive side.

We have great potential for improvement defensively, but most of our upgrades other than Lattimore fall under the IF category: If our DB's stay healthy, If the two backups we signed to start pan out, If the new coaches get max results from the younger players.
I would just feel a hell of a lot more optimistic if we had drafted someone to start opposite Jordan and not an OT, safety, or RB
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Old 05-02-2017, 09:29 AM   #4
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Re: Vegas betting Saints have a disappointing season

Originally Posted by ScottF View Post
You cannot discount the fact that Cooks had top 10 numbers last year that we have not replaced. Thomas is an absolute star, but will he get as many open looks with Snead on the other side instead of Cooks? Of course not.

As for the RB's, in your own words there are only so many balls to go around. I can see making one of those moves, but why both when we had and still have defensive needs?

Ramczyk might be a probowler this year, but if so that means we have a very good tackle (Strief) making $5,100,000 on the bench. I'd rather have that money on the field, specifically the defensive side.

We have great potential for improvement defensively, but most of our upgrades other than Lattimore fall under the IF category: If our DB's stay healthy, If the two backups we signed to start pan out, If the new coaches get max results from the younger players.
I would just feel a hell of a lot more optimistic if we had drafted someone to start opposite Jordan and not an OT, safety, or RB
Just because we didn't draft one player you wanted doesn't mean that all of the other notable improvements are nullified. I am VERY optimistic. Do you realize that the Saints had the 4th highest number of QB hits in the NFL last season? They are not as far off from being very good as you think.

And, the Saints DID address the DE position. Just because they didn't do it when you wanted doesn't mean that it hasn't been addressed. Kikaha, Hendrickson, Okafor and Mohammad are all players that were not here last season vying for that job. And I contend that there could very well be a greater degree of improvement on our overall team strength with the addition of Ramczyk rather than any defensive end that was available at the same spot in the draft.

You are so blinded by your disappointment that a certain position wasn't addressed right when YOU wanted it addressed that you are missing the big picture.

As far as Cooks' "top 10 number" being replaced, Brees and the Payton designed offence will easily replace those numbers. Cooks leaving does not create any sort of vacuum. I doubt the offense will miss a beat moving into next season. In fact, I expect it to be improved. Cooks was a great player for us, but Brees makes top 10 players, not the other way around.

“The pessimist sees difficulty in every opportunity. The optimist sees the opportunity in every difficulty.” — Winston Churchill
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Old 05-02-2017, 09:47 AM   #5
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Re: Vegas betting Saints have a disappointing season

Originally Posted by AsylumGuido View Post
Just because we didn't draft one player you wanted doesn't mean that all of the other notable improvements are nullified. I am VERY optimistic. Do you realize that the Saints had the 4th highest number of QB hits in the NFL last season? They are not as far off from being very good as you think.

And, the Saints DID address the DE position. Just because they didn't do it when you wanted doesn't mean that it hasn't been addressed. Kikaha, Hendrickson, Okafor and Mohammad are all players that were not here last season vying for that job. And I contend that there could very well be a greater degree of improvement on our overall team strength with the addition of Ramczyk rather than any defensive end that was available at the same spot in the draft.

You are so blinded by your disappointment that a certain position wasn't addressed right when YOU wanted it addressed that you are missing the big picture.

As far as Cooks' "top 10 number" being replaced, Brees and the Payton designed offence will easily replace those numbers. Cooks leaving does not create any sort of vacuum. I doubt the offense will miss a beat moving into next season. In fact, I expect it to be improved. Cooks was a great player for us, but Brees makes top 10 players, not the other way around.
Just curious-
have you ever had a conversation, here or in real life in which you didn't attack the the other person for his/her opinions?
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Old 05-02-2017, 12:29 PM   #6
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Re: Vegas betting Saints have a disappointing season

Originally Posted by ScottF View Post
You cannot discount the fact that Cooks had top 10 numbers last year that we have not replaced. Thomas is an absolute star, but will he get as many open looks with Snead on the other side instead of Cooks? Of course not.

As for the RB's, in your own words there are only so many balls to go around. I can see making one of those moves, but why both when we had and still have defensive needs?

Ramczyk might be a probowler this year, but if so that means we have a very good tackle (Strief) making $5,100,000 on the bench. I'd rather have that money on the field, specifically the defensive side.

We have great potential for improvement defensively, but most of our upgrades other than Lattimore fall under the IF category: If our DB's stay healthy, If the two backups we signed to start pan out, If the new coaches get max results from the younger players.
I would just feel a hell of a lot more optimistic if we had drafted someone to start opposite Jordan and not an OT, safety, or RB
1.I have made that exact same point about Thomas and nobody wanted to listen. I think the FO drank the Ginn kool-aid thinking his breakout year was because of his potential when he was drafted and being "utilized" finally when I don't think that's the case at all. Some receivers will not play well regardless of QB. Hopkins is doing fine with the crappy QBs throwing to him so it's not always the QB. A qb can make receivers look good but if they demand volume it will be very hard.

2.We did need a satellite back. Ingram has been the weak link in our running game because of his lack of consistency. When we drafted him in 2011, he cost us a chance at OT against the packers, we were using him too often and squeezing out ugly wins and losing two games, one of which was his fault(bucs). In any game Brees struggles in, Ingram has not proven to carry the team on his back. The concern I have is thinking AP is going to churn 40 yard runs out of 10 carries a game. Good luck with that. It's not always about just talent.

3.Streiff is not going to the bench. I don't see it. he always plays better in preseason anyway. But Ram will be taking someone's place at some point in the season. Hopefully, Peat does not get hurt and Ram ends up being a poor fit there.

4. It's been pointed out we were top five in QB hits. The corners have to be able to get physical with these receivers, to give receivers less time to be open. But the defense needs rest and not have to be thrown back on the field while the offense puts up two field goals before the last quarter.
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Old 05-02-2017, 07:16 AM   #7
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Re: Vegas betting Saints have a disappointing season

They just mad they don't have their football team yet LOL
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Old 05-02-2017, 07:37 AM   #8
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Re: Vegas betting Saints have a disappointing season

Over 8

There have been a lot of changes this offseason and changes don't necessarily equate to wins.

I'm in the camp that believes last season's injuries impacted us more than anything so starting the year healthy with a tough schedule is critical.
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Old 05-02-2017, 08:02 AM   #9
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Re: Vegas betting Saints have a disappointing season

Guido you mentioned a lot of names. Many of whom were injured last year. If those names stay on the field we should be much improved and finish with at least 9-10 wins.
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Old 05-02-2017, 12:18 PM   #10
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Re: Vegas betting Saints have a disappointing season

I guess it's time for my bi-annual reminder about Vegas lines:

The lines have nothing to do with reality. They are set only to balance the betting money on both sides of the bet. So if the win line for the Saints is 8.5, that only means that half the betting public believes the Saints will win more while the other half believes they will win less.

As I said, it's all about perception, and nothing to do with reality.

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